I think Collins is like a first percentile pitch framer, about as bad as it gets.
The projection systems are still buoyed a bit by his prior MiLB indicators but this is a guy who has failed spectacularly to acclimatize to MLB pitching and then demonstrated those flaws even in AAA in 2021. As usual, the challenge with projection systems is figuring out when exactly it's appropriate to inject your human brainpower.
He is projected for a wRC+ between like 80 and 97 depending on the system. In 2021 he had a 90 wRC+ and was worth -0.7 fWAR.
I just can't appreciate him as anything more than an emergency catching option who is perhaps good enough to:
- literally catch most pitches thrown by an MLB pitcher
- run into the odd home run