Playoff Tracker 202?

[Olerud363.354]

Playoff Tracker thread for unknown month and year when baseball starts again...

Hard to calculate the play off odds when we don't know who the players will be, when the games will start, and how many games.   My guess is it starts June 2028.  I don't know that. 

Assuming they don't change the playoff system there are 15 teams, 6 spots.  Best I can do is 6/15=40%

So.  Not a bad way to look at it.  Playoff odds have gone from 4% to 40% just by switching to a new (unknown at this point) year. 

What can Jays do to increase the odds above 40% in the year 202x  ?   

[SeranthonySantander]

Tracking white Sox in the Al.  If they don’t win, then Tampa bay or Red Sox I guess.  I can’t cheer for Indians after they f***ed us and I just don’t like Houston.

in NL, I pick whoever plays dodgers.  In the other series, pick under dog every time.  That is how you track the playoffs when you aren’t in it.

we could still win 5 in a row and Indians and Texas lose all of their games 

[Olerud363.354]

I'm moving playoff odds down to 39.5%

Start 6 teams make it 6/15=40%

Batemen injury timeline to return uncertain -- likely be back within 6-18 months it will take for baseball to be back. 

Cease injury minor, but some posters say 'tear too small to see now, it will grow big by 10 starts next year'

Not being a negative nancy here.  I moved the playoff odds down very very fractionally.  They are still 39.5%.  Could move up if anything good ever happened

[Olerud363.354]

If Jays hadn't signed Vlad to 14 years 500, lost him in free agency, and signed Pete Alonso as the token replacement (like Raul Mondesi was to Shawn Green)

Blue Jays make playoffs in 2026. 

[Olerud363.354]

Just noticed Dancingmachine pointed out the Vlad/Alonso thing on the game thread.

I hadn't seen his thought, when I posted mine, just an obvious thought.  Nevertheless he clearly said it first, so any profit I make off that above comment should be use.