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Nexii

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Everything posted by Nexii

  1. Nexii
    We need a WAR for front office development
  2. Nexii
    The correlation between LA and actual OPS seems very weak this year. I do wonder how the LA narrative became so prevalant
  3. Nexii
    Yea I feel like too many fans hype up the Jays pitching to be way better than it actually is. Especially considering our elite defense. I guess we've always had slugging teams when competitive as opposed to pitching. So maybe that's why
  4. Nexii
    Though the Jays have won 11 in a row 5 different times, so kinda but not really lol
  5. Nexii
    I think the game has to be considered official if it's called due to rain. It's only when the game is tied or the visiting team took the lead in the top of the inning that it's suspended Per https://www.mlb.com/glossary/rules/regulation-game
  6. Nexii
    I think people are frustrated because our face of the franchise is a himbo. But he's also very good at baseball and exciting to watch. We should be cheering him on.
  7. Nexii
    Vlad would be around 160 wRC+ with average luck. Peripherals are top 10, and that's where a top 10 hitter is atm. His walks are up as is his defense, I'm not worried tbh
  8. Nexii
    Final Destination: 2025 Jays Edition
  9. Nexii
    Yea I'm kinda surprised that FG or the like haven't done more sabermetrics around off-field metrics. Like FV against actual career WAR for various teams. Or whether year-to-year WAR exceeds projections for MLB calibre players. It seems like player development is where the real surplus value is these days. On field metrics have gotten so good that FA signing values are rarely much of a surprise. As far as the Jays yea maybe it's just luck lately after a period of bad luck. Personally I don't think it is entirely luck. Coaching/development is huge in any sport, especially one like baseball that's more on the skill side as opposed to raw athleticism.
  10. Nexii
    Thanks - yea I found this just after my last post. It's a significant gap for sure, though Vlad's is much larger. They have him as the 8th best hitter this year so seems like mostly bad luck
  11. Nexii
    Are players underperforming their xBA in general? For Vlad it's a huge gap. 277 AVG with an xBA of 320. Never mind the home runs, just the hits would put him back into elite territory
  12. Nexii
    Vlad is so hard to judge. I think a good portion of it is just bad luck yet again.
  13. Nexii
    It definitely feels like the Jays have caught onto something as a team with regards to hitting philosophy/approach. A lot of young players significantly outplaying projections. They just need to tweak Vlad's weird swing and then we'll really be scary
  14. Nexii
    Honestly it's big brain. They'll call up someone better now
  15. Nexii
    How is it Schneider's fault that the back of the bullpen is bad? Those are the pitchers you use when up 8-1
  16. Nexii
    Mets up 11-5 now. We're crushing the Yankees as far as fun differential right now
  17. Nexii
    What a bunt though, perfect
  18. Nexii
    Scherzer's been pretty unlucky
  19. Nexii
    We are the 2015 Royals now
  20. Nexii
    Seems like they just sort alphabetically for ties, if you go back to the first day of the season
  21. Nexii
    The whole story is weird. They would have got more value from Devers at 1B over DH in the long run since he wasn't good at 3B. I know you can't exactly convert mid season but Bregman was signed back in February. There would have been time if not for mismanagement.
  22. Nexii
    Those Pete Rose hats with 14 on them just took on a new meaning Reds really shouldn't be celebrating him :/
  23. Nexii
    I'd say it was probable that the Jays would be an 85 win team. Projections had them there on average. Too many players massively underperforming projections. There's not much left to do at this point other than clean house, both front office and team managers
  24. Nexii
    Though it is interesting that 1B wRC+ has been down a lot recently, 93 so far this year and only 104 last year. 120+ is pretty good how things are right now. I wonder why there aren't that many good slugging 1B lately? Is it because defensive metrics are pushing them into DH roles?
  25. Nexii
    Moneyball syndrome. Too many people focused on efficiency over winning. It's an overpay but it shows Rogers will spend
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