Anecdotes mean nothing anyway
You'd have to look at the entire sample. Some type of analysis like "RHP with plus breaking balls" or "RHB with plus velocity" vs Toronto
They are #3 against RHP this year so I assume they do well against every sample of RHP.
From time to time a rookie or random RHP holds them at bay and that is frustrating and plays into certain narratives but... that happens to every team.
I think they should have more balance ideally and I would not expect the numbers to be the same moving forward
But I see tons of people blaming the 2022 issues on the lack of an impact LHB and that's just asinine really. Like, it's dumb. There is no connection. There is a logical disconnect.
I would go with "underperformed" before "overrated"
Vlad + Bo + Berrios are going to cumulatively produce like 9 or 10 WAR less than projections / expected performance
Bo Bichette has a 78 wRC+ against lefties with a 25% K rate
you cannot tell me that Bo is mentally okay this year
he has demons in his head man
2020 + 2021 he had a 151 wRC+ against LHP with a 19% K rate
vs. LHP
.325 wOBA
113 wRC+
10th best offense
vs. RHP
.329 wOBA
116 wRC+
3rd best offense
I don't know. It defies reason, but the offense underperforming in certain periods has NOTHING to do with behind right handed heavy because they are underperforming against f***ing lefties!
So when people say the offense struggles because there is no LHB in the middle of it, you can just tell them that is definitely not true. Add a LHB in the middle and this backwards team performance just gets even worse lol.
I would be interested in reading or hearing a coaches perspective on why the bats struggle against so many lefties that they should be destroying. Like, Reid f***ing Detmers has no business pitching in Toronto without giving up at least five runs.
We will set the matchups late tonight or tomorrow morning so don't panic if you look early in the AM and things don't look right
1 vs 8
2 vs 7
3 vs 6
4 vs 5
Remember, 4 division winners make the playoffs + 4 wild card teams
But matchups for those 8 teams are just based on total points so it's not like division winners get seeds 1 to 4. We could have a division winner as seed 8 this year even.
First two rounds are one week one.
The finals is two weeks long this year!!!
I think finalists will have 5 adds for each calendar week of the finals! I think!
So leave it as it is?
The nice thing about a 2 week final is it removes two start SP luck.
Like, if you get lucky with how starts line up you'll have a 3 start SP during the finals vs 2 starts for an opponent's SP. The advantage is 50% rather than 100%.
I guess we just need to think about changing the add/drop limit for the week. 5 might be too few for two whole weeks? Or just leave that as it is too and the finalists need to be conscious of any moves.
More on Berrios' release point
You can see that within several seasons his vertical RP has seemed to drop as the season went on. Maybe this is fatigue showing up.
In 2022 he STARTED the season with a low release point - at a level that he only really lived at during the final months of a couple of seasons before.
It's like he started the year tired, or maybe hurt. I wonder if he did something different in the offseason.
There is a graph on his main page
You toggle to AVG RELEASE VERTICAL
Then switch the season to just 2022
and the interval to GAME
His release point last outing was one of his highest of the year
You all must apologize to Ross Atkins.
He went off the board with Anthony Bass and got perhaps the best RP traded at the deadline and he's under control cheap for 2023.
Just galaxy brain moves from Ross.
I think it is set up so that
R1 = (Mon Aug 29, 2022 - Sun Sep 4, 2022)
R2 = (Mon Sep 5, 2022 - Sun Sep 11, 2022)
R3 = (Mon Sep 12, 2022 - Sun Sep 25, 2022)
So finals is a double week
Is this what we always do?
It's like Josh Anderson or something like that
the hit tool is just everything in baseball
so funny that Alejandro Kirk is better at the sport than Oneil Cruz. So f***ing funny.
the hockey analogy
80 slapshot
80 skating top speed
80 saucer passes
30 hockey IQ
40 hands
I think this hockey player is still comfortably above replacement level in the sport
they would be a 20 goal scoring winger who needs a great centreman
Being fast is just so irrelevant in baseball most of the time