General 2018 Blue Jays Discussion Thread

[AledmysDiaz]

"It is easier to pitch on the National League. People who are against that argument are crazy. It is easier to pitch in the National League"

 

-Former MLB Pitcher Chris Lareux stopped by the Daily Central to chat with Blair.

[BTS]

They are very well done Cartoons, I like them. If I didn't quit Twitter, I'd give a follow.

 

Congratulations! How's your blood pressure?

[BTS]

"It is easier to pitch on the National League. People who are against that argument are crazy. It is easier to pitch in the National League"

 

-Former MLB Pitcher Chris Lareux stopped by the Daily Central to chat with Blair.

 

Who are these people he's talking about that don't think it's easier to pitch in the league where pitchers hit?

[AledmysDiaz]

Who are these people he's talking about that don't think it's easier to pitch in the league where pitchers hit?

 

Argument for DH, and Kershaws place in the all time list

[Orgfiller]

Some interesting observations regarding some of our player's expected performance.

 

1) Teoscar Hernandez has a .449 xwOBA, that's 12th highest among all hitters, his xSLG of .727 is 4th in the MLB.

 

2) Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a .358 xwOBA, the dude has been drilling the ball but gotten quite unlucky, as most of us have probably noticed.

 

3) Steve Pearce (SSS) is 4th in xwOBA at .474 (!!!), he's the third most unlucky in difference between expected and actual wOBA, just behind...

 

4) Randal Grichuk, whose .326 xwOBA is still not great, but a far cry better than his actual line. The guy has been struggling but whenever he did make some contact he couldn't buy a break. His .119 BABIP is last in the majors for players with at least as many PAs as him (yes I'm cherry picking), Russell Martin is second last in that aspect - he has a .325 xwOBA. Aledmys Diaz is 15th using the same threshold, 9th worst BABIP among qualified, his xwOBA of .332 is also a far cry better than his actual line.

 

5) Kevin Pillar's expected and actual wOBA are 0.002 apart, he's been legitimately crushing the baseball this season.

 

6) 11 out of 14 hitters with at least 25 PAs are underperforming their wOBAs. This actually includes Luke Maile, believe it or not. We're getting unlucky as f***.

[Jonn]

Some interesting observations regarding some of our player's expected performance.

 

1) Teoscar Hernandez has a .449 xwOBA, that's 12th highest among all hitters, his xSLG of .727 is 4th in the MLB.

 

2) Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a .358 xwOBA, the dude has been drilling the ball but gotten quite unlucky, as most of us have probably noticed.

 

3) Steve Pearce (SSS) is 4th in xwOBA at .474 (!!!), he's the third most unlucky in difference between expected and actual wOBA, just behind...

 

4) Randal Grichuk, whose .326 xwOBA is still not great, but a far cry better than his actual line. The guy has been struggling but whenever he did make some contact he couldn't buy a break. His .119 BABIP is last in the majors for players with at least as many PAs as him (yes I'm cherry picking), Russell Martin is second last in that aspect - he has a .325 xwOBA. Aledmys Diaz is 15th using the same threshold, 9th worst BABIP among qualified, his xwOBA of .332 is also a far cry better than his actual line.

 

5) Kevin Pillar's expected and actual wOBA are 0.002 apart, he's been legitimately crushing the baseball this season.

 

6) 11 out of 14 hitters with at least 25 PAs are underperforming their wOBAs. This actually includes Luke Maile, believe it or not. We're getting unlucky as f***.

 

Thank you for posting. And to be honest most of this is noticeable just watching the games. We have found a lot of gloves on hard hit balls. Especially LGJ and Pearce.

[Brownie19]

Some interesting observations regarding some of our player's expected performance.

 

1) Teoscar Hernandez has a .449 xwOBA, that's 12th highest among all hitters, his xSLG of .727 is 4th in the MLB.

 

2) Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a .358 xwOBA, the dude has been drilling the ball but gotten quite unlucky, as most of us have probably noticed.

 

3) Steve Pearce (SSS) is 4th in xwOBA at .474 (!!!), he's the third most unlucky in difference between expected and actual wOBA, just behind...

 

4) Randal Grichuk, whose .326 xwOBA is still not great, but a far cry better than his actual line. The guy has been struggling but whenever he did make some contact he couldn't buy a break. His .119 BABIP is last in the majors for players with at least as many PAs as him (yes I'm cherry picking), Russell Martin is second last in that aspect - he has a .325 xwOBA. Aledmys Diaz is 15th using the same threshold, 9th worst BABIP among qualified, his xwOBA of .332 is also a far cry better than his actual line.

 

5) Kevin Pillar's expected and actual wOBA are 0.002 apart, he's been legitimately crushing the baseball this season.

 

6) 11 out of 14 hitters with at least 25 PAs are underperforming their wOBAs. This actually includes Luke Maile, believe it or not. We're getting unlucky as f***.

 

 

[Bobthe4th]

As expected:

 

[Spanky99]

Jays didn't report anything after Diaz MRI today, must be bad.

[Krylian]

 

 

Fine line between luck and just not that good.

[Spanky99]

Fine line between luck and just not that good.

 

I guess you don't understand what xwOBA is?

[burlingtonbandit]

Jays didn't report anything after Diaz MRI today, must be bad.

 

Apparently my buddy saw him walking out of the hospital yesterday in a walking boot. Have to think he's at least on the DL.

[Krylian]

I guess you don't understand what xwOBA is?

 

I do. But I don't hang my hat entirely on that. There's also a talent factor. Let's see how the boys finish the season.

[Spanky99]

I do. But I don't hang my hat entirely on that. There's also a talent factor. Let's see how the boys finish the season.

 

Yeah, no one would hang their hat on it as it's a predictive stat, some of those guys have been stinging the ball, and that passes the eye test. We will see...

[Spanky99]

Apparently my buddy saw him walking out of the hospital yesterday in a walking boot. Have to think he's at least on the DL.

 

Thanks, figured as much. I'm expecting a bad strain announced today. I'm also eager to here how Grandy's doing, Pearce, etc... plus whom they'll call up.

[Daniel Labude]

Well our injuries...arrests...bad pitching is pretty much tanking the season. Might as well sign Vladito and Bo long term and bring them up!!!!

[TBJ12]

3 games over .500 in early May is not tanking the season. Considering the injuries were in a great spot.

 

I'm on board with bringing Vlad up now though.

[thatoneguy]

Jays didn't report anything after Diaz MRI today, must be bad.

 

Thought it was reported as an ankle sprain?

[GodDonaldson]

If Osuna is suspended, who will become a closer?? I know Tepera is an 8th inning guy, but he has no experience as a closer.. While Clippard, Oh, and Axford has some experience.

[KevinGregg]

If Osuna is suspended, who will become a closer?? I know Tepera is an 8th inning guy, but he has no experience as a closer.. While Clippard, Oh, and Axford has some experience.

 

Everyone probably just moves up a spot for now with someone from AAA called up to take over the mop up duties. If Oh was pitching better he might have a shot at it but Tepera will probably be given his shot

[Spanky99]

Thought it was reported as an ankle sprain?

 

X-Rays came back clean, they know it isn't broken, the severity of the sprain hasn't been determined, he had an MRI yesterday.

[glory]

Oh should be the closer, but Tepera will get his chance to blow some games before Clippard eventually takes the spot.

 

Honestly, giving the closer spot to one of Oh or Clippard works for me because saves = trade value. Oh has a team option for next year so it won't matter for him, but if Clippard flukes his way to an ERA in the 2's and has 10+ saves on top of that, then maybe you can move him for something useful.

[Jonn]

Oh should be the closer, but Tepera will get his chance to blow some games before Clippard eventually takes the spot.

 

Honestly, giving the closer spot to one of Oh or Clippard works for me because saves = trade value. Oh has a team option for next year so it won't matter for him, but if Clippard flukes his way to an ERA in the 2's and has 10+ saves on top of that, then maybe you can move him for something useful.

 

I think it will be combination of Oh and Clippard. Tepera is at risk to lose his setup role. And out of 3 is best suited for a multi-inning role. I think Oh will get the first shot just because of his experience. Hes already got the only other save appearance we had in the 9th when Osuna wasn't available.

[el diego]

Oh should be the closer, but Tepera will get his chance to blow some games before Clippard eventually takes the spot.

 

Honestly, giving the closer spot to one of Oh or Clippard works for me because saves = trade value. Oh has a team option for next year so it won't matter for him, but if Clippard flukes his way to an ERA in the 2's and has 10+ saves on top of that, then maybe you can move him for something useful.

 

I like this line of thinking. I also would guess that Clippard still carries some name value in a trade; throw some saves on top of that and you've got the potential to get something usable back for him.

[GodDonaldson]

I think it will be combination of Oh and Clippard. Tepera is at risk to lose his setup role. And out of 3 is best suited for a multi-inning role. I think Oh will get the first shot just because of his experience. Hes already got the only other save appearance we had in the 9th when Osuna wasn't available.

 

In addition to it, Oh has better BB/9 inning than Clippard. (Oh: 1.76, Clippard: 4.42) I think you could be right since it is always great to have a closer who can throw strikes.

[Spanky99]

I guess Barnes and Urena get called up today.

[Spanky99]

Why not Barnes?

 

 

[Spanky99]

[King]

Osuna, Diaz out

 

Petricka, Urena up

 

Gross

[jaysfan2014]

Barnes didn't get a callup(yet).. he has yet to pitch in Buffalo.