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jaysblue

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Everything posted by jaysblue

  1. jaysblue
    Yeah Jackson Merrill is the NL Favourite paying a 1.08 whereas Skenes is second at 9.50. Only way Skenes gets close is he wins like NL Pitcher of the Month in September and Merrill has a drop-off. In the AL, Cowser is the favourite at 1.38 with Austin Wells at 3.10. The rest of the pack is way behind like Wilyer Abreu (26.00), Colt Kieth (91.00), Ceddanne Rafaela (101.00), Luis Gil (101.00) Wyatt Langford (126.00), Jackson Holliday (151.00) and Mason Miller (151.00). Heck, I would put $5 on Mason Miller for fun at those odds. But yeah I see voters likely voting for an everyday guy like Cowser or Wells.
  2. jaysblue
    Tough call. Was going to ask this question as well a couple of days ago haha. Paul Skenes has received more media attention in my view, whereas Jackson Merrill hasn't got the same fanfare, though quietly has been really good posting a 4.2 fWAR season thus far and helping the Padres make the Wild Card. It's either one of those two, but since Merrill is an everyday player and has been really good, would go with him. As for the AL, it's not so clear cut. Cowser has been a solid piece for the O's, though offensively he hasn't put up eye popping numbers. He leads all the candidates in terms of WAR. As for Wells, playing behind the plate on a contending team is definitely an advantage. Gil's numbers have slowed down since his hot start. Mason Miller has been electric and one of the best closers/relievers in baseball this season. I know he's just a closer, but his numbers stand out in comparison more to the other candidates. We've seen closers win ROY before, so wouldn't surprise me if Mason Miller gets some serious consideration.
  3. jaysblue
    Yeah those three guys definitely the arms of the last two decades and for sure are locks for the Hall of Fame. Not sure if there are any other arms that we could group in with Verlander, Kershaw and Scherzer. Maybe Zack Greinke in the second tier below them. If Chris Sale has a couple more years like he's having now, he likely comes close.
  4. jaysblue
    Paul Goldschmidt finally heating up. Right as I trade him in fantasy a couple weeks ago lol.
  5. jaysblue
  6. jaysblue
    Lmao
  7. jaysblue
    Yeah I was shocked to see how bad his numbers were: 97 wRC+ and a -0.1 WAR. Career wise he has always been a 120 wRC+ or so and around 2 WAR. His first two months he was pretty solid I remember, but yeah his numbers took a nosedive. If he has a hot September, still has some time to make his numbers more respectable when all is said and done. If the Jays had signed him to a 1-year-deal last offseason, would have been okay with that and he would have been offered more power than Turner, which is what this lineup needed. He was a strong bounce back candidate coming off an injury. In hindsight, glad they avoided signing him, especially since it would have required a 2-year deal where he likely now picks up his player option.
  8. jaysblue
    Yeah he hasn't looked good at all this season, but his 23 HR's and 70 RBI would rank second on this team. Not sure if he can ever recapture his 2022 form. I guess he accepts the player option since I doubt he gets more than the $17M AAV he gets next season. In hindsight, glad the Jays avoided signing him to the two years, since they likely would be on the hook for $17M next season, which would clog up the payroll. He was a bounce back candidate that didn't pan out.
  9. jaysblue
    Yeah will be interesting to see how the market plays out this offseason. What kind of contract was Snell holding out for though last offseason? He signed pretty late which is why he had to settle for that 2 year deal with the player opt out.
  10. jaysblue
    Yeah was thinking along the same lines, using the Gausman contract as a benchmark. If Flaherty continues to pitch at an elite level, definitely a very good contract. 5 years would keep Flaherty here until he's 34, so not bad at all.
  11. jaysblue
    What does a contract for Flaherty look like?
  12. jaysblue
    Yeah who needs a top farm system! Overrated if you ask me! Give Ross the money to spend $20M on another vet starter and another $20-30M to sign two power bats this offseason. Nothing beats having an aging $100M rotation filled with a bunch of mid-rotation starters! Requires a lot of skill and high baseball IQ! That's why we're paying Ross the big bucks!
  13. jaysblue
    Why are we talking about Nathan Lukes? FFS!
  14. jaysblue
    A lot of you guys need to relax and temper your expectations with some of these callups. It's like everyone is starting to pencil them into the starting lineup in 2025 and beyond after a month or two of ABs. You can't fall in love with these guys and think they're all going to be key everyday players moving forward. Look at Davis Schneider last season for example. Out of all the guys who have been called up this season, Horwitz should be the only one given a spot in the starting lineup at 2B, and possibly Ernie Clement at 3B if the Jays decide they want to save some money at the hot corner. Otherwise, all these other guys heading into 2025 should be bench pieces or in AAA for depth if the Jays expect to contend.
  15. jaysblue
    Yeah $15M would be the high end/max. Depends on the # of teams involved. As well, might have to pay more to get him to sign in Toronto. I would feel more comfortable getting Pivetta for around $11-12M for sure. If he's around $15M, would pass and aim higher. If he's going to cost $15M or so, would rather spend a bit more to bring back Kikuchi if that's the case.
  16. jaysblue
    Maybe an AAV between $12-15M? Not sure how many years he gets, but max would be 2 to 3 maybe with opt outs. His K/9 over the last two seasons has been intriguing and there is some maybe untapped potential still even if he's 31. Like if you sign him to be a No. 4 or 5 starter, he has the potential to be a decent mid-rotation guy with high K rates.
  17. jaysblue
    If Joseph Gordon-Levitt was sitting behind home plate every night, I would.
  18. jaysblue
    Yeah for sure, the success rate amongst other organizations isn't that great either. We've seen some pitchers come up dominate for 2 to 3 years, then get injured and miss a lot of time afterwards. Hopefully Francis can be a guy who has a few years of success up in the bigs. Would be a big help for the rotation over the next 2-3 years.
  19. jaysblue
    Was having a discussion with a friend and we were talking about starting pitchers after Bowden Francis pitched another gem last night. He mentioned since 2000 the Jays really haven't developed any consistently good SPs other than Roy Halladay and Marcus Stroman, starting pitchers who went onto have long & successful careers. Like damn when you think about it. I asked him what about Ricky Romero, Shaun Marcum and maybe Alek Manoah can be thrown into that mix. But yeah, they all had success only in the short term (Romero for 3 seasons from 2009-2011), (Marcum from 2007-2012; missed all of 2009), Alek Manoah (2021 & 2022). Kinda of shocking that this organization as a whole under three-four different regimes, the only two consistently arms developed were Halladay and Stroman.
  20. jaysblue
    LOL you found out because you just picked him up in fantasy baseball this morning.
  21. jaysblue
    Yeah I understand. I don't have a problem with Bassitt sticking around next season since his contract is expiring anyways. He'll still be a solid starter and eat his innings which is valuable. Eovaldi I'm assuming is going to cost around $18-20M AAV on a short term deal like maybe 2 or 3 years. And the last two seasons both him and Bassitt have been pretty identical. Not sure what Flaherty gets, but he likely also could cost around $18-20M AAV and given his age might get more years, depending if teams believe he can remain healthy.
  22. jaysblue
    If they were willing to throw whatever money at Ohtani last winter, you would think they would go into this offseason trying to sign both Soto and Vladdy long term. Never going to have that opportunity again to lock up two of the premium young bats in the game. Even when top players become FA's for the first time, they're either around 29 or 30. Would definitely be a nice recovery from the Ohtani fiasco last winter. If the Jays could sign Soto and re-sign Vlad, maybe that's the pivot we were waiting for.
  23. jaysblue
    I for one was critical of the Bassitt signing at the time thinking 3 years and $63M was absurd for a guy who was 34. I was even arguing that Kyle Gibson would have been a better signing on a one-year deal. Overall, Bassitt has been pretty decent however, providing durability and innings. He posted a 2.4 fWAR last season and this season so far has posted a 2.2 fWAR. There is some value in that, even for 2025 if the Jays plan on contending. Not the sexiest arm in the rotation but over 162 games, he's proven he can be valuable. I wouldn't toss him to the curve just yet.
  24. jaysblue
    Sorry but wasn't it just last season most considered Chris Bassitt a bargain and an awesome FA signing? Now everyone wants him gone? lol.
  25. jaysblue
    Yeah shocked nobody mentioned Flaherty's name as a possible candidate for the rotation. Is he for real now?
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