Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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I'm seeing this as House for pick #15, mostly. Maybe Owings just lets North trade Lowrie if the opportunity arises... lots of people need shortstops.
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Actually I don't really get why North wants Owings...
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House really isn't that great for the DDL settings, lol. Successful overhype by North. Still a fair trade though. I'm not a big Owings fan.
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There's probably some type of contract structure that would get his attention. Perhaps you guarantee him a substantial amount of money over the next four years (say projected arb totals, removing all downside for Donaldson) and in exchange Toronto gets a one time team option after 2019 to get him on the Hanley contract from 2020-2023 (4/$88). Alternatively, Toronto could show faith in the player and guarantee him money for the next 7 or 8 years right now. I know it seems like Donaldson would want to wait four years and try for a big contract when he's 33, but a lot can happen in four years and it's not always that easy for a 33 year old to get more than ~4 years guaranteed anyway. If you offered the Donaldson camp a 7 year contract today at a reasonable amount, they don't just turn their nose up at it. But like you said, no urgency. The best thing is probably what you said. Enjoy the prime years, let someone else pay for his mid 30's later.
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There's also the trade cost. I'd rather just throw Pompey out there, or if you're spending 10M on a meh CF, just give Colby a bit less than that and a pack of chicken hot dogs and he can fill the position with more upside and more defensive competence than Fowler..... Pompey = upside, if he fails... Saunders = palatable CF insurance (Dirks/Pillar fill LF), if Saunders is hurt... Carrera = replacement dude with a reputation for CF defense, strong strike-zone discipline, and plus speed. It's really not a terrible situation. 2B is much worse, obviously (a bunch of s*** and then pray-4-Travis).
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Source: BlueJays sign OF Andy Dirks to a minor league deal
Laika replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Your numbers seem close enough to "realistic optimism". -
And he's been a consistently poor or below average defender. UZR/150 each year is: -23 -6 -6 -17 -3 -36 -14.4 career Matt Kemp effect? Fast twitch five tool black dude must be a CF, right?
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Coors has a notable effect on BABIP (check team stats from past years). I don't think the difference between Fowler's steamer and true-talent BABIP would be big enough to change his projected WAR total by more than a smidge.
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Source: BlueJays sign OF Andy Dirks to a minor league deal
Laika replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
A lot of people here (me included) probably would have just given Smoak and Dirks their original obligations of about ~5M and big league roles. AA was able to sweet talk them and haggle them down to 1M and a minor league deal, respectively. Pretty cooooool -
I don't really see the appeal of Fowler. He's a league average OF that's going to make about 10M in arbitration. He's a s*** defender in CF so Toronto would probably put him in left and Saunders in CF, at which point you're increasing the injury risk of Saunders... I don't even know if he would be a WAR upgrade, really, if you line everything up. Pillar compliments Saunders pretty well and by Steamer600 Pillar is only about a half win worse than Fowler. I also think projections are low on Pompey, as you'd imagine they would be with such a fast riser. Dirks is fantastic COF depth too. I think Fowler actually makes the OF situation worse, or at best it's a lateral move that makes the OF less fluid / more rigid, and at cost.
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Remember when you ordered chicken fingers to go as an adult male and then sat at the table for 30 more minutes and ate them out of the bag? awkward
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Hi, Rick Nash is basically on a SH% surge and he should cool way down by the time fantasy playoffs roll around. I will not attempt to defend my draft. I basically ruined my long term strategy by getting too click happy and landing a couple of players I had no real interest in owning. Although I did want Hiller.
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Yeah, you can't just snap a finger and make guys like Phaneuf and Kessel good defensive players. If the Leafs could go back in time and just magically not give the contracts to Phaneuf and Clarkson they wouldn't be in such a terrible position.... For me, it all comes down to Centremen for Toronto, just like it has for years. In terms of defensive play, nobody has a bigger impact on the ice than a team's centreman. Bozak can win draws but that's about it, and even then 52% isn't elite or anything (last year he was below 50%). He's ridden Kessel to almost all of his points. He is and always has been a miscast 3rd line C. I bet like 1/2 of his shots this year are rebounds off of Kessel shots, lol (probably why his Shooting% is always high but his shot total is always sort of low). Kadri should be on a wing. This is obvious, right?
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just ban spanky already. clown bike...
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Not sure if anyone noticed but Erik Bedard basically said that he'd like to end his career playing in Canada for Toronto. I wonder if he'd be willing to compete for a swing man gig, maybe stomach being in Buffalo for a little bit.... Outside chance to start some games if there are injuries.
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Dirks dirks dirks
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Blue Jays claim Matt West from Rangers, Designate Cory Burns
Laika replied to TwistedLogic's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
It's not really a question with an answer. A high walk rate can be part of a recipe for sustainable success if your high K rate is sustainable... with Delabar, he unfortunately lost a couple of ticks off the top end of his fastball between 2013 and 2014, so there went a lot of his strikeout power. He then had to rely more heavily on his nasty splitter to get strikeouts but that's not really a zone pitch, so you can see the related jump in walk rate. It all added up to ineffectiveness. CH% (split) 2013 = 12.5% 2014 = 19.5% Max FAv 2013 = 97.8 2014 = 95.6 FA O-swing% 2013 = 29.9% 2014 = 24.5% FA Contact% 2013 = 71.3% 2014 = 82.4% FA swstr% 2013 = 13.7% 2014 = 8.4% His splitter peripherals for the most part were the same in 2014 as they were in 2013. His zone% with the fastball was also actually slightly higher in 2014, surprisingly. What it all came down to, it seems, is that his fastball went from a power pitch that got whiffs, to a very seeable and hittable offering. People laid off of it outside the zone and hammered it when it was in the zone. Motherf***ing 34.8% LD% off his fastball..... -
Peter posts on Orioles Hangout, duh...
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If we're being real, the monetary value of having a good team president between now and 2018 would far exceed to expected monetary value of a piece like Jeff Hoffman. It's more about the established market than anything. Good executives worth millions like Theo Epstein have been "traded" for basically nothing in the past.
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Stupid compensation rumours aside, I don't think you can understate the probable positive effect of swapping Beeston for Duquette. Beeston is a dinosaur now and you can see small glimpses everywhere of how his presence and influence is more of a hurdle than a help. Duquette is 13 years younger and is presently a very competent GM, so on the baseball ops side of things there should be a huge improvement. Can we give Beeston any credit for the uniform change and setting in motion the real grass process?
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Yeah it would be pretty bad.
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K......
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Why do you do that? Nobody thinks it's funny
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I think he's very good, but he's pitched basically every other game for the last five years and he'll make like 8M this season... I don't really think he should have substantial trade value. Small asset at best.
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Blue Jays claim Matt West from Rangers, Designate Cory Burns
Laika replied to TwistedLogic's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
wow sick flow http://rangersblog.dallasnews.com/files/2014/05/NS_17RANGD_36587813-620x387.jpg
