John_Havok

16 balls with EV at 100mph or higher in today's game, 11 were from Jays hitters but 5 of them went for outs. Only 1 of the 5 As balls over 100mph was an out

Yeah they'll need to make a move. Yariel, Little, Lucas and Fisher all likely not available. Option Lucas and bring in Swanson makes the most sense.

Given that it was listed at 407, it must have been close to dead Centre (I didnt see the PA so im guessing). CF is already 70 feet further away than RF or LF corners. Optically, balls that are pulled and go over 400 feet always look like they are hit further since they clear the walls by a mile and end up in the 2nd or 3rd deck. CF shots that measure 410-415 barely clear the top of the wall. Its just optics.

109.8 off the bat 27 degrees = 409 feet. Crushed.

Weak call for leaving the baseline...he just dodged him which is allowed.

Aren't HRs fun!? Yaaaaaaa boy

Fisher goes down most likely. Would be silly to give away Swanson as a DFA. Alternatively could DFA Urena... but he does give them a true multi-inning guy that they can abuse in blowouts without worrying.

Swanson could be activated as soon as tomorrow. Gimenez getting rehab games soon. Burr had a setback with his shoulder and is shut down again. Sandlin threw bullpen on May 26. Will meet Blue Jays back home to throw off mound one more time before facing hitters and starting a rehab assignment.

HR was off a changeup, but the remainder of your point stands

I must not be understanding what you're saying here. Let me re-phrase a bit. Attack angle is the vertical angle the sweet spot of the bat is traveling at the contact point, while launch angle is the vertical angle at which the ball leaves the bat after contact. Attack angle correlates to launch angle. The steeper the attack angle, the higher the launch angle... generally. We know that launch angle is an important factor in extra-base hits. Ergo... better attack angle, should lead to better launch angle, which means with the same batspeed and EV, more loft and more extra base hits, hence actual wOBA should creep closer to xWOBA over time as well.

I hear what you're saying spanks, but 2 degrees is a pretty big deal when it comes to hitting. Granted I'm making some assumptions, but we know that expected stats dont take spray angle into account. Hypothetically, if a change in the hitters attack angle results in a better ability to pull the ball combined with more loft ... squeaking out that extra HR per however many PAs would add up over time. Ditto in turning a few line drive outs per week into line drive doubles. Combine that over 2-3 hitters and it's probably a decent output change overall.

Solid points, but... If better attack angle equals more hits, extra base hits and HRs assuming EV remains constant...couldn't that problem be largely responsible for the discrepancies?

This clearly points to a systemic issue rooted in several possible causes... #1 The Jays analytics department wasn't using attack angle in their scouting processes or high performance center, and as such, most of the hitters resultingly suck at this. #2 The Jays analytics department is fully aware of this, but trying to zig while the rest of the league zags. #3 The analytics/scouting dept is fully aware of this when scouting, but wanted to prioritize the contact skill/lower attack angle to start with a base skill of contact, and try and teach the better attack angle as they developed their hitter to try and preserve more contact while also hitting for power ..... and they've just failed miserably at it. My guess is #3. Popkins has already had success changing Varsho's attack angle we've seen that from that article that came out the other day. Springer also said he's reverted to a previous approach instead of trying to hit singles - so perhaps his attack angle has increased as a result. It could very well be that the Popkins teachings have not yet reached the other player's ears, or it's also possible some of the players just haven't been able to make, or are resistant to change because of their track records of success to this point.

96 from Francis? Nice

anyone with a good stream of this? my usual isnt working

Uphill gardening is one thing... but that crosses the line!

Could just be one of those pitches that is only effective as a really rare change of pace/different look. 23 more splitters he will have already thrown as many as he did all of last season, and it was decently successful for him.

Maybe, but shrinking his arsenal is one thing....more than doubling the usage of a demonstrably s***** pitch is another. I'm more of the belief that the organization really loves that pitch amd if you tell them you throw one...its gonna get abused until it works ...even if it never does. It's not a pitch with great velo separation from his fastball, it doesnt have great movement... so using it nearly 30% of the time just doesnt make sense.

Ballgame! See y'all tmorrow

I really wish they'd forget Hoffman's splitter exists. He wipes guys out with the fastball/slider...just pack up the splitter and give it a courtesy 5-10% usage as the showme, like Gausman does with his slider.

I was thinking the same but... man they would have had all kinds of time to nail him even on an errant throw unless it was WAAAAY offline.

lol, legit cursed with RISP right now. Everything is roped right at defenders or hit too hard to score a guy from 2nd on a single. Ah well, at least theyre hitting it hard.

Of course. I'd probably let Gausman start the inning with Hoffman warming since Gaus is at 96 pitches but... any trouble and i'd go to the closer. That's his job.

OAA backs up the eye test so far. 89th percentile fielding run value and 83rd percentile in range. Still not enough throws to qualify for the arm stat, but... I have to think he's 85th percentile minimum.

That Barger PA was ... FUGLY watched 3 straight well within the zone. WTF