Laika
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General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
Laika replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I know the reply will be something nonsensical like "all of those runs are Fisher's fault!" but hopefully seeing Taijuan Walker fold like a cheap lawn chair and get his depressingly mediocre pitches demolished by the Yankees has convinced a few people that he's not worth investing in after this year. It's just not a good bag of pitches. It works if you're looking for a back-end SP who you'd never want to have start a playoff game. -
Hello I posted two polls in Fantrax. One is for expanding the bench by one slot and the other is for expanding the minor league roster by two spots. I personally do not care if either change happens but I said we would vote on both. Also, I have decided to change our debut waivers rule to mirror the other leagues. This will start in 2021. Players will then be freely addable at 8PM two days after their first MLB game played. This would replace the current timeline of 8PM following their first day on the roster. The reasoning is: consistency between leagues, it's not as easy as I first thought to find out when a player was on the roster, and it seems that in this league there is not a need to put the vast majority of players on waivers anyway.
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Are you talking about Cron or Forsythe? Either way, both of them were not dramatically better with Tampa than they were two years before coming to Tampa. Tampa is good at identifying talent who underperformed recently and buying low on them then giving them the perfect amount of playing time in optimal situations. On wRC+, I believe it is home park adjusted AND league adjusted (AL/NL) but I don't think Fangraphs does any type of divisional adjustment so you might actually have a point. I'm sure some huge f***ing nerd has solved this but it's too complex to permeate the veil of popularity. There is a reason that Dave Cameron used to say that fWAR is not accurate to the decimal point e.g. you can't really say that someone who had 2.5 WAR was better than someone who had 2.3 WAR.
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It depends on the type of player you are. They are an excellent developmental organization and they are the best team in the sport at highlighting a player's strengths. They have made careers. Here is one example Logan Forsythe has 9.7 career WAR. 6.7 of that came during his time with the Rays. They paid him $3.895 million during those years. His career earnings are $21M. The Dodgers paid him like $18M for 1.6 WAR the two years after Tampa traded him. If Logan Forsythe is never traded to Tampa Bay, who knows what happens. He might never become a good enough player to be awarded $18M total in his final two arbitration years. He sucked the year before Tampa acquired him. Maybe he just flames out in San Diego and barely makes a few million. There are guys like this every season. CJ Cron - parlays 2.2 WAR in 2018 with Tampa (earned $2.3M) into $10.9M over the next two years and he suxxxxxxx.
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That's Olerud's whole point. Vlad aged 15+ years in two offseasons. He now has the body of someone who should be aging out of baseball.
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Grant
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It will never happen but I thought it was a great idea.
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Often works out that way because they are on a different level, but they get f***ed sometimes for it. Just this past offseason they actually included Jake Cronenworth with Tommy Pham to try to milk value out of Pham before he got too expensive in arbitration. Xavier Edwards could be really good I guess but Cronenworth is a stud and Renfroe f***ing sucks. So that one is nice to see. But it's not just the trades. They do other annoying money saving stuff, like platoon everybody and do weird RP usage in (small) part to suppress arb salaries, non-tender useful players who are set to make a tiny bit more in arb, blah
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Personally, I love the Rays. I just wish they would move to any other city so they could sometimes have a payroll inside the top ~20 in the league. Keep all the baseball innovation but remove some of the money saving "innovation".
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This deal aside, if you are poor you can game the Athletic annually and just sign up during the Christmas / Boxing week sale every year. It's 70% off I think. I think the site is worth it even at full price. One of the only online subscriptions I pay.
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Bringer of Rain Elite Dynasty - - bjmbleagues.com
Laika replied to spittin's topic in Fantasy Sports
wait, you benched Voit for Danny Jansen and then lost because of that specific decision? pain -
He looks very different now, for sure. I do think fitness is the main issue. I don't think it's as simple as "fat = bad"; we have seen many of fat power hitters. BUT most of the fat power hitters either came up fat or slowly got fat. Vlad gained a large amount of weight in a relatively short period of time. I think this happened pre-2019 and then again pre-2020. It has to mess up the swing mechanics. If you look at a 2020 HR compared to that Montreal homer, the bat looks a bit slower and he does not look as balanced in 2020. His hips don't clear out properly.
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I think Tatis was like the 30th ranked prospect in his IFA class. At the time of the Shields trade everyone would have reported Erik Johnson as the first piece going to San Diego. MLB.com's scouting report from his IFA year: Every year a dozen Fernando Tatis Jr.'s get signed as babies. Most never make the big leagues. One every hundred years turns into this version of Tatis Jr. Poor White Sox!
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They’ll be the same as regular season
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At least I drank the Kool-Aid right away: I will carry water for Ross Atkins until I die. Or he gets fired.
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New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays Game 3 of 3 Ryu Starts
Laika replied to Slade's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
We will have to wait a decade but if we just look at former #1 prospects it's still very unlikely he will be worse than any of Brien Taylor, Todd Van Poppel, Rick Ankiel, Delmon Young, or maybe Jurickson Profar (who was looking like an all time bust due to injuries * hype, but has been a somewhat useful player recently). -
New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays Game 3 of 3 Ryu Starts
Laika replied to Slade's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Another day at the office. -
If Kirk hits like Vladdy right away it will be a resounding success. A 105 wRC+ from an out-of-nowhere catching prospect that young who just skipped AA and AAA would be swell. Completely different scales for offensive success. Being said, I expect Kirk to be a well above average hitter. Anyway, aside from Vladdy most of the GB% leaders are small/fast guys so I don't think there's anything to fat correlating with groundballs.
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Crazy how none of us know anything and we continue to post here. The smartest BJMB poster is still a raging idiot
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Do your thing King. We need quotes
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f*** this weight loss talk. Play Fat.
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Has to be an innocent misstatement or a misquote. Probably meant the best stuff he's seen come through the affiliate he coaches.
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f***! Just found out my Porsche needs to go in for service.
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Kind of have to trust the system, I guess. Guys like OG and Davis showed big promise this year.
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Way too many ugly turnovers. That’s the difference. Have to think Gasol seems like five minute in the second half.
