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Abomination

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Everything posted by Abomination

  1. Cool! The tables should be converted to html though to make them visible to the search engines and easier to read. You should submit the links for these things to MLBTR as they're published. That would increase the number of visitors to the site by a ton.
  2. The team dramatically underperformed last year, so it's reasonable to assume that a fair amount of those wins are made up with average performances across the board (JFaS posted in another thread what the projections for our team are for next season with replacement level players at 2nd, catcher, and SP, and I believe it was something like 86 games). Replacing JPA with Hanigan should be a cheap improvement at catcher and wouldn't likely cost a top prospect. There's been some talk that Porcello might be easily obtainable (Detroit needs bullpen help and we're overloaded there). He'd provide us with solid innings and definitely has some big upside if things click. That would leave us with 2b and one SP. There's a number of trade candidates for 2b that should come fairly cheap, and we should have enough money remaining to fill the final SP slot from FA.
  3. That sounds about right, but probably closer to 8 WAR over the 4 years. I have no idea if Reyes would fetch a pitcher or not, but it would certainly be a good way to cover two holes at no extra cost.
  4. He's been all over the place in batting average, but he's probably worth it (at least at 4/52). You have to wonder about something like signing Peralta, then trading Reyes to the Cards for a pitcher + Wong or something.
  5. Can we also get a button to ignore a thread? j/k
  6. I don't like thread title modifying unless it's to fix a spelling error or remove something offensive (or if the OP asks for it to be). I do like the thread merging though.
  7. I think the biggest issue is no real way to tell the reason why a player had a down year. Was it due to a lingering injury that will completely clear up in the off-season, or was it due to age or chronic injury? For example, if a pitcher breaks his leg, I'm not going to worry about it affecting his stuff the next year or suddenly suggest that he'll only throw 150 innings instead of 200 the next year. If he has shoulder problems, I definitely am. Since many injuries are never reported to the public (and sometimes not even to the trainers!), it's impossible to really include that data.
  8. I meant that I think Jay is underrated as a player, not specifically as a center fielder or with the Cards. Someone will trade for him and move him into left field and get a very nice player out of the deal.
  9. Maybe it's just me, but Jay seems very underrated.
  10. I don't know, Dietrich could be rather interesting (especially if the Marlins would have let him properly bake in the minors instead of promoting him after a handful of games in AA).
  11. You have to find the right fit for both teams though, which is why it worked for the Rangers and Tigers. If we wanted to do this with Buehrle, the analogy would probably have to be with the Angels for Pujols or Hamilton or something (and I'd rather have two more years of Buehrle than either of them).
  12. I know Halladay had/has a knuckle curve, but I'm not 100% sure if he was the guy who abandoned it because he couldn't throw strikes with it or not.
  13. I haven't looked at the numbers, but I would think it would have been more from swings. In the MLB Halladay originally had that big knuckle curve, which if I remember right he overhauled because it was so hard to throw for strikes that people were just laying off it. I kind of doubt that minor leaguers would have laid off it.
  14. If that's true, the equivalent of 18M / year for Prince is a hell of a lot better than 24M. They'll probably get reasonable value on that. On the flip side, Detroit paying the equivalent of 22M / year for Kinsler isn't quite as favorable.
  15. Wow, didn't expect THAT. In other news, Miggy's defensive value just went up.
  16. Well, among qualified 1st baseman last year, there was only one (Napoli at 0.3)
  17. I was looking at it more from the point of view that I consider Goins to be slightly better than Orlando Hudson was defensively when he was here, and according to Fangraphs Hudson's defense in his final two years here rated at 17.8 and 11.5 (which is adjusted for position). Excluding 2013 which I'll consider a bad outlier for him defensively, Ryan has varied between 12.8 and 19.8 the four previous years. In 2010 and 2012, Ryan hit at 55 wRC+ and 61 wRC+ with 19.1 and 19.8 defense, which worked out to 1.3 and 1.4 WAR. Based on Steamer Goins should be a little higher than that offensively (I really think Steamer's projection of 67 wRC+ is too low, but that's another discussion), and a little lower defensively (not talking Steamer projections on defense, since I think everyone agrees it is too low). I don't think it's a bad comparison provided that he can replicate again on defense the kind of range he showed this year in games.
  18. I really think the Brendan Ryan comp I tried to make is a decent one. Both will probably hit fairly similarly, and Ryan over the last 5 years has been roughly worth 1.5 WAR / year.
  19. I don't want to clutter things up by quoting Angrioter's whole post, but taking a (corrected) list like that and providing some stats for each player along with a short analysis would be a huge draw for our new site I bet it would get picked up by MLBTR too.
  20. Well, ideally neither. I have doubts though that you could easily find a bench player that could match his defense and hit better, especially for somewhere in the neighbourhood of league minimum. Anyone I can think of would be a downgrade defensively (although still mlb average or slightly plus). Players such as Ackley or Espinosa (2013 aside) for example (which I would definitely be on board with for either). Neither are really bench players though. I would rather scenario B if I'm limited to the two choices above.
  21. The range he displayed in game was elite level imo. I can't recall seeing some of those plays being made (and look so fluid in doing it) since Alomar was here. I don't think even a young Hudson could, although he would have been close. The small sample size is plenty to visually see his range and defense being exceptionally high level. It's not enough for us to nail down an exact number or predict a WAR value for or anything.
  22. Yes. He's another plus defender with a below average bat. That's exactly what a AAA depth player usually is. I should mention that the reason I rate Goins as better is that I think he can provide elite level defense at 2nd, not just plus. Otherwise I'd consider him exactly the same.
  23. You might want to read his quote again. He didn't say anything about signing Infante as AAA depth.
  24. I see no reason why Goins can't provide similar value at second to what Brendan Ryan does at short. It would be nice to plug in someone with a better bat, but having him start there isn't a crisis or anything imo. As for preferring to keep him as minor league depth, Jonathan Diaz can provide that depth next year.
  25. I don't think companies or individuals in the states are allowed to transfer money to Cuba, which would nix the posting concept. Could be wrong though.
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