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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    "never hear anything about footballs in the NFL" are you 3 years old?
  2. Laika
    If he did this last year it would = performing as hoped But after the lost 2021 I think this qualifies as exceeding expectations so far
  3. Laika
    One *hitter* outperforming. Although you can argue Springer is. A couple of arms are doing very well.
  4. Laika
    The thing with Yankee Stadium is that it's just kind of sad and pathetic So they had this vintage stadium people liked, lots of history, but it had a joke of a short porch They build a new, modern stadium and MLB somehow bent over and let them keep the joke of a short porch even though new stadiums have to fit certain parameters. Special treatment. Now they have a s***** new stadium nobody cares about and they don't even get full attendance because of ticket pricing and s***. They have basically debased the new stadium by rolling the joke dimensions over. They could have build something original, inspiring, and creative, but instead they build the same piece of s*** across the road. lmao.
  5. Laika
    The bullpen is fine
  6. Laika
    Yeah he's like 93 to 95.....
  7. Laika
    Romano's stuff is uhhhh concerning
  8. Laika
    I'm still favouring Lux but I think TL is right. Just trade Lux who is far more valuable (to someone).
  9. Laika
    Kyle Hendricks on a Monday: 8.2 1 3 1 7 7.00 0 0 0.00 .143 how sweet it is when your SP8 does this
  10. Laika
    I dunno Baseball is a technical sport with small margins for error/success It has a long history of f***ery Mound changes, wilful blindness with steroid use, spitballs, wonky stadiums, the list goes on and on really, the ball probably went through massive changes in prior decades but we just didn't have the data to know
  11. Laika
    The balls were mixed in 2021. Some of the new 2022 balls were in circulation but as far as I understand, many were the gopher balls still.
  12. Laika
    Marco Estrada???? doesn't make sense, he was pretty good for like 6 or 7 years, just had some wonky FIP vs ERA stuff going on at times.
  13. Laika
    yeah exactly
  14. Laika
    Must be a hidden ball thing like Yusmeiro Petit I bet he gets hammered third time through the order
  15. Laika
    Ignore xwOBA right now - it has not been rebalanced for the reduced run environment. They do that mid-year. It could be off by as many as 20 points right now. Or just mentally adjust it down I guess. Everyone's xwOBA is too high. It's probably assuming league average hitter = .325 wOBA when it is .310 wOBA (I don't know actual numbers).
  16. Laika
    Terminator risked it all with an AIDS joke It did not land lmao
  17. Laika
    DeGrom isn't coming back. Even if he does he won't be DeGrom
  18. Laika
    LMAO you have legit the scariest rotation.
  19. Laika
    When The Rocket hits a barrel right at you and starts sprinting out of the box with his dreads flying everywhere, all you can do is fall to your knees.
  20. Laika
    Hit the ball so hard Steven Kwan was STUNNED
  21. Laika
    Tapiaaaaaaaaaa Our contact hitter Speed speed fast swing swing balls in play
  22. Laika
    Oh yes
  23. Laika
    Yeah the change in approaches by hitters definitely also had a lot to do with the rapid increases in stuff and changes in pitching practices. Definitely. You can see this with guys like Kevin Pillar who are bad hitters with good hit tools - they make too much contact and the stuff is too good now that more often than not that means terrible/weak contact. Imagine if Kevin Pillar had the discipline to swing way less. He probably would have been Alex Bregman. He has as much or more raw power than Bregman, that's not a joke, look at max EV for both of them. So if Kevin Pillar simply swinging less would = him being a way better hitter, that helps illustrate the idea that in general swinging less = better results for hitters if we are in a league where pitchers have great stuff and when you happen to square up a ball it tends to go over the wall.
  24. Laika
    So from what I understand, baseball wants there to be more than one way to assemble a winning team. In 2014 swinging wasn't a bad idea but there were other ways to win. You could still slug to win. After 2015 the only really valid way to build a good offense was the stack patient hitters who didn't swing a lot. I just pulled the data. From 2015-2021 (ignoring 2020) the negative relationship between swinging and team runs is clear. R2 is about .1...... that's pretty high for one variable, in theory 10% of the difference in run production comes from team swing rate with swinging less being better. In 2014 the relationship is slightly positive. But essentially flat. So swinging more was better, or at least not worse. If you look at 2010 to 2014 the relationship is negative (like 2015 to 2021) but with less magnitude. The R2 is .034
  25. Laika
    You SHOULD be smart enough to answer this but do you think something would be correlated with winning, at the team level, across an entire season, if it was NOT correlated with runs?
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