20M in total is like
700, 700, 700, 4M, 6M, 8M
why would you think about AAV when the player has to make six figures for three+ years to begin?
20M is like guaranteeing him more than some people think he would be expected to make in arbitration anyway. Like, lots of people probably still don't expect him to even make it through arb without getting non-tendered.
Aaron Ashby 5 yr, $20.5M (2023-27), 2028-29 club options
Evan White 6 yr, $24M (2020-25), 2026-28 club options
Garret Whitlock 4 yr, $18.75M (2023-26), 2027-28 club options
These are all extensions currently running. All were notable prospects, though.
It lines up incredibly well.
Surprisingly good former non-prospect who is old when he debuts
Obviously nobody knows what Schneider is thinking. All the team can do is open the conversation. But he might be an idiot to "bet on himself" and turn down twenty million dollars.
I dunno. He got a $50,000 signing bonus 6 f***ing years ago and is now a nearly 25 year old father of three who nobody thought was even a prospect
How could he even justify turning down $20M guaranteed?
Vlad + Varsho + Kirk are the problematic ones
All the others are just bad luck / injury / age.
Well, maybe. I think Springer has had a pretty bad approach at times this year.
Espinal is a broader coaching problem. I don't really like the way he has seemingly been training.
Chapman has done some weird stuff this year with his offensive approach. But he overperformed heavily in the first month so his WAR was steady.
PLAYER --- 2022 WAR --- 2023 WAR
Vlad --- 2.9 --- 0.4
Varsho --- 4.8 --- 1.6
Springer --- 4.3 --- 2.2
Bo --- 4.5 --- 3.1
Chapman --- 4.2 --- 3.2
Jansen --- 2.6 --- 1.9
Kirk --- 3.9 --- 1.3
Biggio --- 1.4 --- 0.7
Espinal --- 2.3 --- (0.1)
16.6 WAR decline from these bats in one year
Of course, the pitching aside from Manoah and Cimber has gone in the other direction. But Manoah's 4.1 to (0.4) negates the positive trends from Kikuchi and Berrios.
The Jays are going to host the Yankees and get shutout three games in a row by like, Jhonny Brito, Michael King, and Randy Vasquez.
The five rookies filling out the NYY lineup will all have multiple extra base hits.
Yimi Garcia will throw lots of strikes and still give up 2 runs blowing a tie in the 6th inning
It is prophecy
Bichette is pretty close to a sstar
I dunno. The organization was utterly incompetent until like 2014 and then it becomes aggressively focused on a short term window before a retooling period. It's not surprising to me that it wasn't a star factory. The Toronto Blue Jays have arguably only been a fully functional organization for like the last 8 years or so.
Hill, Lind, Marcum, Cecil, Sanchez, Stroman, Bichette, Manoah, Osuna, Guerrero, Biggio, Jansen, Pillar, Kirk, Romero, Janssen.
I don't think you can count Romano since he left the org. But debatable.