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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. It's not so much that the fans will understand that he's only worth 3 WAR. It's that letting a 3 WAR player (now - who knows what he'll with another few years of physical decline) go instead of giving him a massive contract should result in more wins down the road, which is really all that matters when it comes to driving fan interest. This isn't a Mookie Betts situation where losing him hurts the team meaningfully on the field going forward. It's Mark Shapiro's job to convince ownership not to let a fear of 1-2 years of fan backlash lead to a 12-year mistake. Hopefully he's up to it. I do agree with you that he won't be traded now, or this offseason. I think they'll ultimately avoid the massive extension. But I also think they'll pay a significant opportunity cost by not moving him now, either getting very little next year at the deadline or walking him to free agency and getting nothing.
  2. Has there ever been a situation before where a team couldn't move on from a 3-win player for fear of massive backlash from the fanbase? Maybe like late-career Derek Jeter after he won like 8 rings or whatever? Winning drives fan interest, and extending a mediocre 1B at enormous money based on reputation is bad for the team's odds of winning in the future. Keeping Vlad out of fear of fan backlash is how the team gets saddled with a Chris Davis/Ryan Howard contract - a deal that seems necessary at the time, but ends up as a massive sunk cost.
  3. I don't think this fanbase is dumb enough that trading a 26-year old Christian Walker without the defense instead of paying him 200M+ would be so catastrophic to the bottom line that it isn't feasible to do.
  4. Yeah. I'm guessing Baltimore is thinking they're not tendering Mullins a QO and paying him ~8.5M next year. Mountcastle is a bit different in that he actually has a bit of value, both this year and next at his likely arb salary. Not really sure who they have tabbed to play 1B vs. LHP.
  5. It's kind of shocking how quickly Berrios became an albatross contract
  6. Imagine being not even remotely interested in listening to offers on a 3 WAR 1B who is a year from seeking out a 200+M FA contract.
  7. Yeah, L54 is right - this is basically what I've asked jaysblue to stop doing (which he's done).
  8. Vlad has a 138 wRC+. He's been healthy, playing to projections, and isn't really underperforming his x stats. All of that and he's on pace for 3 WAR because he's already a massive liability at 1B and on the bases. If the team has a chance to get impact players for him now they absolutely should. Don't walk him to free agency. And don't be the team that gives a 3-WAR 1B 250M or whatever. Dude is built like Bert Kreischer and isn't going too get more athletic into his late 20s.
  9. I can't believe we're talking about this team talking a shot at winning in 2025. What pieces are even in place? C - Kirk 1B - Vlad 2B/1B - Horwitz 3B/2B/S - Kiner-Falefa SS - Bichette LF/2B - Schneider CF - Varsho RF - Springer DH - Util - Clement SP - Gausman SP - Bassitt SP - Berrios SP - Rodriguez SP - Basically 0 good pen arms. This team sucks. There just aren't enough MLB pieces. Fire Atkins and then retool.
  10. Wilko, these allegations are deeply concerning. Stay tuned for an invite to your disciplinary hearing with the BJMB moderation team.
  11. This is almost certainly going to result in an eventual meltdown and subsequent ban, on account of you being devastatingly stupid, but I'll let it ride for now.
  12. Philly traded Lee a year later for Phillippe Aumont, Tyson Gillies, and JC Ramirez. Blast from the past.
  13. I didn’t mean because you’re too negative. I meant because most people here are at least speaking the same language regarding player value when they disagree about things and you’re on an island ignoring things like contracts and player performance when you share your ideas. Cleveland didn’t trade Cliff Lee’s career, or the last 5 years of his career to Philly. They traded a year and half, at a time when they were rebuilding. Getting like 1200 innings of a great #2 starter is like a 90th percentile outcome in a deal like that. Inarguable. Unambiguous.
  14. I think you're probably going to find this forum a very frustrating place to participate.
  15. I don't even think he'd return that TBH. 83 wRC+ the last calendar year. I don't think teams will be willing to pay for him as anywhere close to a 4-win player. He's completely nuked his value, and might actually just suck now.
  16. Dalton Rushing or River Ryan plus a low minors lotto ticket like Joendry Vargas or Edouardo Quintero would be an excellent return on Bo given that he's nuked his trade value this year.
  17. Speaking of Brandon Belt: Votto just had a golden sombrero in his most recent game for Dunedin. I hope he just hangs them up. The last thing this wretched season needs is Votto swinging a pool noodle for a last place team for a couple weeks and then getting DFA'd.
  18. Is anyone actually surprised that Ross Atkins is apparently a terrible communicator? Like, there's no way this is the guy you want closing deals. Probably keeps a 7-3 schedule and refuses to take calls after hours.
  19. “They just I guess didn’t want me as bad as some other teams and weren’t able to really put together an offer when it was time for me to make a decision,” he said. “I was willing to, but I think I ended up in a great place and I’m enjoying it here. But I think Toronto’s also a really good place.” Seven months later, Pederson doesn’t recall the exact details of those conversations with the Blue Jays. But he does remember being surprised that the Blue Jays didn’t pursue him more intently. “From the conversations we had on the phone and how interested they were in adding a left-handed bat, their actions didn’t match their words, I guess you could say,” he recalled. “They said everything went really well and then didn’t want to offer what other teams did. So they didn’t make it that tough of a decision.”
  20. I'm obviously not reading that, but my mistake - no troll would have type like 400 words
  21. This post is so bad that I'm reasonably sure this is a troll account
  22. One of the best decisions Shatkins made this offseason was not signing Cody Bellinger. It hasn't been a good year.
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