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L54

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Everything posted by L54

  1. This is what I was looking for. Thanks BTS.
  2. Based his ability to limit walks? His GB% was up, and FB% down. But his LD% was up. To me, he's a product of the environment. From what I understand, xFIP is supposed to eliminate that variance.
  3. Semantics. If that was the 2015 Blue Jays I'd be comfortable with the line up in reverse.
  4. Smoak will be starting at 1B and EE at DH. I think it's clear AA is valuing defense more than the past. Steamer thinks Smoak is an above average offense player, and he's a much more competent defender at 1B than EE. Get him out of Safeco and see what he can do. I expect AA and Gibby to be patient with him.
  5. Can someone explain why FIP and xFIP weren't especially kind to Phil Hughes before his arrival in Minnesota? Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but aren't they supposed to do their best to suppress the randomness a pitcher is subject to? We knew this prior to Hughes playing in Minneapolis: A) He's a fly ball pitcher Yankee Stadium isn't friendly to fly ball pitchers C) Target Field is friendly to fly ball pitchers So my question is, why is there such a discrepancy between the two environments? Or is it a product of setting the single season K/BB ratio, and the fact that pitchers control both these variables?
  6. The Twins have agreed to a three-year, $42MM extension with Phil Hughes, reports Mark Feinsand of the New York Daily News. Hughes, who had been controlled through 2016, will now be under control through the 2019 season. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/12/twins-to-extend-phil-hughes.html
  7. It will depend on how much they improve the pen from now until ST. If AA can't land a couple more quality BP pieces I will not be shocked to see Sanchez start the year in the pen. I've said this before, but I believe most of Sanchez's value to the Jays is in a trade. I would have no problem with the Jays shipping him off as part of a package for a clear upgrade on the roster. I am in no way advocating running the farm into the ground (again), but I'm not convinced his value will ever be higher than it is this offseason. Like you said, I hope I'm wrong as well.
  8. I'm leery of trusting the SSS of innings out of the pen, and people thinking those same results will transfer to the rotation. It's not the same. If AA and Co. know something we don't, and don't see Sanchez as anymore than a high leverage RP the rest of his career, then okay. I just don't think its the right time to make that call.
  9. Cool story, Hurl. That's unfortunate that you didn't keep with it, but hindsight is 20/20.
  10. Sanchez should be in Buffalo as SP depth, yes.
  11. Agreed, first time I've been to that site. Very nice!
  12. Meh, the Jays added around two pretty good middle of the order bats.
  13. At 3/10 and a viable back up at SS. It makes as much sense as the Saunders trade did (which AA capitalized on). Come on Alex, we know you read the board.
  14. I won't be participating.
  15. FWIW Comment From _David_ What do you make of reporters saying everyone in the industry believes the Saunders trade was even? Even if you see them as equal players, it was still 2 years for one, so Happ would have to be quite a bit better, right? 9:34 Jeff Sullivan: Apparently a lot of people in the game see Happ as possessing rising stock. They think he’s got real upside, and so, you take that for what it’s worth Interesting at least.
  16. Interested to hear everyone's take on this.
  17. Semantics. His contract hinders the Jays allocating that money in other ways if they so chose. I think the Jays could add 3 WAR including a SS if they had 22M more to spend. I don't have a problem with Reyes the player. The way he came about though wasn't so efficient.
  18. Or because he's still an above average SS in the league. Reyes himself isn't the problem. His contract is.
  19. This is quite irrelevant to me. The opening day starter is just that- the opening day starter. A better question would be who do you think starts the wildcard game if the Jays were in that situation? In that case, in a vacuum, majority of the board would choose Stroman.
  20. Yes, yes it does. Just because there are funds available, doesn't mean you have to go spend it as soon as you can. The money saved might not all be spent this offseason, but could allow for room to take on another contract midseason, depending on where the team is at.
  21. Bautista and Edwin could put up .380 OBP's, Donaldson could put up 6 WAR, Stroman could develop into an ace, Hutch could take a big step forward. See how there are two sides to this coin? Edit: Late to the party I see.
  22. Because Shields was the player being discussed originally. That's why I used him. I don't know enough to say for sure whether pitchers or hitters regress more quickly, but I'd have to think it's fairly constant, if not in the advantage of hitters. A lot of miles on some arms once they hit their 30's.
  23. What happens if 33 (in 3 days) year old James Shields regresses? What if everything doesn't go right for him and you're stuck with him til 37?
  24. I don't think 1000 innings from five starters should ever be considered easy.
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