Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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Qualifying Offer decision day Torres, Imanaga, Gallen, and Grisham are the 4 that people think could accept the QO Personally I think they all should but I am probably out of touch. The websites predict just Torres to accept it.
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It's demonstrably true though I mean what more do you want lmao. 0.4 WAR is a rounding error
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The main point is that Bo might be pretty close to "market inefficiency" territory Yes, anybody is going to give Tucker more money because of the kinds of skills he has. The walks, the ability to pull the ball in the air. Those give you some confidence that he could age gracefully. But I don't know how people are justifying these $400M projections for Tucker and then saying they won't give Bo the Willy Adames deal. It just seems like some classic can't see the forest for the trees stuff going on.
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Yeah I agree If Rogers is keeping the payroll flat, then the position player side of things is "fine" as it is They can add nobody and field a complete lineup. It's flimsy though, and needs depth to cover injuries or flops. In 2027 you assume Santander slides to full time DH when George leaves.
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It's not even a narrative, hahaha. It's facts. They are pretty close in talent. Tucker probably gets $100M or $150M more but Bo has a shot to outperform him from here on. Tucker is at best 1 win better right now. There is an argument that Bo is actually quite underrated right now
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Steamer 2026 3.7 WAR - Tucker 3.6 WAR - Bo lmao Peak season - 4.9 fWAR for both Bo is a full year younger and has more "defensive utility"
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It definitely won't Steamer might be low on him but it only has 3.7 WAR (I don't think any other projection systems are out right now) He is 29 in two months. Aging curve says he is now on the backside of things. If you start him at 4.5 WAR and take off 0.5 per year, he's worth like $270M if one WAR is worth $11M now and you inflate that slightly over time. I think a team can justify the 10/$300M if they want to get better NOW but that's his value IMO.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
Laika replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I guess he's an elite defender. + he got so lucky with the stick, lol.
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But Vlad is the Entertainer of the Year!
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He's barely better than Bo Bichette Tucker is a really good player but he has no standout / elite tools. This isn't a $400M+ player. I could see nobody wanting to give him $300M. If you cover the names it's hard to discern his 2025 season from say 2018 Andrew Benintendi If you need a bat (that can play defense too) and can get Bellinger for 5/$125M or Bo for 7/$175, or something like that, it's hard to justify spending so much more for Kyle Tucker
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Raise payroll Sign Imai and Tucker
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Horrendous plan
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I'm not so sure. He's a pitcher, remember. This isn't a guaranteed superstar every year. That arm blows up and the chance to sell EXTREMELY HIGH is over.
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No other team would make an offer like that though As good as Skenes is, he still has a projected surplus value and he's not worth that much capital They SHOULD trade him for a big haul right now though. A realistic top offer would be the top 5 or so prospects / rookies of a solid farm system. Like, Nolan McClean, Jett Williams, Carson Benge, Brandon Sproat, and someone else from the Mets. And the Mets might even not want to do that. The Yankees probably get uncomfortable after offering Schlitter, Rice, and Jones, tbh.
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Ross Atkins Opened the Door to the Blue Jays Adding a Closer
Laika replied to Bob Ritchie's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Not sure the Mets or their fans even love Diaz. Yeah his overall numbers are dominant but he has had two years with them where he had pedestrian ERAs and one with a pedestrian save rate. There might be a perception that he is too erratic and unreliable. -
Daulton Varsho is 5'8" and 207 lbs I agree that he should be extended Maybe some kind of leg implant procedure could bring him up to 5'11"? He'd lose some athleticism but he'd look better in pictures
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Varsho and his .222/.290 projection isn't landing a TOR pitcher anyway Only thing I can even think of is the Royals, for Kris Boob Itch. They have Isbel as their CF and he's basically Myles Straw.
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I think Straw For now Straw is fine since the defense is a bankable asset. It helps a lot over a full regular season. He gets the bat literally knocked out of his hands against good pitchers though. Clase is like 10 wRC+ points better, so he's a bit more cromulent offensively, but the tradeoff isn't there since it doesn't seem like Clase is a good CFer. I think you run with Straw for the regular season but think twice about his role on any playoff roster.
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Yes but
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Varsho is weird for value / free agency Defense dependent, volatile player Will only get like $10M in his final arb salary Reminds me of Harrison Bader who I think just goes year to year for $10M at this point Or Tyler O'Neill, different profiles but similar kind of risk vs upside profile. That was 3/$49.5M KK is another similar player. Was extended by TBR so he was older in FA, but I don't think he ever earned more than $11M AAV Should be able to extend this little butt plug for like 4/$40M to be quite honest
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but he sucks now...
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You must be trolling Someone will give Kay a shot, yeah.
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Not really. 592, 581, and 513 PA before 2025. The two significant injuries in has career were the shoulder surgery and big hamstring strain, both in 2025.
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Toronto Blue Jays Targeting High-Leverage Relievers
Laika replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Devin Williams seems like the perfect buy-low but his numbers under the hood were so good that you wonder if there will even be any sort of discount. He could just get a big deal. Lots of interesting RP options this year. As usual. And lots of them will be landmines. Little and Fluharty have options; I would enjoy a Drew Pomeranz one year pact. That for the back end + someone from the top of the talent list (Suarez, Williams, Helsley) or at least the higher-octane one year deal bin (Fairbanks, Pagan, etc.) That would set up the depth chart for Little and Fisher to get optioned, so there is good depth. Of course dudes will get hurt in spring- 10 replies
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- phil maton
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Toronto Blue Jays "Expected to Be Suitors" for Pete Fairbanks
Laika replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Who knows. They have been in on literally everybody for years, so nothing has changed until we see it change. Not that anything needs to change... they could put together a strong team without increasing the budget.
