John_Havok
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Everything posted by John_Havok
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Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
John_Havok replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
4seam fastballs are already a tick or two faster than sinkers usually. There's probably some exceptions for certain pitchers, but.. in general the average is like 1.5mph slower. Touching 94.6 with a sinker and touching 98 with a 4 seamer probably isnt THAT weird. I'd be more interested in the avg velo comparisons. -
MRI Reveals New Elbow Inflammation for José Berríos
John_Havok replied to Leo Morgenstern's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Its possible, but if he finishes high in ROY voting he gets a full year of service time automatically. I'd say that's a pretty decent possibility. So why not just break camp with him, hope he wins ROY and nets a draft pick as well to go along with being one of the best options the Jays have for their rotation? -
It COULD be closer. In a 1 game situation, anything is possible. The Canada squad could just have the game of their lives while the US quad has that weird day where everything seems off - stuff happens. It's not probable, but it is possible.
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Willful ignorance cannot be educated.
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The full quotes for context as im not sure he was intending to compare playing baseball against other countries as the same as being in the military, just that it would have been an honour to serve in the military and it's still a great honour to represent your country in a world baseball tourney. But I can certainly see how it could be taken that way and it's still pretty tone deaf. “I went to the Air Force Academy for two years,” Skenes said. “I wanted to serve. I was intending on serving. Ended up transferring out to [Louisiana State University] and won a national championship there and did some cool stuff there." He continued, “There was a big part of me that was fully intent on serving in the military as a career after college. This isn’t serving, but it’s a pretty close second.”
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Toronto Blue Jays 2026 Top Prospect Rankings: No. 16-20
John_Havok replied to Simon Li's topic in Blue Jays Minor League Talk
He has the same type of "ranking" problems that Alan Roden did, and Spencer Horwitz before him and many many others over the years across MLB. Contact, walks, limited power. There's some line in the sand where that power has to play to a certain level before the walks and contact matter all that much at the major league level. What is really encouraging is the leap in max exit velo last season and being above the 90th percentile in line drive + FB rate in all of the minors. There may have been a tweak they found to help unlock something, but I doubt he becomes a true regular. Sure would be nice to have more found money in a guy like Schreck though. -
THe problem is the players have to agree to attend and go. Pitchers like Pivetta, Brash, Cade Smith, Sabrowski... that's 4 arms that would make the staff immediately better, but pitching is always going to be Canada's weakness. At their best they'd be able to snag Vlad and Freeman, but that's liekly a pipe dream since Vlad will likely always pay for the DR and Freeman, after this year's decline to play to be closer to family in ST probably won't play again next time around. On the position player side... the rosters is about as good as it gets for Canada right now. The best guys are there. Maybe the 3rd Naylor is ready to contribute next time around, and Cassie takes a step forward? Who else is waiting in the wings as a top tier bat for Canada?
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Yeah thats also true. The Canadian squad is one that has just enough ceiling to beat any team when things go really right, but the floor isnt high enough to cruise past the nobody teams when things go wrong like they did last night. The top 4 of the lineup went 2-17 with 2 walks.
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Most of the the good pitchers declined to play. Pitching and D was suspect right from the get-go of rosters being announced.
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that's some garbage AI generated pics. LOL
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Its not a formal contract, it's an agree to sign when he turns 16. it's totally non-binding. They're just agreeing now to pay him 1.8 million in 2031. Just like all the other teams that already have informal agreements with kids before they turn 16.
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They have a few junior college arms, and a Div 1, but yeah... household names like: Terrin Vavra (2B) – Former Baltimore Orioles infielder with MLB experience. (160 games, career OPS+ of 83) Marek Chlup (OF) – NPB minor leaguer and 2023 WBC breakout star with a .888 OPS. Martin Muzik (1B) – Team captain and former DII National Champion; hit a key home run in 2023. Martin Schneider (RHP) – Pitcher who threw 5.1 near-perfect innings in 2023 and is a veteran of the Czech Extraliga.
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Berrios is an All-Star and will get Cy Young votes. Barger hits 40 HR Clement wins the batting title. Hoffman only allows 3 HR all season.
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something like Steven Matz got this year? 2/15 ?
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At the end of the days its immaterial really. I don't blame him for trying to get every cent given his age and his career arc. At the same time though, if he wants a bigger multi-year deal as a starter in 2027 and beyond, then he needs to just keep his head down and pitch his ass off when called upon. Like, what's the expected contract term and value for a 32 year old backend starter anyways?
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Your shriveled left testicle > Leo Jimenez
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Berrios All-Star nod and 5-10 in Cy Young voting coming up
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suffice to say that projections systems are going to have more difficulty with a guy like Lauer depending on their weighting of recent performance vs older performance when there is a large gap where he pitched elsewhere. Error bars are probably a bit more pronounced. I like Lauer as a backend guy, given he's more of a command guy than a stuff guy and his margin of error is much smaller. He's a guy that's going to ride the babip and HR rate roller coaster at the end of the day since doesn't walk a bunch of guys, and doesn't strike out a ton either.
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anyone have a stream going?
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He also played football in high school. Started as a tight end but ended up a wide receiver.
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1.35 million is like what... 0.4% of their CBT. I get that ya cant just pay every guy whatever they demand just because they made the finals last season .. but it seems like this was a weird hill to go to battle over.
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Indeed. Then instead of "what if our 31-year old shitballing swingman demands a trade if he's not in the starting rotation from day 1 of the season" we could be consumed with "what if our near 35-year old shitballing swingman demands a trade if he's not in the starting rotation from day 1 of the season"
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Sure, they should care to the point where it might take away from the team's success like theyd care with any other player. At the same time, I do find it odd they would go to arb over a few hundred grand at this point when he's about to go into FA at the end of the year. It's not like that new number is going to make future arb deals more expensive since there are no more future arb deals.
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He was already DFA in December. Then went unclaimed, so he was outrighted to AAA. There's no option process involved. He's in AAA until his contract is either purchased again by the Jays again or traded. The way the Jays did this with timing was pretty smart. They DFA'd him a few days before the Rule 5 draft when teams were purging roster spots instead of adding. Plus, if they took him then, they'd be taking his entire salary commitment.
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That would be ideal. I don't care if a player is unhappy about his role if it ends up being reduced from the previous year and he did well in that role. That's a completely normal feeling to have. What matters is whether he lets that feeling change how he competes. Players should all be aware that 29 other teams see how well you perform. He's going into free agency after this season. It makes all the sense in the world to shut-up, pitch his ass off and make himself the most desireable asset he can for 2027.
