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Community Moderator
Posted
So if someone like Shields is traded through waivers to the Yankees, do the Jays put a claim in and block the deal?

 

if no one else does, the jays almost have to.

Posted

it was at 7 last week, now 5.5. Ideally we somehow gain a game before the series and go in only 4.5 back but at the very least let's stay 5.5 back come Friday.

 

Yanks have red sox so can only see them maybe losing one if we're lucky. and we'd have to sweep the twins who are a considerably better team than BOS

Posted
As a Jays fan, aiming for anything less than a division win and home field advantage through the playoffs is unacceptable. f*** the Yankees, the Jays are only 8.5 behind those weak-ass Royals.
Posted (edited)
Let's just sweep the 13 games? problem solved, nice and eezee

 

Putting that aside for a sec. If we win everyone of Price's starts we prob still lose the division.

Edited by LTR
Posted
Can the Padres dump the salary on the Jays though or do they have to work a trade?

 

That is up the Padres, will depend on what the Yankees are offering. That is, if the Yankees are willing to eat all the salary then the Jays will have to also, or add prospects.

Posted
Should also be noted the Jays and Yanks have weak skeds down the stretch (.499 opp win% for the Jays, .490 for the Yanks). Of course, the Yanks will depend on A-Rod, Tex, Gardner or Ellsbury staying healthy. Their pitching staff has a huge hole right now with Pineda's injury.
Posted
I guess math is not your strong side. they need at least 5 games a week giving them 45 more wins. that will get them to the playoffs and win the division.

 

We're still all waiting for an explanation here o2

Community Moderator
Posted
We're still all waiting for an explanation here o2

 

Its very unlikely, they gotta 10-3 against the Yankees alone and then keep up with them for the rest of the season.

 

There are like 50 other games.......6 game leads have evaporated in weeks.

 

I guess math is not your strong side. they need at least 5 games a week giving them 45 more wins. that will get them to the playoffs and win the division.

 

jays have 55 games left. 13 against NY.... how the f*** are there 50 other games left?

 

math dude.

Posted
Putting that aside for a sec. If we win everyone of Price's stats we prob still lose the division.

 

Look at it like this. If we win all 13 against the Yankees, they will be 7.5 games behind us with 13 games less than we have now to make up that ground. Hopefully the O's f*** off along the way and we are set!

Old-Timey Member
Posted
jays have 55 games left. 13 against NY.... how the f*** are there 50 other games left?

 

math dude.

 

lmao

Posted
jays have 55 games left. 13 against NY.... how the f*** are there 50 other games left?

 

math dude.

 

You're missing the point. I get that part, but the next part of what you said is insane and where you lost everyone (and evidently struggle with math also).

 

First of all, 45 wins is like an .800 clip, which is totally unfeasible.

Secondly, that would leave them at just shy of 100 wins, which would almost certainly win them the division. In fact, it would probably get them to pass the Royals and Cardinals and have the best record in baseball. The notion that the Jays need to win 5 a week (or 45 total) is mad. In fact, 35 probably gets them the division, as long as they were to go like 8-5 against the Yanks. At this point, 30 more wins probably gets them in as the second wild card.

Posted
Look at it like this. If we win all 13 against the Yankees, they will be 7.5 games behind us with 13 games less than we have now to make up that ground. Hopefully the O's f*** off along the way and we are set!

 

We play 7 of those 13 games at Yankee Stadium. I'll be satisfied if we go 7-6.

Posted
I'll be satisfied if we go 7-6 vs. the Yankees because I don't really expect much more.

 

We gotta outperform them somewhere in the schedule. As unrealistic as beating them 10+ times sounds, it is likely the easiest route we can take.

Posted
We gotta outperform them somewhere in the schedule. As unrealistic as beating them 10+ times sounds, it is likely the easiest route we can take.

 

In actuality, it's probably the hardest.

Posted
We gotta outperform them somewhere in the schedule. As unrealistic as beating them 10+ times sounds, it is likely the easiest route we can take.

 

Yes, I'd be content with 8-5. Anything more and I'm thrilled. We'll probably lose 3 of those 5 at Yankee Stadium (4-3) and then go 4-2 at home.

Posted
In actuality, it's probably the hardest.

 

If we go 7-6 vs the Yankees, we will have to go 28-14 against other opponents to tie them according to roW%. I see what you mean though

Community Moderator
Posted
You're missing the point. I get that part, but the next part of what you said is insane and where you lost everyone (and evidently struggle with math also).

 

First of all, 45 wins is like an .800 clip, which is totally unfeasible.

Secondly, that would leave them at just shy of 100 wins, which would almost certainly win them the division. In fact, it would probably get them to pass the Royals and Cardinals and have the best record in baseball. The notion that the Jays need to win 5 a week (or 45 total) is mad. In fact, 35 probably gets them the division, as long as they were to go like 8-5 against the Yanks. At this point, 30 more wins probably gets them in as the second wild card.

 

35 wins more might be enough if they go 10-3 against ny.

 

if we go 7-6 against NY we are still 5 games back with 42 other games to play. NY has 45 other games. you say 35 more is enough. if we go 7-6 against NY that means jays go 29-13 of those other 42 and NY would have to go 23-19.....

 

what 19 games do you see NY losing? NY schedule is better than ours.

Posted
If we go 7-6 vs the Yankees, we will have to go 28-14 against other opponents to tie them according to roW%. I see what you mean though

 

We can do it

Posted
Yankees could knock us out of play-off contention all together, highly doubt that now that we have Price, etc... but crazier things have happened.
Community Moderator
Posted
Yankees could knock us out of play-off contention all together, highly doubt that now that we have Price, etc... but crazier things have happened.

 

Price doesn't have a pretty record against NY. just sayin...

Community Moderator
Posted
If we go 7-6 vs the Yankees, we will have to go 28-14 against other opponents to tie them according to roW%. I see what you mean though

 

what we have to do in the other games depends on what NY does.

Posted
We need to go on a run right now. Hopefully the most unrealistic assumption in all of this is that the Yankees keep winning, they are bound to take a week or two off here they've been on quite a tear.
Posted
Price doesn't have a pretty record against NY. just sayin...

 

Even worse, the Yankees are crushing lefties this year.

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=13&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

 

I know people don't go by these samples, neither do I really, but looks like the Yankees also feast on Price, for the most part

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl?date=808#game1

Community Moderator
Posted
Even worse, the Yankees are crushing lefties this year.

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=13&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

 

I know people don't go by these samples, neither do I really, but looks like the Yankees also feast on Price, for the most part

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl?date=808#game1

 

problem is that the Yankees are feasting on everything at this point. they have put up a s*** load of runs over the last couple weeks. we were about 80 runs ahead of them and now we are only 54 ahead. They have passed us in HR. Their AVG is only 5 points behind now.

Community Moderator
Posted
We need to go on a run right now. Hopefully the most unrealistic assumption in all of this is that the Yankees keep winning, they are bound to take a week or two off here they've been on quite a tear.

 

everyone has been saying that for a couple months.

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