I'm not sure I'd qualify him as a bust yet. Regardless, he has hit better outside of Safeco the last few years. Anyhow, the real prize would be Franklin.
I thought last year he was going to be a breakout guy, especially after his torrid WBC. I still think there's a high end player there that hasn't managed to break out yet. He needs to get the hell out of Safeco.
It'll be even worse if they also sign an outfielder like Choo.
I would love to get any of Ackley, Franklin, Miller, Triunfel, M Saunders (and some of their young pitching). Rasmus could be a perfect guy to send them if we don't feel we can extend him.
Teams run in to both good and bad luck. Last year almost anything that could go wrong for us, did. That doesn't mean the talent on the team would project to last place this year with average luck. Opposite with the O's 2 years ago. They had incredibly good luck, but they weren't a 2nd place talent. This year they finished 4th.
You can't just point to the standings and assume that even with no changes to a roster, they'd look anything close to the same the next year.
Yeah, this scares the crap out of me (although until that haul starts impacting at the major league level it'll be nice having Price outside the division).
Don't forget Drabek either! I'm actually really excited to see if he can continue his approach from last year. If so, I might put him as the first callup.
Not to mention that it's not all about surplus value, nor are things like increased revenue from attendance and tv factored in (difference between making the playoffs and missing for example). I'm not saying surplus value isn't important, but actual performance during a window of contention is as well.
IF Cano really is the age he says he is, and IF the Mariners front load the contract heavily enough (and they certainly appear to have the financial ability to front load it), it might not be terrible for them.
The guy in that scenario would play worse at the premium positions than he would at the non-premium ones (almost certainly), which would more than negate the positional bonus.
There are definitely some issues with it imo (shifts being one of the bigger ones), but we don't yet have the data collection to necessarily fix the issues. It's a huge improvement over straight scouting.
Yeah, it's called lack of cash. In all seriousness though, if Seattle manages to score Cano they are going to have a bit of a surplus on the infield. Someone like Ackley or Franklin should become available to help with the 2B situation. Ruggiano would make a nice backup outfielder and platoon partner with Lind.