John_Havok
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As listed above: The top free agent of the offseason is still unsigned with about a month to go until pitchers and catchers report to spring training. Some recent reporting, including from Jim Duquette of MLB Network Radio, has suggested the Blue Jays, Dodgers and Mets are the top suitors for Kyle Tucker at this point. All three have recently met with Tucker, either in person or over Zoom, per Duquette. Will Sammon of The Athletic reports today that the Mets are in the range of offering him $120MM to $140MM on a three-year deal. Sammon says Tucker could make his decision as soon as this week. Who here is in on Tucker for 3/140? Personally... f*** yes.
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Early Jan to early feb - the single most boring stretch of the offseason... every year.
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Fair. More of an accumulator rather than a dominator. I understand that argument. But if they vote him in with admitted substance use, while blackballing guys like Bonds, bye bye credibility. I'm already teetering on the edge of it with Ortiz being voted in on the first ballot
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The final nail in giving a s*** about the Hall of Fame for me is if they vote Pettitte in. His stats are not exactly mind blowing as is, but the fact he admitted to using HGH - if the writers allow him in while blacklisting the other guys...that's it.
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Just me guessing but I would think the Jays have asked for the chance to match any offer he gets anywhere else. He doesn't seem to be Plan A for any of the remaining teams. It seems the teams left out there would all prefer Bregman as their IF choice and would then pivot to Bo if they don't land him. Philly appears interested, but how interested are they or Bo really if all they are doing is having video conferences?
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He doesnt need to prove hes worth 32. He needs to prove hes worth 25.5. Yes. He would use Cease as an example and some other comparable sure but he also still has to understand the mathematical formula which calculates the raises based on his previous earnings using those comparable and his back to back CY Young awards. He is betting that his/his agents calculations are going to come out higher than 25.5 and those calculations are similar to what the arbitrator uses.
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They would be a free agent but they'd still be bound by the arb 3 guidelines from the new team. Getting non-tendered doesnt eliminate the arb process. But I think what you meant is some team that doesnt care would just sign him to a 1 year 30 million dollar deal and avoid arbitration
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All Skubal has to do is prove he's worth more than the midpoint of 19 and 32 of 25.5. Starting from a point of back-to-back Cy Young awards it feels like he might have a case
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Id laugh if Colorado offered any of these guys close to their asking price just to see the resulting decline. They don't want a specific dollar figure only, they want that specific dollar figure from one of a very select group of teams. -
Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
John_Havok replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Varsho was projected at 9.7 Clement at 4.3 Heineman at 1 All 3 fot higher figures. A nice bonus for getting them to the WS. Just Lauer left to go. Projected at 4.4. If the pattern holds he should be locked in at 4.6-4.7ish -
This is the core of my argument Jim. The financial capacity disparity allows the rich teams to use and take advantage of the benefits of the deferral system (as it is) more than the those without the financial resources. It's excellent that the Dodgers, Jays and large spending teams use the system as it's designed. It's a shame the lower spending teams cannot since it was them the system was designed to assist.
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This doesn't change the reality that the Pirates cant take those same financial risks with multiple players. 1 player... sure, but even then they could never do a near 500 million dollar present value deal like the Dodgers did with Ohtani, let alone the next 5 players they also deferred money for. To say that every team has the exact same resources available to defer money, and take the financial risks associated with deferrals is just not accurate. That's where the deferral system favours the Dodgers. Their downside risk is virtually 0.
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yes. all true. However, the Dodgers know they have 700+ million in revenue every year, allowing them to be certain they can defer pretty much anything they want The Pirates cannot do that.
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Large spending teams have the ability to defer far more money than low spending teams for the same reason they can spend far more money than low spending teams, they just have way more money. It's not the actual deferral process that needs addressing, it's how many deferred contracts you can have on your roster that needs to be limited, as well as the overall % of the contract that can be deferred. That's where the big spenders have their advantage. To paralell the NHL ( I know, sacriligous... ) there are limits to how many contracts you can have on your books that you retain salary on and how much of a percentage you can retain overall.
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which mouth breathing moron asked this in the mlbtraderumour chat? 1:18 Berrios, Schneider, and Adam Macko for Mason Miller. Who says no? Steve Adams 1:18 If that were all it took to get Miller, he'd be a Blue Jay 1:19 Actually, no, he'd be with another club, because another team would happily blow that package out of the water. It's a nonstarter. Berrios has negative trade value. Schneider is a bench piece. Macko might be like a fourth or fifth piece in an actual Miller package, but this doesn't even get the ball rolling.
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The Cardinals have acquired left-hander Justin Bruihl from the Guardians in exchange for cash considerations, according to announcements from both clubs. Bruihl had been designated for assignment by Cleveland last month.
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The signing bonus tax loophole is a big one that allowed the Jaya to give what they did to Vlad and have roughly equivalent taxes despite him playing for Toronto rather than a state with no state tax. Deferrals on the other hand needs to be addressed. Big spending teams can exploit it far better than any lower spending team which is precisely the team it was designed to help. It's helping big spending teams more, which was not the intent.
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All of the big 4 leagues in North America are doing quite well right now. What the main differences are is how they generate their money. NFL is massively driven by their media deals. Something like 65+% of their total revenue is from broadcasting and media rights, and like 15% on ticket revenue, with the rest in the merch, sponsors etc. Contrast that with the NHL and MLB where it's still largely driven by attendance as their main revenue source, with broadcasting rights as a fast-growing source, but still not quite the top. Makes sense when ya think of how few games there are in the NFL and how many fewer tickets can be sold to games vs MLB
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Not at all. I think if you look at the history of all big FA deals, very few players actually provide surplus value in a $-per-WAR sense over the course of the deal. But, everyone knows that. The "worth" comes from the flags that fly forever, and the hopefully positive view of the organization amongst the players where your teams becomes a desired destination and players seek out the opportunity to play there
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While the opinion of the cap ruining hockey is extremely debatable... In hockey there are only 1 level of pro below the NHL where they even have control over a player's development. In baseball there are 5. A team with solid drafting and development could still compete with the biggest spenders with a hard cap because it levels out that teams largest advantage, assuming the lower tier teams were willing to allocate the resources necessary to develop players at the highest level AND the bigger spending teams didn't just reallocate a chunk of what they didn't spend on the roster to also improve their development. A cap floor likely wouldn't change the landscape a HUGE amount, but it would certainly put even more pressure on every team to improve their player development systems.
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This is never how low spending owners think (at least, IMO). If I'm forced to spend 80 million more (random # i pulled out of my ass) than I want to, I want to guarantee the gap between me and the highest spending is as small as possible. The main revenue sharing between teams is local and national revenue streams, not CBT penalties. Plus, CBT doesn't all go to revenue sharing, it also goes to player retirement funds and player benefits.
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Bregman's quad issues from 2021 resurfaced in 2025. Recency issues are still similar. Neither can run well anymore.
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Games played 2021 - 2025 Bo - 673 Bregman - 666 Seems like their recent injury history's are nearly identical.
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Nicholson-Smith: "Not a Lock" Blue Jays Sign a Bat
John_Havok replied to Leo Morgenstern's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
This aged well. BNS really had his finger on the pulse -
Kazuma Okamoto and the Toronto Blue Jays are in agreement
John_Havok replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Feels like another move is coming soon. The IF/OF is getting more crowded by the day Need a DFA also, probably another arm
