KSaw
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Everything posted by KSaw
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You guys do get that this team is yet to play one single game with its entire projected opening day lineup right? Before July is over we should finally see: Reyes Cabrera Bautista Encarnacion Lind Lawrie Rasmus Arencibia Izturis Like to see how they do before anything gets torn up.
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Not saying that he'll pan out because I don't have a crystal ball but I will point out that he's been no more wild than Randy Johnson, Dave Stewart or Nolan Ryan were early in their careers.
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The organization won't be doing anything. Keep in mind that Zaun may sue for slander and if he does, Rogers Sportsnet will be a plaintiff too. Well that would be messy. And while everyone may be tempted to assume that won't happen because Rogers also owns the Jays and employs Arencibia, that's just not the case. If Zaun's legal representation advises that he sue, he will.
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Because in spite of the last week's games, this club should be at or near .500 at the break. They follow it with a 10-game home stand. They finish July with 56-57 wins, which is within reach and they are a contender. They add Garza and they are a serious contender. And if they do tank before July ends, they can flip Garza again and without cap money being in the equation, probably get better prospects than they gave up.
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What the Cubs want is just under a million in slot money in under 72 hours. That is worth 3 or 4 prospects to them. Look, it's just tough to factor the slot money and then wonder what else it would take. This isn't last year. The Cubs are racing the clock here.
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Not being a dick, but what do you base that on? DeJong just gained 10 pounds and his velocity is up. The kid is 6-4, smart, pitches rather than throws, has a biting curve and is picking up the change really quickly and it sinks. His projections have changed since the beginning of this year. He projects as a #3 starter. Now projections and reality don't always match but scouts like him a lot more now. After he hits 200 pounds and he will, everyone will get a better feel for where he's going. Certainly isn't a bag of balls scrub though.
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Pillar-- I agree. I see him as a 4th outfielder. A good 4th mind you and probably a good contact pinch hitter type who'd fit well in the NL. DeJong though-- really like his upside and think that he will be quite good.
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I'd even say that if Toronto offered DeJong + Pillar and $800 k in slot allowance, the Cubs would be willing to send $2 million in cash with Garza.
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Well I tend to think that quantity matters for the Cubs right now. The slot money is very important and they have to move fast to get some. That slot cash means more international free agents next year. Also in regard to quantity, I'd actually guess that kids like DeJong and Smoral would interest the Cubs more because they could get something more with one of them. Buying low on a high ceiling 19 year old pitcher and getting another kid too would make sense instead of just Osuna.
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While in complete rebuild mode? And with the injury history? Pretty sure they want to stockpile international free agents and prospects and slash payroll.
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Not necessarily true. The Cubs are over their spending limit for international free agents. A good 8-900k boost in slot allowance would save them from penalties which include not being able to sign anyone from the international market in 2014.
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The qualifying offer this offseason will be somewhere between 13.8 and 14.2 million. Lets just say $14 million. If the Cubs kept him and qualified him by offering $14 million for 1 year, Garza would probably snap that up. The Cubs don't want him at that price. They wouldn't get a pick. They'd get an injury prone pitcher for too much money in a year they won't contend.
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There is no arbitration anymore.
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Maybe an opt out after year 1 if he hit 200 IP or something like that would make sense for Garza too. His next contract won't be a black and white simple deal.
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Being that the Cubs are not prepared to make a qualifying offer to Garza, for fear of him accepting, 4/50 is not realistic. 2 years + an option and with the first 2 years being just under 10 million is realistic. A vested option for a 15 million 3rd year based on 400 IP over years 1 and 2 is also realistic.
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Adam Lind takes his own shots at Zaun and Hayhurst
KSaw replied to Spoonovic's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Going on this kind of logic, Billy Beane, John Gibbons, Sparky Anderson and on and on know nothing about baseball and should have never/ should never critisize current players. It's pretty idiotic to judge knowledge by how well someone played. Many, many great managers, coaches, scouts and analysts have been failed players. Natural physical gifts and knowledge are not the same. I'd even expect that less gifted players had to work harder, learn more and experience more finite coaching during their playing days and would be better judges of what's what on a ball field. There's a reason Ricky Henderson is not a coach or a TV analyst. I suppose that he should be by JPA and Lind logic. -
AA and LaCava watched Cuban free agent Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez
KSaw replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
The Cubs have landed the top international free agent but have not made it official yet. They still need to acquire over $600k in slot money. It's speculated that money will come as party of a Garza trade and in the next 3 days. -
Chicago media, along with the Fort Worth Star Telegram near Dallas and the Miami Herald tend to have a pretty good pulse on things and are often right. And it is their team they are talking about in Chicago. Logically, I'm not out a limb very far by putting some faith in their evaluation. Edit. Brain cramped on Dallas paper name for a sec there.
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I'm really basing much of my opinion on the Chicago media. They seem generally convinced that the contract mixed with the injury history is a big negative.
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And it wasn't 8 million, though I see why you refer to Teahen that way. Stewart was a preseason ranked prospect as high as B+ for some and as low as C- to others. He had very mixed reviews. I'm pretty sure that Keith Law really didn't like him at all. Saying that he was top 5 in that garbage minor league system isn't saying much at all.
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I personally think that he has less value than Jackson. It's a year and a half of salary commitment to an oft injured pitcher and a big option with a significant buy out and he's currently injured.
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Supposedly and that's fine. 3 months of Garza in exchange for some kids and some slot allocation money is fine. Also keep in mind that if the club was tanking at the end of July, AA could flip him again quickly.
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Everyone talks of the number of prospects he dealt. Of them all I say we miss only 2 of them, maybe 3 and it's 3 if Hech pans out. The odds of both of the Landing arms panning out aren't high.
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I like him and know that we haven't seen the best of him but I wouldn't do that. The pick and salary relief are too important. We wouldn't even be discussing Peavy if JJ didn't have an expiring contract.
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I would assume Pillar. He is a C+ prospect. They wouldn't get Osuns straight up if they unload the contract. This kind of trade isn't lateral or a hit. JJ still equals a pick once qualified and Peavy's trade value would be just as solid, if not better next year if the team couldn't win. A bunch of veterans is only a bad thing if you keep them all and don't win. There are always deadline opportunities to sell them for prospects.