GDT | 2021 First-Year Player Draft | Day 1 | July 11 — 7:00 PM ET

[center][b]
[color="#800080"][u]Rnk	Name			Pos	Age	Team	Pick	[/u][/color][color="#000000"]
[color="#D3D3D3"]001	Marcelo Mayer		SS	18	BOS	4	
002	Jack Leiter		RHP	21	TEX	2	
003	Jordan Lawler		SS	18	ARI	6	
004	Kahlil Watson		SS	18	MIA	16	
005	Henry Davis		C	21	PIT	1	
006	Kumar Rocker		RHP	21	NYM	10	
007	Jackson Jobe		RHP	18	DET	3	
008	Brady House		SS	18	WAS	11	
009	Ty Madden		RHP	21	DET	32	
010	Colton Cowser		OF	21	BAL	5	
011	Sal Frelick		OF	21	MIL	15	
012	Matt McLain		SS	21	CLE	17	
013	Harry Ford		C	18	SEA	13	
014	Sam Bachman		RHP	21	LAA	9	
015	Benny Montgomery	OF	18	COL	8	[/color]
[color="#D3D3D3"]016	Jordan Wicks		LHP	21	CHC	21	[/color]
017	Anthony Solometo	LHP	18	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]018	Andrew Painter		RHP	18	PHI	13	
019	Joe Mack		C	18	MIA	31	[/color]
020	Will Taylor		OF	18	---	--	
021	Bubba Chandler		RHP/SS	18	---	--	
[color="#0000FF"]022	Gunnar Hoglund		RHP	21	TOR	19	[/color]
023	Jud Fabian		OF	20	---	--	
024	Joshua Baez		OF	18	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]025	Colson Montgomery	3B	19	CWS	22	
026	Ryan Cusick		RHP	21	ATL	24	[/color]
[color="#D3D3D3"]027	Chase Petty		RHP	18	MIN	26	
028	Michael McGreevy	RHP	21	STL	18	[/color]
029	Peyton Stovall		2B	18	---	--	
030	Izaac Pacheco		3B	18	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]031	Gavin Williams		RHP	21	CLE	23	
032	Will Bednar		RHP	21	SFG	14	
033	Jay Allen		OF	18	CIN	30	[/color]
034	Wes Kath		3B	18	---	--	
035	Ethan Wilson		OF	21	---	--	
036	Jaden Hill		RHP	21	---	--	
037	Tyler Whitaker		OF	18	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]038	Max Muncy		SS	18	OAK	25	
039	Frank Mozzicato		LHP	18	KCR	7	
040	Matheu Nelson		C	22	CIN	35	
041	Carson Williams		SS	18	TBR	28	[/color]
042	Adrian Del Castillo	C	21	---	--	
043	Gage Jump		LHP	18	---	--	
044	James Wood		OF	18	---	--	
045	Tommy Mace		RHP	22	---	--	
046	Ben Kudrna		RHP	18	---	--	
047	Chase Burns		RHP	18	---	--	
048	Josh Hartle		LHP	18	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]049	Maddux Bruns		LHP	19	LAD	29	[/color]
050	Matt Mikulski		LHP	22	---	--	
051	Andrew Abbott		LHP	22	---	--	
052	Christian Franklin	OF	21	---	--	
053	Jackson Baumeister	RHP	19	---	--	
054	Spencer Schwellenbach	RHP/SS	21	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]055	Trey Sweeney		SS	21	NYY	20	[/color]
056	Doug Nikhazy		LHP	21	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]057	Tyler Black		2B	20	MIL	33	[/color]
058	Connor Norby		2B	21	---	--	
059	Cody Morissette		SS	21	---	--	
060	Thatcher Hurd		RHP	18	---	--	
061	Tommy Dilandri		OF	18	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]062	Noah Miller		SS	18	MIN	36	[/color]
063	Cody Schrier		SS	18	---	--	
064	Alex Mooney		SS	19	---	--	
065	Alex Binelas		1B/3B	21	---	--	
066	Braden Montgomery	OF/RHP	18	---	--	
067	Ky Bush			LHP	21	---	--	
068	Peyton Wilson		2B	21	---	--	
069	Jose Torres		SS	21	---	--	
070	Ryan Bliss		SS	21	---	--	
071	Davis Diaz		SS/C	18	---	--	
072	Lonnie White		OF	18	---	--	
073	Eric Hammond		RHP	18	---	--	
074	Dylan Smith		RHP	21	---	--	
075	Sean Burke		RHP	21	---	--	
076	Aaron Zavala		OF	21	---	--	
077	Brody Brecht		RHP	18	---	--	
078	James Triantos		SS	18	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]079	Jackson Merrill		SS	18	SDP	27	[/color]
080	Daylen Lile		OF	18	---	--	
081	Kyle Manzardo		1B	20	---	--	
082	Carter Jensen		C	18	---	--	
083	Edwin Arroyo		SS	17	---	--	
[color="#D3D3D3"]084	Cooper Kinney		2B	18	TBR	34	[/color]
085	Joe Rock		LHP	20	---	--	
086	Zack Gelof		3B	21	---	--	
087	Hunter Goodman		C	21	---	--	
088	Robert Gasser		LHP	22	---	--	
089	Jonathan Cannon		RHP	20	---	--	
090	Landon Marceaux		RHP	21	---	--	
091	Bryce Miller		RHP	22	---	--	
092	Cameron Cauley		SS	18	---	--	
093	Michael Robertson	OF	18	---	--	
094	Braylon Bishop		OF	18	---	--	
095	Malakhi Knight		OF	18	---	--	
096	Dominic Hame		RHP	22	---	--	
097	Isaiah Thomas		OF	21	---	--	
098	Denzel Clarke		OF	21	---	--	
099	Brendan Black		RHP	22	---	--	
100	Steven Hajjar		LHP	20	---	--	
[/color][/b][/center]

Available | Drafted | Blue Jay

Edited July 12, 2021 by TwistedLogic

Ray · July 9, 2021

Any of Tyler Black, Ty Madden (if he drops), or Gunnar Hoglund would be good with me. Both Hoglund and Madden have had TJ which is why they might drop to us. No chance we get them at 19 if they’re healthy, so the upside could be worth it.

Just please stay away from Jud Fabian.

InvincibleTiger · July 9, 2021

Is it just me or does virtually every mock have us linked to Jay Allen?

G-Snarls · July 9, 2021

I wonder if Ben Chringron has decided who to take first overall yet......

Spanky99 · July 9, 2021

Any of Tyler Black, Ty Madden (if he drops), or Gunnar Hoglund would be good with me. Both Hoglund and Madden have had TJ which is why they might drop to us. No chance we get them at 19 if they’re healthy, so the upside could be worth it.

Just please stay away from Jud Fabian.

Fun fact: Tyler Black was groomed by my buddies Rich and Rob Butler at their academy (LineDrive), he was playing 18U as a 15 year old and crushing it. That'd be pretty cool if he ended up a Blue Jay. I think they go with Allen, lots of love from the Mocks to Toronto.

ETA: He's also Rod Black's son from TSN, haha!

Edited July 9, 2021 by Spanky99

Spanky99 · July 9, 2021

I wonder if Ben Chringron has decided who to take first overall yet......

Marcelo Mayer brosoff, book it.

glory · July 9, 2021

Yeah seems like a lot of Jay Allen to the Jays in the mocks posted here. I know next to nothing about amateur prospects so I don't know if that would be a good pick or not, but can't argue with the Jays drafting under the Atkins regime (last 3 first round picks being Groshans, Manoah, and Martin) so will trust them either way.

Scion · July 9, 2021

I always chuckle when I read, "Just please don't take player X." No one knows the future, it wasn't that long ago that player X was Trea Turner. Just be happy with whomever the Jays select and hope for the best.

Spanky99 · July 9, 2021

Damn... the Reds have 3 picks in the top 35... 4 in the top 53. Their farm is going to get a massive bump.

Daniel Labude · July 9, 2021

I'm going to guess we take Allen or Fabian at 19

Spanky99 · July 9, 2021

I always chuckle when I read, "Just please don't take player X." No one knows the future, it wasn't that long ago that player X was Trea Turner. Just be happy with whomever the Jays select and hope for the best.

Same, it really is silly.

JaysAllMighty · July 9, 2021

So can we get lucky 2 years in a row with very top talent dropping to us?

TwistedLogic · July 9, 2021

I always chuckle when I read, "Just please don't take player X." No one knows the future, it wasn't that long ago that player X was Trea Turner. Just be happy with whomever the Jays select and hope for the best.

lol, remember when everyone was dumbfounded that the Astros reached for some Puerto Rican kid called Carlos Correa instead of picking Houston-native Mark Appel 1OA?

The immediate consensus was that they purposely reached to get a below-slot player.

Of course, they did sign Correa below slot, and used the savings to pick up Lance McCullers Jr. in the second round.

But shortly after the pick, we immediately saw reports come out that the Astros actually considered Correa the best player available.

Obviously they still made the mistake of taking Appel 1OA the next year, but what a f***ing call that turned out to be for them in 2012.

They got 35 fWAR out of Correa and McCullers and Appel has yet to throw a major league inning.

BlueRocky · July 9, 2021

BA’s final mock has us taking Jordan Wicks.

19
Jordan Wicks
Kansas State
LHP
Notes:
Previously we’ve heard the Blue Jays tied to Florida preps like Andrew Painter and outfielder Jay Allen, but it also makes a lot of sense for Toronto to target one of several college arms who should be available. Bednar, Hoglund and McGreevy make sense, in addition to Wicks (who is the pick), and it wouldn’t be crazy for a guy like Ryan Cusick or Gavin Williams to fit this high either.

BlueRocky · July 9, 2021

Some really exciting arms available at our pick range if the target prep bat isn’t there

BlueRocky · July 9, 2021

Yeah seems like a lot of Jay Allen to the Jays in the mocks posted here. I know next to nothing about amateur prospects so I don't know if that would be a good pick or not, but can't argue with the Jays drafting under the Atkins regime (last 3 first round picks being Groshans, Manoah, and Martin) so will trust them either way.

Allen is advertised to be an explosive athlete in the tier of Jordan Lawlar and Benny Montgomery, that’s pretty exciting. I just get cringes drafting multi-sport guys after the Alford debacle, this board spent years debating about his upside and how much better he would be after committing to baseball. Not looking forward to anymore of these lines of discussion.

metafour · July 9, 2021

Allen is advertised to be an explosive athlete in the tier of Jordan Lawlar and Benny Montgomery, that’s pretty exciting. I just get cringes drafting multi-sport guys after the Alford debacle, this board spent years debating about his upside and how much better he would be after committing to baseball. Not looking forward to anymore of these lines of discussion.

But in this case Allen would be playing baseball full-time. He's only a "multi-sport athlete" now - when/if he's drafted in the first round and signs, he's going to be a baseball player. Alford's situation was very unique/peculiar in that we paid him to barely play baseball up until he finally gave up football.

Ray · July 9, 2021

I always chuckle when I read, "Just please don't take player X." No one knows the future, it wasn't that long ago that player X was Trea Turner. Just be happy with whomever the Jays select and hope for the best.

The Jays drafting him would actually give me considerably more confidence in him developing. Our player development system has become quite good, especially for position players.

I’m not saying he’s going to bust based on the minute amount I’ve watched or read. There are people who get paid to analyze this stuff, which I do not. It’s just that the vast majority of time, college players with a 30% K-rate and limited contact ability do not translate well to the majors. The power is real and he’s got tools. Just seems like those strikeout rates are a giant red flag.

I’ve said it before, but ultimately, Ill be okay with whomever they end up drafting.

JFD · July 9, 2021

Delete

metafour · July 11, 2021

New mock draft from Fangraphs.

College players appear to be the hot late trendy connection with the Jays. As well as further indication that they prefer to save money at #19 if possible.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mock-draft-3-0-the-morning-of/

19. Toronto Blue Jays

Pick: Jordan Wicks, LHP, Kansas State

Most teams think the Blue Jays will try to cut an under-slot deal here. We might have gotten a bit too excited at news of a private workout with Jay Allen, as rumors around Toronto remain wildly varied, and like the Cardinals, they’ve also been looking closely at Trey Sweeney. Off the board in this scenario, Wicks is too good a pitcher to drop out of the teens. Because the Jays lack a second rounder, they can’t really mess around with tough-to-sign players here.

Laika · July 11, 2021

New mock draft from Fangraphs.

College players appear to be the hot late trendy connection with the Jays. As well as further indication that they prefer to save money at #19 if possible.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mock-draft-3-0-the-morning-of/

Underslot would be weird for Toronto too since they lack a 2nd and therefore lack flexibility.

I do think we see a straight forward pick. Bonus = slot value.

metafour · July 11, 2021

Underslot would be weird for Toronto too since they lack a 2nd and therefore lack flexibility.

Really? I don't think it's weird at all and in fact it makes perfect sense to me.

Going under-slot would mean being able to "buy" a bigger talent elsewhere (most likely immediately in the 3rd round) which would help offset the lack of a 2nd round pick. It makes sense to go under-slot at #19 in this particular draft because we're already picking in the range where consensus is non-existent, with lots of players in that range being similarly skilled depending on who you ask and what the preference is.

Daniel Labude · July 11, 2021

Really? I don't think it's weird at all and in fact it makes perfect sense to me.

Going under-slot would mean being able to "buy" a bigger talent elsewhere (most likely immediately in the 3rd round) which would help offset the lack of a 2nd round pick. It makes sense to go under-slot at #19 in this particular draft because we're already picking in the range where consensus is non-existent, with lots of players in that range being similarly skilled depending on who you ask and what the preference is.

Still a 3rd round pick. Going under slot makes no sense

Laika · July 11, 2021

Really? I don't think it's weird at all and in fact it makes perfect sense to me.

Going under-slot would mean being able to "buy" a bigger talent elsewhere (most likely immediately in the 3rd round) which would help offset the lack of a 2nd round pick. It makes sense to go under-slot at #19 in this particular draft because we're already picking in the range where consensus is non-existent, with lots of players in that range being similarly skilled depending on who you ask and what the preference is.

You typically see teams go underslot when they have a surplus of picks, i.e. flexibility in the draft. Toronto would really be forcing the issue if they went underslot with pick 1.

metafour · July 11, 2021

Still a 3rd round pick. Going under slot makes no sense

Players fall for signability in literally every round of the draft - saving just $~$350K gets us to right at around $1 million for the 3rd round pick, which is the slot value at the end of the 2nd round. That's enough to entice a legitimate HS pick to sign in the 3rd, not even taking into account further signing-bonus manipulation (ie: maybe they plan on punting in the 9th/10th rounds? Maybe they can save even more than $350K at #19?).

Jimcanuck · July 11, 2021

Players fall for signability in literally every round of the draft - saving just $~$350K gets us to right at around $1 million for the 3rd round pick, which is the slot value at the end of the 2nd round. That's enough to entice a legitimate HS pick to sign in the 3rd, not even taking into account further signing-bonus manipulation (ie: maybe they plan on punting in the 9th/10th rounds? Maybe they can save even more than $350K at #19?).

It's a legitimate approach. If the Jays are taking a college pitcher in the 1st, which the last BA mock suggested, there will be several at #19 to pick from that would sign underslot.

metafour · July 11, 2021

You typically see teams go underslot when they have a surplus of picks, i.e. flexibility in the draft. Toronto would really be forcing the issue if they went underslot with pick 1.

You're missing the point - there aren't even 29 consensus first round talents in this draft. Unless you're sitting there with someone who LEGITIMATELY fell to #19, this scouting department is strong enough to find a player they like at #19 who also saves money. Kind of like when they "reached" and took Groshans while saving money, who in fact wasn't even a reach at all. They obviously have a wide net of players they like, which means that they can shop them against each other and see who offers the most bang for their buck. Someone like Jay Allen may go at the very end of the 1st round if he doesn't go at #19 (or he may go the very next pick) so there is incentive for some of these kids to cut an under slot deal.

Note that by "under-slot" I don't mean that they're going to take a 2nd round talent or someone completely off the board at #19.

Laika · July 11, 2021

You're missing the point - there aren't even 29 consensus first round talents in this draft. Unless you're sitting there with someone who LEGITIMATELY fell to #19, this scouting department is strong enough to find a player they like at #19 who also saves money. Kind of like when they "reached" and took Groshans while saving money, who in fact wasn't even a reach at all. They obviously have a wide net of players they like, which means that they can shop them against each other and see who offers the most bang for their buck. Someone like Jay Allen may go at the very end of the 1st round if he doesn't go at #19 (or he may go the very next pick) so there is incentive for some of these kids to cut an under slot deal.

Note that by "under-slot" I don't mean that they're going to take a 2nd round talent or someone completely off the board at #19.

Okay, well that would make perfect sense. I won't dispute that.

Benito · July 11, 2021

How many minutes between picks again? Always exciting when some of the expected higher rank guys drop and slides to Jays pick. But I also have high trust in this FO if they go off board a bit, and take underslot to save for 3rd round.

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