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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    I'm not so sure the Yankees profile any better than the Blue Jays long term Toronto could be better than Boston and the Yankees indefinitely. Who knows.
  2. Laika
    Emasculating loss. It's over, guys. Who should we trade?
  3. Laika
    Things are pretty grim, to be honest Division might be too good
  4. Laika
    Morel was GOOD in 2022 and then destroyed AAA and is now killing it for Chicago. wasted bullets! maybe they got an additional year of control over him though, I dunno I hope they miss the playoffs by 1 game
  5. Laika
    The Cubs wasting 100 PA on Eric Hosmer while both Christopher Morel and Matt Mervis were in AAA was insane.
  6. Laika
    We need some big time flops in Baltimore. Grayson and Gunnar are both scuffling so far... hmmm....
  7. Laika
    You're not understanding the nuance of what I am saying. It's okay. Sleep on it.
  8. Laika
    Not everything takes 162 games to stabilize. We also have some new categorical knowledge. e.g. we are pretty damn certain at this point that Moreno is not going to flop. We did not know that 6 weeks ago.
  9. Laika
    Kirk MIGHT have landed Alek Thomas. Some people here liked Thomas. He sucked and was recently demoted.
  10. Laika
    The thing with baseball is if you wait for the answer to be obvious, you'll be too slow. You'll never get the good players. You'll never sell the declining players in time. You have to consistently search for an edge and act as quickly as possible. It's "okay" sometimes to use visual or short term information as a supplement to statlines and projections. You can make decisions more quickly that way. There is risk to it, if you turn out to be stupid. But some people have a good brain at putting all of the information together and making quick decisions while being right more often than not. Just not seeing anything with Varsho that makes me thing he could improve a bit on his fundamental skills, from 2022. That's a bit disappointing; there was a glimmer of hope when the trade happened that he might in fact be able to make incremental improvements and be a monster. And the previous stuff I said on Moreno, I would reiterate. Is 6 weeks long enough to make a conclusion on the trade? No, of course not. Is 6 weeks enough time to start sliding your opinion on the probabilities a little bit? Absolutely.
  11. Laika
    Vlad, Kirk, Manoah at some point you have to wonder if there are systemic issues in the organization when it comes to nutrition and exercise
  12. Laika
    6 weeks is a small sample but not a meaningless, tiny sample! + watching the players play. + the emotional pain of this current Blue Jays season.
  13. Laika
    If they stop running on him it does not logically decrease his defensive value! It just might decrease his measurable defensive value if CS count is part of the equation. It's hard to measure "choosing not to run because the C has a cannon" I dunno, hitters hit. 2020-2021 in the Venezuela winter league hit .373 2021 MiLB hit .367 2021 AFL hit .329 2022 MiLB hit .315 2022 MLB hit .319 2023 MLB is hitting .321 He might just be a guy who runs a .350 BABIP all the time because of batted ball profile. Not all ground balls are created equal. Some good hitters are able to go with pitches and spray their groundballs all around, leading to high batting averages. If anything, arrow up on Moreno's offense because he is surviving without accessing any of the power or patience he showed a bit of in the minors. He had 9% walk rates at times down there. He had 8 HR in 32 games in 2021 in AA and 12 HR in 82 games in 2019. As he matures I could see him being more like, 20% above league average or better as a hitter. Maybe something like Alex Verdugo?
  14. Laika
    Well, it just means they should have received better value for him. Or traded a different catcher. Of course that's easy to say and harder to do. They probably tried everything all offseason and ended up taking the best deal they could get. They still kind of got f***ed though, in hindsight. It's not an amazing look on Atkins. He should have had some leverage given the market. The f***ing Cardinals chose to pay a non-catcher $90M to catch, rather than trade fair value for Danno. How does that happen? Bizarre.
  15. Laika
    Is the velocity up? Everything I had read in the last year or two indicated he had Chris Bassitt velo at best.
  16. Laika
    It just wasn't a great use of resources. Whether or not it was "bad" depends on your lens.
  17. Laika
    Kloff's K and BB rates have always been borderline. Like, he would pair a decent K rate with a bad BB rate. I dunno. I still don't trust this. He might just be getting lucky.
  18. Laika
    Many top catching prospects in the mold of Moreno end up not being impact players or even average players. Look at Keibert Ruiz or Knizner. Part of what made the trade ostensibly fair was the risk that Moreno would be useless in the short term to a contending team. But as the weeks tick on and he looks like an MLB average catcher, or better, right now, that risk evaporates. That tilts the equation on the trade heavily. It's healthy to be open minded and change your opinions over time.
  19. Laika
    I didn't think Moreno would be this good right away. I also assumed Varsho was a better player from his results.
  20. Laika
    Right!? Jansen is a flyball machine too. Espinal can barely lift a tennis ball.
  21. Laika
    Tiedemann was a rocket that would go top 5 in a redraft. The comparisons were never fair. Barriera has like a 1% chance of being as good as Teeds
  22. Laika
    I mean......... Moreno is hitting like .330 and gunning out runners while Danno is hitting .150, Kirk has forgotten how to frame and hit for power, and Varsho flirts with the Mendoza line. It doesn't look great. Oops.
  23. Laika
    Trevor Bauer, through his agent, released the following statement today: "I flatly deny any allegations that I have been getting rocked in the NPB. All of the damage done to my statline was completely consensual."
  24. Laika
    Just look at projections. For 5x5 ROS in a 12 team league, based on FGDC, Yelich will be worth $12 and Nootbaar will be worth $1. Year to Date Yelich has been worth $7 and Nootbaar has been worth $1. So there is really no sensible reason to think they are even close in a 5x5 league. Actually, even if you delete AVG and insert both OBP and wOBA Yelich has the edge in both YTD and ROS. But they are closer.
  25. Laika
    steals in a 5x5 yelich is probably better
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