The thing with the hitting is that it appears like we had some big downgrades from Chapman and whatever the hell got into Belt to IKF and Turner, but Chapman and Belt's Clutch scores were so god awful that just normal years from IKF and Turner (with normal Clutch scores) probably closes the gap in terms of winning games in a pretty sizable way.
Then you factor in what should be big rebounds from Vlad, Kirk and Varsho and what should be a small rebound from Springer and the offense has some potential, despite the naysayers, to be very very good.
The pitching could take a step back, but it's got more depth to deal with it. And let's not forget how horrible Manoah was last year. If our #5 SP this year (whether it's an improved Manoah, Francis or White) puts up even 1.5 WAR that's a 2 WAR improvement which helps mitigate any of the other 4 taking a step back. The defense and bullpen should be good again and we've also got a lot of depth there as well.
So that said I'm going to vote for 90-94, though if we got a big injury in the Spring or something I'd obviously revise that number down.