Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

Laika

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    37,613

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    75

 Content Type 

Profiles

Toronto Blue Jays Videos

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospects Ranking

Toronto Blue Jays Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Pick Tracker

News

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    No DDL or LOD titles? woof.
  2. Laika
    Luck is part of baseball? Since when!?
  3. Laika
    But yeah the honeymoon phase is now squarely over for the Orioles. They are still in a great spot long term because of their enviable core of Henderson-Rutschman-Cowser-Westburg but they blew it this year. I mean they traded for Trevor Rogers at the deadline, lol, then demoted him and didn't win a playoff game. And DFA'd their big FA reliever signing before the playoffs. lmaooooooooooooo shitbirds.
  4. Laika
    You never know with catcher defense, right? Like, Gary Sanchez is still catching a bit in 2024. Who ever thought a player shaped like Kirk would be a plus defender? I don't really trust scouts much when it comes to minor league defensive projections.
  5. Laika
    Brewers did just as much and with less resources. More impressive. Being said, Preller had a good year. Gutsy calls with the Soto deal, giving Merrill CF from day one.
  6. Laika
    This doesn't give Judge and Soto enough credit though Like, the heart of the Yankees order isn't just better than the Tigers or Royals it's.... orders of magnitude better
  7. Laika
    cmon andrew ibanez
  8. Laika
    Well, that would be the exact question that the sabermetric evidence examines. I guess the high K%, high HR% players are just more often neutralized by higher level pitchers. Something like that. Like, these elite SP are giving up like 0.5 homers per nine innings. Elite relievers, even less (some of them go all season with giving up one or no homers). Over a big enough sample, yes the homers will happen and they have big impact but in a short series the ability to put the ball in play and get lucky can help tip the odds in your favour. A little bit. Just a little bit, probably.
  9. Laika
    hmmm Eflin vs Lugo The O's are f***ed aren't they
  10. Laika
    There is evidence that contact matters a bit more in the playoffs than the regular season. Sabermetric evidence. I don't have it, but I have heard of it. It's also common sense. Pitching quality is way higher, runs are lower in games that matter when elite SP are on the bump, so a lot of times the game is decided on putting the ball in play or slapping a single.
  11. Laika
    Hunter Brown was extremely good after the first month or so I will be a bit sad if Kikuchi never gets to throw a playoff pitch this year
  12. Laika
    So if Guillermo is gone and Mattingly is no longer the offensive coordinator, unless there is a new hire, I guess they are turning the hitting over to Hague and Mense? I actually like that if so. They had too many cooks in the kitchen before and now they are letting the younger minds run it. Hopefully that's what they do. Or, if they do bring in a new hitting coach hopefully it's someone progressive.
  13. Laika
    omg this f***ing loser
  14. Laika
    over already?
  15. Laika
    Not a good offseason to need an infielder, lmao Paul DeJong or Kevin Newman are the #2 FA options at all of 2B/3B/SS based on 2024 fWAR Gleyber Torres might get $80M after a dogshit season. Kind of just Benintendi his way into to much $$.
  16. Laika
    Chapman and Yimi are probably my favourite one year RP targets Yimi didn't have the TJS right, just shut down with elbow inflammation and a setback? Also, Paul Sewald... hmmm there are actually A LOT of mid 30s or late 30s relievers so it's a good offseason to rebuild a pen, stop-gap pen. lots of guys should end up signing reasonable 1 year deals.
  17. Laika
    The Fangraphs 2025 Free Agent Tracker is finally up Can't believe Jurickson Profar is going to be such a high profile FA lmao I wonder how much he actually gets
  18. Laika
    Really no choice though The team needs higher end RP and he's the bird in hand Not like they can bank on doing any better for that money in FA I mean, maybe
  19. Laika
    He had a 5.13 FIP this year, 4.74 xFIP, 4.31 xERA, 4.58 SIERA terrible K-BB ratio by every measure other than ERA he was a replacement level arm or worse
  20. Laika
    Probably two reasons 1. Vlad camp thinks he is better than his projected WAR 2. Jays camp has (at times) not wanted to give him a 10+ year deal on his "projected WAR" because of demonstrated volatility* *see, it's not ALL about projected WAR, you also care about risk profile and decay rates and aging and other stuff that is harder to figure out for a specific player than how much WAR he should provide next year. on the other side of this coin you can include possible growth or upside in here too, but that's so hard to model I would guess. Like, Zack Wheeler got 25% better after signing with the Phillies - was there any hint at that being a possibility?
  21. Laika
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (5.157): $29.6MM Erik Swanson (5.059): $3.2MM Jordan Romano (5.051): $7.75MM Genesis Cabrera (5.011): $2.5MM Dillon Tate (4.144): $1.9MM Daulton Varsho (4.128): $7.7MM Alejandro Kirk (4.047): $4.1MM Alek Manoah (3.063): $2.4MM Zach Pop (2.171): $1MM Ernie Clement (2.168): $1.7MM cut the bolded Swanson the only tough call I think but he was really good for the last few weeks and the team needs actual human relievers so keep
  22. Laika
    Yeah the proof will be in the numbers The problem with guys like jaysblue is that most of the time they just don't even have an actual opinion. "he will try to get Soto money" isn't really a worthwhile opinion on the matter "he will get close to Soto money if a team is desperate" is too contingent everyone can just say what they think both players will get and one day we will see who is smart and who is not Soto will get something like 13*41 Vlad will get more like 11*31
  23. Laika
    His stuff+ (while still above average) fell off a cliff in 2023 and his xFIP was s*** in 2023 as well, he was probably lucky on flyballs that year
  24. Laika
    Well, Soto is a comparable in many ways It's just that the relationship between talent and contract value isn't exactly linear
  25. Laika
    Most of this doesn't actually matter though 5-6 years in the league, you are who you are WAR is all that really matters. And broad comparables based on age, position, body type and so forth. Devers ticks most of the boxes as a comp. Vlad has the edge in: max power, contact ability Devers has the edge in: positional utility, batted ball tendencies
×
×
  • Create New...