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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Permanent bench job. I love him, irrationally
  2. It became a big PR issue recently, kind of organically. League had to do something.
  3. The rule didn't change. Tyler and his cheater friends made decisions to cheat, and they carried risks like this whether they appreciated it or not
  4. If McGreevy sits 91-93 and touches 96, isn't that just the 2021 version of Deck sitting 90-92 and touching 94 back in 2010? Basically the same fastball, relative to their peers at the time. Deck was more or less 50 FB, 60 SL, 50 CB, 50 CH, 60+ command, good track record and size. McGreevy's scouting figures IN CONTEXT are not that different. The problem with Deck was two fold, I think: 1) Toronto didn't care enough about velocity and stuff. They were behind the curve and they valued other (apparent) skills too much. Like size, pounding the zone, etc. 2) Toronto wasn't on top of Deck enough to know that he was declining heading into the draft. His K rate actually peaked as a sophomore, not a junior. They drafted a declining asset who unfortunately continued to decline athletically in pro ball, or at least failed to improve in pro ball. You might even blame a huge part of Deck flopping on Toronto's failed development of him, and not the selection. Did they even try to fix the guy in any aggressive way? As far as I remember he just plugged along in the minors putting up 26 starts and 5.00+ ERAs for a few years then debuted throwing 92-93 still.
  5. I actually don't think so. I just travelled to every single known universe and Deck McGuire goes to Korea in 2019 to get his s*** pushed in in all of them.
  6. Stop talking about Deck McGuire! Nightmares. 11 - Deck McGuire - Toronto 12 - Yasmani Grandal - Cincinnati 13 - Chris Sale - Chicago
  7. You typically have to wait until close to the deadline. Time for sellers to become sellers, or admit that they aren't getting the sun and the moon for, I dunno, Taylor Rogers.
  8. Everything is possible What is probable though? The run expectancy of having a runner on second with no outs is about 1.068. So if Dolis pitches a clean ninth, the most probable scenario is Toronto scoring one run in the top of the 10th.
  9. No, to win the game Toronto has to pitch the bottom of the 9th and the 10th innings, at minimum. Montoyo has to think of them both simultaneously, he can't just ignore the 10th until it happens. Really just a question of whether you want Dolis vs. the heart of their lineup with nobody on base, or Dolis vs. the other part of their lineup with a man on base. A: Romano against the heart in the ninth + Dolis trying to hold the extra inning runner B: Dolis against the heart in the ninth + Romano trying to hold the extra inning runner You would need to actually do the math on the leverage of both situations and consider the reliever results tendencies (strikeout rate, etc.) It's possible that facing the bottom of the order with an inherited runner is HIGHER leverage than facing the heart of the order with nobody on base. It really is NOT the classic mistake of "saving the closer for a save situation" because of the extra inning rule. You manage the game to win the game, not to survive one more inning.
  10. Laika

    NHL Thread

    salty tears
  11. I'd care more if he was a sure top 1 or 2 talent. Looks like he is just one of the top 5 or so guys, so whatever. Jays pulled a bigger steal with Martin than Leiter would be for Boston and it's not even close
  12. Leiter has been in the top 3 a lot. It's only very recently that he has started mocking a bit lower, perhaps because of this
  13. Right, I didn't even think of this. To spell it out for everyone - if Montoyo used Romano successfully in the bottom of the 9th that just means it would have been Dolis, or Castro, or whoever pitching the bottom of the 10th with a runner on second. Romano is basically the only reliever with a half decent chance of stranding that extra innings runner.
  14. Penalty is fine as long as it is actively enforced during games. Having a pitcher removed from the game is a huge penalty
  15. Yeah it's part of his profile. High walks, but also hard to square up
  16. Really should have traded for Matt Wisler two days ago
  17. Yeah you already expressed this opinion. You might be right but you're probably wrong.
  18. I don't think that's strictly true. The team has been pretty quick to give guys like Merryweather and Romano high leverage roles because they were performing with great stuff that "projects" well. Castro is just kind of getting results. Eye test says replacement level reliever, to me. Dolis actually has a closer type out pitch. Basically, for Castro to have better projections he would need a REASON for them. Wicked s***, a couple seasons of v good MLB performance, etc.
  19. His elite stats overseas matter quite a bit and show up in the Steamer and ZiPS projections.
  20. Dolis is probably their second best projected reliever. Like it or not.
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