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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Big Byron Buxton energy that's for sure
  2. Awhaaaaaaaa I thought you loved Jazz
  3. Belt seems like a good sport. I'd guess Hicks or Merrifield.
  4. Nobody said they are the same! The important question is whether the two different game environments have a non-linear impact on different player archetypes. One analogy would be say you trying to get laid in Manhattan vs Tuscaloosa. Very different dating environments but you are still striking out in both places, 100% of the time. Some dude who is a solid Alabama 7 might wheel in Tuscaloosa but never touch a girl in New York. So you suck everywhere but he only sucks in Manhattan. We already know that elite relievers can be more valuable in the playoffs, because they can have a bigger impact; managers will let them pitch every game, or pitch 2 innings, and generally pitch MORE than they do in the regular season. We already know that elite SP can be more valuable in the playoffs because they can start more frequently. There is some continued discussion on whether or not high contact hitters are more valuable in the playoffs. This is probably because there is a higher portion of elite pitching, so being able to just put the ball in play and not strikeout could be worth something. I have heard some debate on this. Some nerds agree, some do not.
  5. do you even know what non-linearity means?
  6. Yeah the only things you can count on showing up are the things of minimal impact that happen all the time. Like singles and walks! A slugger hits a homer once every 5 games or so.
  7. You are conflating things. The time it takes to measure true talent does not = the chance to have an impact in any one game, or a small string of games. The things that take longer to measure actually can have a BIGGER impact when the relevant event(s) occur. Like, one clutch catch with runners on can be more impactful than a home run.
  8. One thing Shapiro said that made sense to me is: "there is a competitive advantage in organizational continuity" Basically, cleaning house and going scorched earth can have negative impacts. You lose valuable people every time, even incidentally. You lose communication networks and fracture working relationships. Stuff like that.
  9. Most of this is just stupid drivel that we would expect someone who works in "hospitality" to spit out. The only way to definitely have a team that has better odds in the postseason vs. the regular season is on the SP side, because the rotation is smaller. If a team has two proper Aces but bad SP4 and SP5, they will be a relatively better playoff team. That much is obvious. The rest of what you are saying is super dumb. A lumbering outfielder's bad defense can have just as much impact on a single game as a home run swing. Do you not remember Nelson Cruz in the outfield on David Freese's legendary triple? Any decent outfielder catches that ball.
  10. Yeah, if a bunch of people flip coins against each other someone will inevitably go on a winning streak. It doesn't mean they are necessarily special. Houston might even have been cheating for a chunk of their playoff wins!!!
  11. Friend, connorp is on here saying the Phillies have the secret sauce
  12. The point remains that the playoffs are extremely random! Stars and Aces don't have the differential impact vs. the regular season that connorp wants you to think they have Replacement level scrubs like Nick Castellanos can and will win games and even entire series. That's how random the playoffs are. Aces only have a differential impact because teams can use them in 1/3 or 1/4 games instead of 1/5 of games. They don't have special added impact within any specific game. It's over.
  13. 2 homers off Strider is an extreme fluke, yes.
  14. Of course you'd want your Ace on the mound. That's not the point
  15. You are completely out to lunch and finished Geriatric You just don't see it
  16. "Aces carry" "Stars shine" Spencer Strider gives up two homers to Nicky Castellllllanos lmao
  17. "Aces are all that matters" narrative takes another blow as Strider gives up three homers while Suarez gets the win.
  18. oh well then
  19. Baseball was NOT a pure upset sport before expanded playoffs because only truly good teams made the playoffs. There were still upsets but it wasn't an 84 win team going on a run. The regular season weeded out all the mediocre teams. Most of the time. That doesn't happen anymore. They let mediocre teams in and then have coin-flip series. The playoffs are extremely random. It's not pure randomness! It's just relatively random. Aces win playoff games and trophies but only *some* Aces of course. Clayton Kershaw does not count. Jake Peavy does not count. Tyler Glasnow does not count. Chris Sale does not count. Kevin Gausman does not count.
  20. then do it, fart muffin you can't because I'm right
  21. Aaron Nola had an ERA/FIP over 4 in the NL this year. Is he even still an Ace? He's Jose Berrios level
  22. The randomness in baseball playoffs is much higher than most other sports. Upsets are probably much, much more common than the other major sports. Basketball would have the least upsets. Hockey probably more upsets than basketball but still not close to baseball. I don't know anything about football but it's basically just a wizard vs. wizard matchup between QBs right? Feel like there are less upsets in football despite the one game sample size, just because of how it is played.
  23. Agree with all of it They HAVE to sign someone who can maybe have a strong offensive year but it's probably an OF/DH I'd rather watch Tim Anderson try to remember his name all year than watch Biggio and Espinal platoon and combine for 11 home runs. Babe can be the presumptive starter at 3B with Orelvis and Barger waiting for their shot around the IF.
  24. Nah f*** this s*** If he was truly "cackling" it repeatedly while walking around the clubhouse with reporters in there, then there is no reason to keep it hush If you overhear a stray thing from a player sure, don't report it, but if a guy is acting like THAT then he is definitely signalling that it's fair game
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