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jaysblue

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Everything posted by jaysblue

  1. I love Freddy Peralta. Huge K rates and still only 27. He will turn out a Cy Young season soon IMO.
  2. jaysblue

    NFL Thread

    Packers put up a great fight. Those two missed FG's though really hurt though. The Pack definitely have a very bright future with Love. Bet the 49ers when they were down at 1.95 odds and then at 2.25 odds and also bet the under at 46.5, so was successful at least.
  3. Would be nice if we had a phone app designated for the BJMB
  4. Count me in. Will be fun to have a couple of beers and do a draft. Can't do that in dynasty leagues anymore haha.
  5. I wouldn't say he has "zero trade value" right now, but yeah it's definitely at an all-time low. Definitely not opposed to keeping him and hoping he bounces back especially if there aren't any good deals out there! If he doesn't show any improvement in 2024, then his trade value is likely zero.
  6. Speaking of veteran elite relievers, Liam Hendriks is a FA. What are the chances he returns back into top form? Is he worth rolling the dice on? E.g. two year deal or similar type of contract the Jays gave Green last offseason?
  7. Yeah same here obviously. I don't think the extension is really a "bargain" though. If Green was a FA, I think he still gets around $10-12M per season over two years (so between $20-24M), which seems like the market value for late inning relievers. Given his age, and injury history, not sure a team would go more than 2 years but who knows.
  8. Difference is Stephenson was healthy for a majority of last season pitching 52.1 innings with a 13.24 K/9 and 0.9 WAR. He really was one of the top relievers in baseball after he was traded to the Rays. Green only pitched 12 innings at the big league level last season. So now it's like Green is getting 2 years at $21M with the options kicking in. Not sure he would have got more AAV or years on the free agent market given his age and him coming back from injury. Think he's being paid at fair market value and wouldn't really consider him a huge "bargain." More upside with Green given he had better seasons when he was with the Yankees, but it's not a guarantee he returns to be 1.5 - 2 WAR reliever. Agree, wouldn't feel comfortable giving Stephenson $33M over 3 years given his age and spotty track record. Seems like every late-inning reliever now is getting $10-12M AAV.
  9. Yeah it's a possibility he doesn't develop anymore power and he just is a .750 OPS type of bat. Not sure what kind of extension he would get or ask for - don't think it would be too crazy though.
  10. Trade Manoah for Kim. Sign Soler to DH. Sign another OF with pop like Duvall. Bring back Ryu on a cheap one-year deal to warm up the No. 5 spot in the rotation. Lineup: RF Springer SS Bichette 1B Guerrero Jr. DH Soler 2B Kim C Jansen/Kirk LF Duvall/Kiermier CF Varsho 3B Schneider/IKF Rotation: 1. Gausman 2. Berrios 3. Bassitt 4. Kikuchi 5. Ryu Boom!
  11. Kim did manage to hit 17 HR's last season playing half of his games at Petco. In his last two seasons, he has been a .700-.750 OPS type of bat. Last season he started showing some more pop and had a 112 wRC+. In the KBO he did display some okay pop. Given his age and his improvements in 2023, I could see him being a bat who could hit between 20-25 HR's and maybe hit for more gap power as well. Lastly, his speed is a huge asset (38 SB's last season) and he increased his BB% to 12% last season. I think he would be a great fit here, and the Jays would have the entire season to convince him to sign an extension.
  12. Last season according to Fangraphs, Kim would have been the Jays best positional player and second best player on the roster overall behind Kevin Gausman.
  13. Don't think anyone is backpedaling at all. Most rational posters on here know there is a possibility Manoah could rebound.
  14. Regardless, this upcoming season will be an important one for Manoah. He either takes a step forward and returns close to his 2021/2022 self or he becomes the next Ricky Romero/Josh Towers. If he takes that step forward, both the Jays and Manoah benefit! If he doesn't progress and we see more diminished stuff from him, he loses even more trade value and likely becomes a DFA candidate or non-tender candidate next offseason. If Manoah shits the bed again in 2024, his value goes even lower and he could be worth nothing at all. Again, the Jays FO know more than we do, so they can make a more informed decision in regards to Manoah than we can. His value yes is at an all-time low, but he still has some value given the 4 years of control, his $750,000 salary this season and the potential/upside he carries. So yes, a team might roll the dice on an arm like Manoah like trading a player on an expiring contract or another similar player as Manoah who has potential and needs a change of scenery. Someone like a Jarred Kelenic when he was with the Mariners or someone like Kim fit that bill. The other issue is the relationship between both Manoah and the organization. If Manoah is still a baby, complains and has attitude issues, or if the relationship is very strained and hasn't been repaired, you likely have to move him regardless. You don't want a player like him in the clubhouse or organization. If the relationship has been mended with both the FO and players, if Manoah has humbled himself and has put in the time this offseason to work harder and to get into better shape, then I have no issue in giving Manoah a chance to bounce back in 2024. If the Jays end up trading him, I'll trust enough in their FO that they saw something they can't fix or the relationship was too strained. I won't lose sleep over it. If they decide to keep him, I'll trust enough in their FO that they believe Manoah could bounce back and will be rooting for him!
  15. Damn Grant if I knew you were going to Cuba, would have asked you to pick me up some Cohibas!
  16. jaysblue

    NHL Thread

    The Playoffs for the Leafs will be easy to make.
  17. If Rodriguez could either be like a Jose Contreras as a SP or Raisel Iglesias as a reliever, I'll take that in a heartbeat.
  18. Kim can be a FA after 2024 because of the 2025 mutual option. Hope is you could extend him. Even if you can't I would still consider it. Kim could post a 4-5 WAR season and provides depth in case the Jays decide to trade Bo.
  19. I'll have to agree with Jonn and Term here. If you can land Kim for Manoah, you have to do it. Manoah comes with way more risk moving forward and Kim has just posted seasons of 3.7 and 4.4 WAR.
  20. Adam Duvall would be a great fit in Toronto.
  21. jaysblue

    NHL Thread

    Leafs are like the Cowboys of football lol.
  22. jaysblue

    NFL Thread

    Called it saying Tampa could upset the Eagles. Wish I included them in my bets though haha
  23. jaysblue

    NFL Thread

    If anyone wants tickets for the Chiefs/Bills game next weekend let me know.
  24. jaysblue

    NFL Thread

    Cowboys could really use Bill Belichick. Cowboys are chokers when it comes to the Playoffs. Was right on the possible upset, wish I just had my bets that way as well lol. Love and the Packers though put on a clinic and played awesome. Would have been tough to beat. Wonder if they can give the 49ers a tough time, but I think San Fran at home dominates them.
  25. jaysblue

    NFL Thread

    Definitely a great game! Could have went either way. Really think the refs missed that pass interference/holding call at the end there, which would have given the Rams a 1st down and put them in better FG territory. Clearly his jersey was grabbed. The NFL wanted Detroit to go through. Rams defense couldn't make the stops they needed. As well, shocked they never used their timeout at a 2:30 minute mark when it was 2nd and 9.
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