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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. This guy is completely cooked. 92-95 with piss-poor command and bad shape on the fastball. A slider that doesn't do what it used to and he also cannot command. In 2021 and 2022, he had a 102 stuff+ on the FB and 112 on the slider. That's a solid grade on the FB and an okay grade for a slider. His location+ numbers on both were near 100. In 2023 the location numbers cratered by almost 2 standard deviations (think, 50 grade command became 30 grade...) and his stuff numbers went to 91 and 94 on the two pitches, well below average. How does this happen How for someone his age How It is like he has the yips or something Why was he not doing weighted balls or hardcore velo training all offseason? He should have came into camp throwing 97 ffs.
  2. LMFAO ALEK MANOAH LADIES AND GENTLEMEN Single HBP HBP GIDP Double (hart hit, 105 mph) Lineout HBP Lineout Groundout Walk Double (nuked, 110 mph) Great outing, Alice.
  3. Alex Fast @AlexFast8 · 3m Blue Jays top prospect Orelvis Martinez smoked a double at 111.2 mph. That's the 2nd hardest hit ball of the spring (of all tracked games)
  4. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Fun to look at career stats for Crosby and Ovechkin now Crosby could really climb the all time assists leaderboard if he plays a few more years Ovie might be cooked, probably won't set the goal record. Bit sad. Joe Sakic might be the most underrated player in history. What a stud.
  5. None of this makes sense and you are dumber than most monkeys Water freezing at 0 and boiling at 100 = the best Water freezing at 32 and boiling at 212 = so dumb it hurts
  6. People just cling to F because they like how 100 degrees = "it's really f***ing hot out", right? I must admit, that makes sense. But none of the rest of it does.
  7. Yeah I think so If the player settled (didn't actually go to arb) I think the new CBA says that is a guaranteed contract, even if they are released. But IIRC a player on salary arbitration contract (you went to arb) can be released during ST and be given a pro-rated portion of their salary. It used to be 30 days? My understanding if they are not released, but optioned, they still get the money. So they could maybe cut him and save most of the money...
  8. It's not much different than the current workload A: Mods have to use spam-o-matic to delete spam threads (this bans the account in the process) B: Mods have to approve the first post of all new accounts Same amount of clicking, no?
  9. Atkins hit absolute home runs with Belt and KK last year, so he does deserve the benefit of the doubt. It is possible that the majority of these cheap veteran FAs will be replacement level players anyway. It's not helpful to save money if the player sucks! What if the Jays internal projections say this: KK, 2 WAR IKF, 1.5 WAR Turner, 1.7 WAR Chapman, 2.5 WAR Pham, 1 WAR Rosario, 1 WAR Urshela, 1 WAR Grichuk, 0.5 WAR Kike, 0.5 WAR I mean, it's safe to assume that Toronto wanted KK, IKF, Turner because they like them more than the alternatives i.e. they project better. Having KK+DV in the OF also provides important resiliency as the team can afford to lose a CF. It's easy to plug someone into LF, it's very hard to just find a CF on your depth chart though. A team without KK in the fold, and some platoon with Pham+ in LF, is one DV injury away from.... IKF in CF? Springer in CF? Cam Eden? Nathan Lukes?
  10. The problem with trading all the depth guys Is they probably have no value now that the FA context has shifted Vets are signing for $1M... why would anybody want Biggio or Garcia or Richards at their salaries? Dunno boys
  11. They should be trading guys like Biggio and Espinal ANYWAY in my opinion and relying on Clement and (insert name here). The current situation is kind of awkward. I really dislike Espinal as a player now. That he fumbled a ball in his first spring training chance at 2B was poetic.
  12. Yeah I was not trying to imply that Yimi + Espinal would be enough payroll to clear It was just an illustration that clearing just those two would already be a loss of 1+ wins for only $8M in savings, so it would be hard at this point to clear payroll space for Chapman in a way that would make the team obviously better all things considered The only way to do it is clean out 3 or 4 roster players to save a bunch of money, as you said, and then be able to replace them with league minimum guys who are almost as productive as Garcia, Espinal, Biggio, Richards. That is a tall task! Whatever you or anyone thinks of those guys, they all have their MLB merits. They are all proven talents (in some ways). Garcia should be good for 0.5 wins, Richards for above replacement level value, Espinal and Biggio for positive war from the bench spots
  13. LOL that guy held his own Bauer f***ing sucks eh.
  14. I dunno why this matters so much to people. I understand the narrative, but Chapman has literally never been a below average hitter. Every season is 101 wRC+ or more. There would be other reasons that teams don't want to give him Boras money. Tough to think of a 31 year old's defense as money in the bank. That's probably the meat and potatoes of it. I would guess, actually, that some teams have more confidence in his bat than his D over the next few seasons! Exhibit A, his age. Exhibit B, his OAA and UZR/150 in Toronto were just good, and not actually elite. His DRS in 2023 was elite, but not in 2022.
  15. put me in, coach he's leading off here, maybe he wanted to hit
  16. Schneider coming in as a defensive replacement for Espinal on Feb 26th is.... odd.
  17. He must not have amazing acceleration His sprint speed, 70th percentile, is not as high as you'd expect for an elite CFer
  18. Him and IKF are actually easy to compare because the D is probably a wash Just need to look at cost and batting / baserunning IKF's best year he was -11 runs combined in batting + baserunning Chapman's 2023 he was about +9 So that's a 20 run swing. Two wins. And IKF could conceivably be worse (he has been). Chapman could be better (he has been). Or it could work the other way (possible, given their ages and certain other things). We never know. Now subtract who you think Toronto needs to trade to fit him into the budget... trading Yimi + Espinal saves $8.5M but might be a 1.2 win downgrade or so.
  19. Bichette 112 mph single lol
  20. Yeah I want to see Schneider getting most of the 2B reps
  21. He's not really playing 3B anymore so it doesn't seem likely
  22. Good point but I think teams were/are turned off by the shape of his season and probably a little confused by the drop in pull% He went from 47% pull rate to under 40% Is that a sign of bat speed slowing down? Would love to see him just return to a high 40s% pull rate and 25+ dingers Similar to Bellinger as just a generally confusing player. Jordan Montgomery is also kind of confusing as his underlying talent measurements don't line up with recent production and the playoff narrative. Snell is just the classic really good pitcher with some injury history and episodic walk problems. Not really confusing.
  23. Agree that Atkins fumbled Had to let the offseason play out first but these contracts in the last few weeks have made the conclusion somewhat clear I think when they gave KK $10M they probably assumed guys like Duvall and Pham would get close to that, at least $6M or $7M, and they thought KK was far more valuable based on defense and projections. Well, those guys might sign for $1.5M at this point. Probably could have bought a Pham + Eddie Rosario platoon in LF for less than $10M total. $18M for IKF and KK. Take the more generous of the available projections and they project for like 450 PA each and 3 to 3.5 WAR total. They aren't a BETTER team if they replace those two guys with bottom of the barrel options right now, but they are a cheaper team that is likely close in projected total WAR, and of course they could have more money to incentivize a Chapman pillow contract right now which is the whole point. The only saving grace here would be good years from KK and IKF. If IKF's defense is as good as the team thinks and he does anything with the stick he's a 2+ win player and you'd prefer him for $7.5M to the aging Chapman at 3x the AAV. This entire season rides on Falaffle tbh. 2024 is his year. The whole country is on his shoulders.
  24. Yeah who watched Cooke pitch Need scouting report
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