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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. His front side seems to really be f***ed up in that 2024 video. Flies open so early. Probably why he couldn't throw strikes before this season.
  2. I had no idea this guy had such a good fastball. wow! waves and waves and waves of prospects!
  3. I'm not expecting Turnbull to ever be "ready" He had a 95 stuff+ in relief; if he had to go 5 innings that's probably a 92. Coincidentally, that is Lauer's stuff+ right now. I am thinking that Lauer is just getting really lucky and BABIP, LOB% and HR/FB support this. Not sure Turnbull and Lauer are really viable options with the stuff they have now, other than as craftily used long reliever types. But I guess that does beg the question, would some dude + Lauer as a tandem be better than Civale? Maybe. Remember, Max Scherzer is a con artist so his goal is probably to wait and see if a playoff spot is on lock then decide he wants to pitch five games plus the postseason. The wild cards are Manoah, Macko, and Yesavage. I guess if you acquire Civale you probably only want to pay for like 5 or 6 starts by him, since there is a decent chance he gets bumped and cut after that. God I am just so sick of Bowden Francis and now the projections even hate him so it just seems stupid to roll him out there at all.
  4. Should be almost free tbh. Replacement level and still owed several million bucks this year. But an veteran SP6 has some inherent value. Milwaukee needs offense more than anything. 90 team wRC+. Maybe some random Buffalo dude works. Joey Ortiz looks like he has been a disaster
  5. Brewers bumped Aaron Civale from their rotation in favour of Misiorowski. Civale has requested a trade. 30 years old. Free agent after 2025. $8M salary this year. 5.53 FIP on the year (0.0 fWAR) in 5 starts, and 4.74 last year (0.9 fWAR) in 161 innings split between Tampa and Milwaukee. So he has not been very good since 2024 began. ZiPS projects a 4.55 ERA/FIP if used as a starter which would be about a 1.5 fWAR pitcher in a full season. His Stuff+ this year is 95, down from 106 and 108 the last two seasons. It seems like the cutter, which he throws a lot, is specifically worse (from a 102 to a 90). Bowden Francis now sits at a 6.91 FIP and 6+ ERA, bad for -1.0 fWAR. Projection systems all seem to like Civale more than him. They all seem to rate Francis going forward as replacement level or slightly above replacement level. Francis' Stuff+ is 94 this year. The Stuff and Command package you get between Francis and Civale is similar, but Civale has a wider arsenal and maybe more "pitchability." Francis has an option and is under team control through 2029. Toronto could acquire Civale and just demote Francis, keeping him around as SP depth for this year and a project entering 2026. \ Do it! Go get Civale. Slight upgrade. Or, set the sights higher?
  6. Lincecum had a 6.1 to 6.4 foot release point with 6.5 feet of extension (high percentile). Pretty "normal" compared to today where most pitchers want extension, because of effective velocity. They talk about "getting down the mound" and when Lincecum was peaking he was phenomenal at it. Yesavage has a freaking 7 foot release point height with 5.5 to 6 foot extension. He's like a weirdo "tall and fall" guy who does not care about getting down the mound. Crazy small extension, so small that it comps with sidearming lefty relievers. I've seen Chris Flexen, Justin Verlander, and Ross Stripling as comps for his release height and extension but he's on the extreme end even compared to them. On top of that he seems to do something weird or unique with his spine or legs, and it's like his whole body is tilted to the left at release. Those other RHSP had normal movement profiles on their pitches - Yesavage has nothing that moves left. His bullet slider has a few inches of arm side break. Yes. Weird. He kind of looks more like a cricket bowler than a baseball pitcher.
  7. I have been obsessed with reading the posts on the Cardinals message boards all series
  8. tons of pitches again for Little he needs a break
  9. Nope, right to Little. I agree with this even if Little hasn't had great command his last few times out. Turnbull's BP fastball was just waiting to get demolished.
  10. Big inning here. If Turnbull gets through it, the Jays can go to some good RP to finish the game.
  11. 100% I would be cutting Swanson and Green if this occurs. Here are the projected ERAs in the pen, rest of season: Hoffman 3.23 Little 3.41 Yimi 3.55 Burr 3.75 Sandlin 3.91 Flu 3.91 Y Rod 4.02 Macko 4.14 Fisher 4.18 Swanson 4.20 Tate 4.20 Schultz 4.29 Green 4.30 Using Green in leverage is managerial and organizational incompetence at this point.
  12. Hopefully Lauer can give them 4 innings and they don't need much from Turnbull. Maybe Fisher + Little + YRod can get them to the finish line with no reason to use any scrubs like Green or Swanson
  13. Pretty sure they are #1 or tied for #1 in the last 30 games / days too
  14. May not be room at AA for more than Yesavage right now. They have a decent rotation already with Grant Rogers, JWB, Yesavage, and three sleeper prospects in Watson, Dominguez, and Harrison. Stanifer has been piggy-backing as a 4 IP reliever all year so this is his chance to be a normal SP, probably. Start a game for the first time and go 5 IP for the first time.
  15. I'm guessing he slipped a bit in the draft because of those weird mechanics. Teams thinking it won't hold up.
  16. Vlad remains endlessly frustrating. Should be so much better.
  17. Some interesting movements this time. Time to drop certain dudes aggressively and move others up who are performing or finally returning from injury. IMO.
  18. Crazy how quickly things change. Last year, the Franchise was at risk of contraction. Ross Atkins and Mark Shapiro looked like limp-dick bottom 10 execs. The team could not draft or develop. Many players on the team were in decline, or past their peak. Vlad and Bo were set to leave and the window was going to shut. There were no good prospects on the way. The only players under control would have been 2 WAR flawed players like the fat catcher Kirk and his swiss-cheese swinging centrefielder Varsho. The payroll was bloated short term, and perhaps the only good thing you could say about the organization was that they luckily were not saddled with lots of long term commitments. Fast-forward to June 2025. The team is cooking with gas. Bo is back. Vlad is here forever. Kirk is a top 5 C in baseball again. Barger is a stud. Clement is a divine defender. There are tons of positive developments on the farm and prospects rising the ladder. There are signs of good MLB development from guys like Barger, Lukes, Y-Rod. The org can produce an elite reliever at will - Little, Flu, Fisher. The veteran starting pitchers are still themselves. Ross Atkins is googling how many World Series he needs to win to get a statue. Connorp and Grant barely post. My erectile dysfunction is 20% better. Wild.
  19. Not to mention the waves of prospects climbing the ladder. Shrek and Flamingo are dunking AAA already. Ye Savage has his next start in AA - a few weeks of domination there and he can be the SP5 on the big team for the push.
  20. Dude has played 16 games and already has 2 all-time catches and multiple other five star catches. Is he the best CF ever or is this just a heater? Offensively, he was good enough in the minors... he can probably scrape something approaching competence together in time even if it comes with a 35% K rate. He hit the ball 115.2 mph in AAA this year so he's not hopeless, that's a solid top end velo so worst case scenario he could be a guess hitter like Michael A Taylor
  21. waves... the waves are here
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