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Olerud363

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Everything posted by Olerud363

  1. Olerud363
    Yeah. Despite going on and on about Farrell last year I don't think the manager has much effect. Farrell just couldn't work with idiots. I guess that was the point I was trying to make with all the Farrell posts. Gibby is a good guy. Savvy. Perfect manager for this team (assuming upper management is idiots). Farrell would probably argue with Beeston and/or AA. Gibby is savy enough to get what he needs without butting heads. Beeston - Cito says we gotta pull the ball. Maybe we should move Murph back to hitting coach. Gibby (needs to get the on base percentage up but Beeston hates on base percentage) - What about we get the Sietzer guy. He played with George Brett. Beeston - George Brett?? The guy was a gamer. What a hitter. He must of pulled the ball. Hire Sietzer. See... Gibby knows how to manipulate Beeston and probably AA in an friendly old country boy way... Farrell couldn't do that.
  2. Olerud363
    Premise isn't OK. There is an age old battle between the dismal cruel elite (such as Beeston) and the true working class men of the people such as John Gibbons. Gibbons represented everything that is good about the world and every single bit of success the Jays have can be attributed to him. OK. I'm being a bit nuts. Let me take a step back from the crazy-farm. I don't like Beeston obviously. Never have. I like Gibby. Good guy. Smart manager. Why a bunch of mostly working class stiffs feel the need to diss Gibby at every losing streak is beyond me. They are Gibby. Good guys working hard. Hope Gibby is getting credit in the good times. He probably is as this thread is getting bumped but haven't checked out the end of it yet.
  3. Olerud363
    Tread carefully... wait until you are SURE that the Red Sox aren't going to eak out 88 wins against the Jays 85 or something... Farrell smug smile. Red Sox Playoffs. Sox fans smugness. Not saying you can't enjoy it. But the wife won't allow me to gloat to sox or yankee fans until the s*** is really for real... which we won't know until September atleast Having a wife is hard. If you are like Smedley wiith just random hoes enjoy it while lasts.
  4. Olerud363
    Tolleson/Francisco is a basically a platoon and only the keen mind of John Gibbons could figure out how to put together that kind of puzzle. Gibby - "Against right handers Lawrie will shift to second so Francisco can play, then against lefties Tollesson plays second" Beeston - "I don't understand this. This doesn't sound right. No. I don't think this is the Blue Jay way." AA - "No Gibby thought it all out. It should work." Beeston - "So who plays third??" AA - "Lawrie some days, Francisco the others." Beeston - "I don't like this. Cito what do you think??" Cito - "Do they pull the ball??" Gibby - "uhhh.... Yes. Yes. They pull it right down the line. They're very aggressive pull hitters." Cito - "Then it's OK with me." Beeston - "If it's OK with Cito, it's OK with me. Have at'er boys."
  5. Olerud363
    I probably was overly pessimistic as last season ended. 82 was my call at the end of March. If they beat that by 15 I won't complain.
  6. Olerud363
    JSFIP getting everyone to calm down after that first game.
  7. Olerud363
    The wisdom of JSFIP now in my sig. Calm the f*** down everyone. Where is JSFIP by the way?? CHP seems to be gloating for him. To bad Ryan Goins isn't rearing it up then Gruber could be talking some smack.
  8. Olerud363
    Hi CHP My preseason prediction was 82. Just bumped my prediction. If you want to post on the calm thread you gotta be cool... no stirring things up. If you want to claim that this poster said this or that poster predicted that you gotta do some research and make sure they did. Cause otherwise you're gonna stir everything up and get people un-calm.
  9. Olerud363
    Bumping for CHP
  10. Olerud363
    Today's questions Is J.A Happ the next Jamie Moyer?? Will Gose/Pillar surpass Mullinucks/Iorg as the greatest Jays platoon of all time?? Today's bold prediction There will be no meaningful games in July because the Jays will be too far ahead. I don't know if I am calm anymore.
  11. Olerud363
    Just because I am calm doesn't mean I can't ask the difficult questions... Is R.A. Dickey even better then he was in 2012? Is Dustin McGowan the next great setup man like Duane Ward? Can Josh Thole beat John Olerud's .363? (He's at .360 right now!) If yes should we DH him so he gets enough PAs to win the batting title? Was Old Skool a.k.a CPH right about everything all along?
  12. Olerud363
    I think Boxcar is talking to CPH, who is projecting 88-74 after 2 months. I've been projecting 82-80 most of the time. I went through a phase where I projected weird things like 80.7-81.3 but people seemed to get a bit uptight about the decimal points, so in the spirit of calmness I stopped that. My projection is: 82-80. There will be high and lows as we randomly walk about the .500 mark. Everybody needs to just calm down.
  13. Olerud363
    Late June the year 2000 (14 years ago) TOR 44 36 .550 -- NYY 38 36 .514 3.0 BOS 38 37 .507 3.5 BAL 33 44 .429 9.5 395 TBD 32 45 .416 10.5 379 The questions I was asking... Will Carlos Delgado win the triple crown?? Is Raul Mondesi better then Goerge Bell? Will Toronto sweep the World Series or win in 6 like in 92/93?? Will David Wells win 30?? Is Tony Bautista the next Mike Schmidt?? Is Gord Ash the next Branch Rickey?? Keep calm. I was seriously uncalm back in 2000. I wasted my youth following a doomed team.
  14. Olerud363
    I haven't read through the entire thread so I suspect someone else suggested this because it is the obvious conclusion. Red Sox pick up Esmil. Red Sox turn it around and win 88 to squeak into playoffs. Blue Jays 82-80. Esmil - 9-5 3.88 for sox. Esmil credits Farrell with his new success. Farrell proclaimed the ultimate genius, the ultimate man. That would make us all a little un-calm.
  15. Olerud363
    Will Buerhle win 30?? Is Hutch the next Halladay?? Will Melky win the batting title? Is Gibby the next Earl Weaver?? Will they clinch by September 15th?? Is Mike Wilnar the next Dan Shulman?? It is hard glad keep calm with these questions floating around.
  16. Olerud363
    There were definately dissapointments... There are always failures. The first crop to mature under Riccairdi was the first dissapointing crop in my lifetime. Phelps, Hinske, Wells, Hudson, Lopez, Rios. At the end of 2002 I thought things looked great, at the end of 2003 I thought they looked really great (Phelps and Hinske's down 2003 was just a bump in the road). What little did I know. And this crop was up and down. Wells, Hinske, Rios even Lopez eventually all produced complete decent seasons. The Lawrie, Snider, Thames, Gose, Drabek, Arencibia, Hutch, etc. crop is the worst I've seen in terms of young players maturing as expected. I actually blame anyone for this. I think there is luck involved. Just because you had a bad crop doesn't mean you give up on the system. Re-invest in young players, things will work out better next time.
  17. Olerud363
    You are probably right but it would be politically impossible to make those moves. After watching Snider, Drabek fail... Lawrie, Gose dissapoint (compared to expectations) most of the posters here are to young to remember the days when the opposite happened, when prospects suceeded. Almost every prospect met expectations eventually (20 year stretch going from the days of Moseby, to Olerud, to Green, Delgado, to watching Halladay and Carpenter (for another team) put it together). Blowing it up completely would bring a huge haul of prospects. Enough to cancel out the luck factor (some will fail some will be stars). Good luck convincing others. Nice to see you on the record. I know you have been right before. If things go to hell in a year from now, when everybody is wining about the state of the franchise you can bump your comment.
  18. Olerud363
    2b - needs a lot more range. ie Pedrio getting Gose on the grounder in the hole last night. Lawrie could make that play. Francisco no. At 2b one needs to be athletic enough to turn the double play with a runner coming in... Lawrie... not sure if he's there. That's one that requires reps... not just natural range. Lawrie has the tools for 2b... Francisco does not. 3b - you can get by with good reactions and a good arm. Do not need as much range. Though it is awesome when a third basemen has range and athleticism. So obviously you saw the double play Lawrie made last night. That should show why Lawrie has the talent to play 2b. Good range and athleticism. Could handle the footwork needed at second. Best place for Lawrie is to continue being a super utility. 2nd and 3rd. Short even occasionally. All depends what other pieces are in action. The only Cavaet is whether Lawrie can mentally handle this. Maybe his ADD and aggressive ways are to much for him to handle multiple positions.
  19. Olerud363
    Hey CHP You are correct in this case. It is silly to root against your team unless there is a real good draft pick on the line. But if a team has a chance for the playoffs everyone will be rooting for them. Also if the Jays make the playoffs then we have to concede that AA and Beeston are bit better then we currently think. Based on the information that the Jays made the playoffs everybody would have to raise AA/Beestons's score a bit. If you think they are 30/100 now you'd atleast have to raise it to maybe 50/100.
  20. Olerud363
    In a season of calmness this is one thing to get riled up about it. On Saturday Canadian hockey teams play at night. That's all.
  21. Olerud363
    Despite my raging on some of this thread I don't think a huge analytics department is needed. It's like a bonus. 1. OPS with on base percentage weighted 1.5 and park factored. 2. Scaling factor for each position. 3. Aging curves. 4. Average games played for projecting injuries. If x plays 400 games in 4 years, he is projected for 100 next year. 5. Strikeout rate, walk rate, homer rate for pitchers. 6. Range factors and some scouting for defense. That is enough. I mean the Jays don't even use this. If they did things would be fine. I am not saying advanced analytics wouldn't help. Jays - at about a 70 Common sense - brings you to 90 Advanced analytics - brings you to 95. or something like that. 100 is like a perfect organization. I am assuming every mlb organization is above 65.
  22. Olerud363
    People skills. Patience. Neatness. Ability to take a break, chill out. Ability to stay calm. Ability to use google. If you pass a computer science program you have the skill do code. You need to make sure it doesn't become a spaghetti train wreck. Everty single solution is on stack overflow or something... so creativity is a little less important (unfortunately). Still comes in handy sometimes, but have to be modest enough to mainly re-use other people's solutions. Neatness. Neat short modules and functions.
  23. Olerud363
    I guess I just have my view that Beeston is an insane moron and is really making the moves behind the scenes.. AA smart enough but no balls, just the first chubby soft looking easy to push around kid Beeston saw in the hallway aftger firing J.P. But I guess AA total moron explains things too.
  24. Olerud363
    I still predict the shitballers will converge and you won't be able to tell the difference between them by the end of the year. 12-10 3.94 for both. However if Beurhle keeps it up bring this again up at the end of the year.
  25. Olerud363
    Young guys can be good... you need the right young guys. But I agree with you that Canadian companies don't understand what a "good programmer" is. Most people don't. It's a weird field to be in with a lot of tension. Often times (no matter what business one is in) your boss is a marketing idiot. The things is the first time a player that the programs chooses fails Beeston would kill the programmer.
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