BTS
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Everything posted by BTS
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Gross
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I don't think AA has done a very good job spending money.
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Honestly, this team could add three more established starters and not have to worry about a roster crunch. Anderson is the 4th starter, and you go with whoever of Thornton/Borucki/Shoemaker is healthy and throwing well as the 5th guy.
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I want an ace as much as everyone, but this team's problem is not that it has too many league average starters. They don't have a single starter that projects to have a 2-win season, and it's really only Anderson and Thornton that can be relied on for a full season of useful starts, to whatever extentyou can rely on a pitcher. If you project Lindblom at 2 wins, there isn't a team in baseball that can thumb their nose at that. The idea that a team with like 2.5 actual starters is too good for a league average SP on a reasonable deal is very misguided.
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Pretty encouraged about this and the rumours that they're interested in Wheeler, Ryu, Keuchel, and Lindblom.
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Didn't the team also snag a comp pick when Burnett left, tying a nice little bow on an already successful FA signing?
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7.5M guarantee for Jake Diekman over 2 years. This market is not what it was the last couple offseasons.
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It's an interesting comparison. I trusted Corbin's skills a lot more going into 2019 than I trust Wheeler's going into 2020. I see a guy who's pitched like a 3-3.5 win starter and been pretty fortunate in suppressing homeruns on fly balls. I get that there are reasons to think improving his pitch mix will help him take a big step, but I have a hard time buying him as a good investment at 110M or whatever he ends up getting. I think I'd rather have Keuchel at like 4/60 or something.
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I have no interest in Wheeler at that price. He has a long history of arm issues, and is running like a 3.9 xFIP pitching in the NL over the last two years. I think the most likely outcome is that you pay 100M for 5 years of a 3-win starter who is rarely healthy enough to provide 3 wins of value.
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I don’t remember many people saying they thought he’d be non-tendered. Just that they thought he should be.
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Arbitration salaries aren’t guaranteed: http://m.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/non-guaranteed-contract
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At least Law is gone, but I can't wrap my head around paying Brandon Drury 2.5M given the amount of talent available on the market right now. Dude is 27 and has put up -1.1 fWAR over the last two seasons and has been replacement level over like 1500 career PA. It's almost unheard of for players like that to get guaranteed money in today's game.
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Pillar non-tendered!
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To be fair to the dummies, I think it was 60M.
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Yeah I remember that. Some posts have aged very badly.
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I think every player who has signed so far has exceeded the median fan projection on FG.
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wow, 4/64 for Moustakas
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Good for Moose for finally getting that long-term contract.
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That's racist.
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Non-tender deadline is today at 8PM ET. Hopefully it's the end of Drury, Law, and Maile.
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I just looked at Keuchel's FG depth chart projection. He should get more than Cole.
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The Blue Jays aren't a team without talent. Vlad, Biggio, Bichette, LGJ, and the catchers are one of the highest-upside young cores in the game. It would be completely absurd for that core to push hard this year only to see the team win 82 games because Ross Atkins didn't have the balls to add talent this offseason. It would be a waste of a prime year of control of multiple good young players, and a waste of a year that could have been spent rebuilding fan interest. If the core thrives, we have a team that is playing meaningful baseball games all year. And if the core fails, the team has much bigger problems than a few short- or medium-term FA contracts signed this offseason. In the last few years alone we've seen the Cubs and Braves contend a year before people thought their rebuilds were finished, the Brewers, Rays and A's build elite teams that nobody thought would be elite, and the Twins topple the Indians as the best team in the ALC, seemingly out of nowhere. The idea that Toronto's core isn't good enough to supplement with FA talent doesn't make any sense to me.
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I have no plans to change the flexible cut down limits.
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This was both a good read and a shameless play at securing another poster of the year award.
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I'm guessing they came to a settlement on his remaining salary, and that this is the real reason why the process took four days.
