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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    c'mon, meatloaf football's playoff matchups = 1/16 of the season (6.25%) nhl's playoff matchups = 7/82 of the season (8.54%) basketball's playoff matchups = 7/82 of the season (8.54%) [ignoring their stupid play in tournament] world series and alcs/nlcs = 7/162 (4.32%) alds/nlds = 5/162 (3.09%) Relative to regular season length, baseball's postseason matchups are the worst measurement of relative team strength in north american pro sports
  2. Laika
    100% this is why I kind preferred the 1 game wild card thing; it opens up space for the division winners to just always do a 7 game series in all rounds... although they can't do it now because the worst division winner has been bumped to the WC round. So it's just not fair in that sense. Maybe the solution is the elimination of two divisions. So just NL west and east and AL west and east. Then you can give the division winners a bye, have 4 wild card teams do a single elimination round, then go immediately into 7 game series for the rest of the playoffs. We should also return to the short lived nine game World Series!!!! No f***ing off days.
  3. Laika
    bWAR also likes Arenado much more than fWAR does, which will influence some writers
  4. Laika
    No idea. Definitely many writers will blow their load over 10 straight GGs. But Wright - Longoria - Arenado will be a fascinating group to watch slowly be voting eligible as they are so similar (assuming Arenado is done being a star player). Like if David Wright doesn't get in how can you argue for either of the other two? None of them are Hall of Famers to me. Actually, I'll walk that back a bit. Arenado might get there.
  5. Laika
    Of course wRC+ last 4 years is 76 (sss), 112, 150, 107. that's after five straight prime years of 121 to 133. it's probable that he is done being an elite defender his under the hood offensive numbers don't show any drastic drops but you can see small things like uptick in chase rate the last couple of years, trouble getting the ball in the air this year. very much feels like Evan Longoria circa 2017/2018 probably at the stage of his career where a 3 WAR season is close to as good as you can hope for
  6. Laika
    absurd I am open-minded about Kim Ng possibly being a great executive because it's not like she had a lot of resources to work with in Miami, or a good organization or ownership group... but it has to be about the body of work. People keep talking about how she is "qualified twice over" to run a team but really very little she has done with the Marlins demonstrates that she is an upper half GM.
  7. Laika
    Jeremy Pena playoff legend game tonight Max Scherzer leaves with upper back tightness that turns into offseason TOS surgery
  8. Laika
    Varsho is a weird one. Some of his LF stats are not that great. Austin Hays is a huge "TV dive" defender. KK is up against Luis Robert and Julio Rodriguez and they all have basically the same OAA. It's kind of weird. I feel like literally any of these Blue Jays finalists could win.
  9. Laika
    GG finalists: Berrios P Kirk C Chapman 3B Varsho LF Kiermaier CF
  10. Laika
    Wow! But he was going to fly the nest and win a World Series with the Red Sox in the next two years! He's a genius, Jimmy Gluck is. Lucky us he is stickin' around. wow!
  11. Laika
    Victor Martinez. There's another possible answer for the question of who the f*** ruined Springer, Kirk, Vlad, Chapman this year
  12. Laika
    It happens all the time doesn't it Jordan Montgomery is going to get like Kevin Gausman money, haha
  13. Laika
    He is literally part of the Blue Jays front office. If he was so f***ing good you'd think you guys wouldn't, you know, hate the Blue Jays brain trust so much. Click is also the "VP of Baseball Strategy" so you'd think that angry Jays fans would be mad at him specifically, seeing that the two biggest complaints at the end of this year are both baseball strategy things, being the team's day to day offensive approach and the one game decision to pull Berrios.
  14. Laika
    show us your wife or girlfriend or fwb looking forward to it
  15. Laika
    No he wouldn't, lmfao. At best he'd get the Trey Mancini deal from last year (2/$14). Might not even get that though.
  16. Laika
    The front part of these contracts are working out mostly as Philadelphia hoped, yes. Still pretty early for most of them though. Harper 2019 to 2031 Wheeler 2020 to 2024 Realmuto 2021 to 2025 Castellanos 2022 to 2026 Schwarber 2022 to 2025 Walker 2023 to 2026 Turner 2023 to 2033 The Wheeler signing was a total jackpot. Everything else kind of just looks somewhere between bad and okay. But lots of years left, lol.
  17. Laika
    It's true for Biggio too though. The difference is that Biggio is not a +20 defensive player. He's a minus defensive player. So his oscillation between replacement level player and a 1.5 WAR player is not that interesting anymore. I would say that the "average Jays fan" including many on this board think that Varsho is hopeless with the stick.
  18. Laika
    The KK signing was such a grand slam that mental midgets like connorp think an MLB squad can do it every year. No. There are almost never quality CF available in free agency for reasonable costs. You either pay big for a Nimmo/Springer level FA or you are weighing Kevin Pillar against a 37 year old Brett Gardner i.e. looking at bench players and backups. 2024 is actually a bumper crop for possible 1 year CF options. Best I have seen in a while. You have Michael A. Taylor, KK, and Harrison Bader who may sign a pillow contract. All three of those guys you could probably just give 500+ PA to and they would provide 2 WAR or close to 2 WAR. There is a big difference between "sacrificing offense" and starting a 90 wRC+ player vs. sacrificing all semblance of offense and starting a 70 wRC+ player. Dude says "WAR schmar" and then makes a mistake that WAR prevents you from making. He's like a cartoon message board buffoon.
  19. Laika
    I mean yeah. The money made the decision for her I guess.
  20. Laika
    Buying high can make sense if you think the breakout is legit. Varsho's defense was as good as they thought and his defensive value will probably be a bit higher as a full time CF. The funny thing is that the IMPRESSION for Jays fans is that he can't hit at all and is a lost cause. But it's not really true - his offensive profile is just kind of on the razor's edge between acceptable and poor. His AVG and K rate were relatively stable compared to 2022 and 2021, when he was a 100 and 107 wRC+ player. His power was down a bit in 2023. So all it takes for him to swing from a nearly 110 wRC+ player to an 85 wRC+ player is some very minor bad luck on BABIP and a minor dip in power. That is to say, he's like one teeny tiny adjustment away from being exactly the same player he was in 2022. He needs to like, get 3 more successful bunts down and turn maybe 5 big flyout swings into homers. That's it.
  21. Laika
    Speaking of Bauer, I was looking at SP in the Japanese League for 2023. If you sort by strikeout rate and ignore pitchers who didn't throw 100 innings (so we are only looking at full time starters) the two standouts are: Bauer, 130.2 IP, 4.19 K/BB, 9.0 K/9, 3.03 RA9 Shota Imanaga, 148 IP, 7.25 K/BB, 10.6 K/9, 2.80 RA9 Imanaga is 30 and getting posted this offseason. Bauer's stats give a nice benchmark - Imanaga might be "better than Bauer".
  22. Laika
    Huge props to Rachel Luba for not dumping Bauer. She looks like Aces at this point. I wonder if we see her pick up some other massive clients in the next couple of years.
  23. Laika
    I think he went 5 innings in his first two AFL starts. He went 5 IP a bunch in 2022. Kyle Harrison never even went 5 innings in the minors in 2023, then after being promoted SFG let him go 5+ a few times including 6.1 in his second start. Toronto and San Fran clearly think of Harrison and Tiedemann in a similar way. I wouldn't expect Tiedemann to come up and be overly babied. It's a new world. Teams aren't training most SP prospect for endurance anymore. They would probably handle him like Kikuchi to begin his career.
  24. Laika
    Scherzer could suck though
  25. Laika
    Cope.
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