Nox

You should try working out. It's fun.

If Edwin's out for a month AND the Rays don't move either or Price or Zobrist, I still don't think it would be any higher than 40% or so.

SeanRod + Burnett/Kennedy would give us a valuable bump and I think both could be aquired without giving up any of Norris, Pompey or Sanchez.

I think so. It might have been in my nightmares however.

He'd be like a 1 win upgrade ROS if you plug him in at 2B. That's pretty valuable. To do that for very little acquisition cost seems pretty valuable to me. Do that and spend some real assets on an arm and I think the team is in alot better shape.

Unless I'm misreading the situation, I'm pretty sure his comment was tongue in cheek. I very much doubt he'd accept even money on that bet.

What about Sean Rodriguez instead? Might cost even less to acquire.

Someone sue the internet!

Which wouldn't seem so bad. The floor is a replacement level player (either Headley playing at that level or his internal replacement in the event he's injured). But, as I said before, the real problem is that if we don't discover that his true talent level is around replacement level until August, our hands are tied. I kind of feel like AA is going to get this done though. Prediction: Nolin + a low level guy for Headley And I don't think I like the Jays' side of that.

Yea, there's a good chance you're right. And after acquiring Zobrist the cupboard may be completely bare. To the point they wouldn't even be able to manage a marginal upgrade at the SP #5 spot. They definitely would. My spiel was more directed towards us discussing his back here. It's hard to use anything other than the broadest of strokes. "His back injury is bad and it would make me quite nervous" is about as specific as I'd get.

What if Headley's true talent level with the back injury is that of a 70 wRC+ hitter with league avg D? Then no, I don't think an investment of any assets is a good idea. I quote projections as much as anybody. When players are healthy they do a better job than any of us do. Professional scouting staffs included. But with something like a back injury they do become far less valuable and may actually just add noise to the evaluation process.

Until he failed to explain how a leveraged $5M investment at this time could be a very shrewd move. The "we're going to build a track team!!!!!!!" pitch only works in a few contexts.

Why would he do that? It's not like the Jays are Leafs bad. They're an average team. If Hurl were a gambling man, he'd need a price far better than even money on that proposition. His comment was obviously intended to rile up the likes of, well, you.

He's the one who has to make the case to Rogers for payroll increases. So, he's definitely involved in some capacity. Get rid of them all. Slash and burn.

Fatty probably just needs to get out of his stupor and go for a run then.

"From the suit: Announcers like Dan Shulman and John Kruck unleashed avalanche of disparaging words against the person of and concerning the plaintiff. These words, include but not limited to 'stupor, fatty, unintelligent, stupid' knowing and intending the same to be heard and listened to by millions of people all over the world ... The defendant Major league Baseball continually repeated these vituperative utterances against the plaintiff on the major league baseball web site the next day. These words and its insinuations presented the plaintiff as symbol of anything but failure. The defendant MLB.Com continued the onslaught to a point of comparing the plaintiff to someone of a confused state of mind, disgusted disgruntled and unintelligent and probably intellectually bankrupt individual." That makes it sound like they did. I didn't actually watch the clip though.

While he is a fat mess, I can hardly blame him for not wanting to be called as such on national TV and trying to work the system to his advantage. New life plan: Become obese, move to the States and start rampantly suing people/organizations for their fatism.

Headley's back stuff is of concern. Without his HitFx data available, none of really know whether or not his currently *low* BABIP is good indication of his true talent or not. He might be hitting as many line drives as normal but if his back is f***ed, he might not be able to hit them as hard. That obviously has an effect on his underlying BABIP skill. There's also opportunity cost associated with going after a risky asset like Headley. Sure he comes cheap but if he truly is a hurt sack of poop that falls apart on turf in mid August, you're not going to be able to react in time to get a Zobrist or equivalent (for a piece or two more obviously). But, to argue with myself, if we are to believe Headley's back is f***ed, why hasn't it shown up in his defensive profile yet? I suppose it could be the specific location in his back that only really hurts during the torque of a swing and not in bending down, to field a ball. Tough to say without seeing his medicals/having a professional interpret them. (And because someone will surely say it/think it - yes this is a small sample size for any fielding data but keep in mind that any ball in play offensive metrics need as much time to stabilize as UZR does.)

Projected to finish at 3.1 wins which, coincidentally, he's done exactly twice already. 15:$6M, 16:$7M, 17:$9M, 18:$10M, 19:$11M Nothing wrong with that contract for a player of his ability.

You're right: young, above average position players on reasonable contracts are practically given away all the time.

I'd take Gallo in an exit velocity off over Bryant pretty easily. Bryant might be the better prospect though. Maybe.

Don't make me link the small sample size song. It's not like we should believe his true talent AA K rate is 42%. Yes, his Ks are a concern but he also hits the ball harder than anybody other than maybe Stanton.

Still lots of risk with the contact rate stuff. I'm as big of a Gallo fan as anyone but #4 seems a bit high to me for a real baseball list. For fantasy it would seem more justified.

Sounds reasonable. As much as I've s*** on Sanchez here, I like Norris.

Joey Gallo clap clap **clap clap clap**