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Odds of Jays signing Tanaka

kgm1

By kgm1
in Toronto Blue Jays Talk

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GD MVP

GD

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GD was the one thanking, so... there ya go.

 

3

 

It was a joke, wasn't it? Please tell me the guy was joking.

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NorthOf49 FCL Blue Jays

NorthOf49

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It was a joke, wasn't it? Please tell me the guy was joking.

Of course it was a joke, he was making light of the situation. The guy couldn't actually think that any two opposing possibilities in the universe have equal chances of happening (his suggested definition of '50/50'). That's preposterous. In fact, it's impossible for anything to truly have 50/50 odds.

wilko Dunedin Blue Jays

wilko

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http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-L8C1Kxg7TJs/Uru4-D3b68I/AAAAAAAAG4w/h7rxEqDUlug/s1600/Untitled-1.jpg
GD MVP

GD

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Of course it was a joke, he was making light of the situation. The guy couldn't actually think that any two opposing possibilities in the universe have equal chances of happening (his suggested definition of '50/50'). That's preposterous. In fact, it's impossible for anything to truly have 50/50 odds.

 

There was a TEACHER at my school last year that taught that as fact. I s*** you not. They were the athlete kids and they desperately needed good teaching and now they think "either it happens or it doesn't" and I love it.

Olerud363 FCL Blue Jays

Olerud363

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Of course it was a joke, he was making light of the situation. The guy couldn't actually think that any two opposing possibilities in the universe have equal chances of happening (his suggested definition of '50/50'). That's preposterous. In fact, it's impossible for anything to truly have 50/50 odds.

 

The only reason 50/50 would be impossible is that it is impossible to completely accurately measure the odds for anything.

 

Which may be true. I actually don't know. I imagine it ends up being a quantum/particle physics issue.

 

Would there not be some physical processes for which we know the probability of one state or the other occurring?

DuckDuckGose First Round Pick

DuckDuckGose

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The only reason 50/50 would be impossible is that it is impossible to completely accurately measure the odds for anything.

 

Which may be true. I actually don't know. I imagine it ends up being a quantum/particle physics issue.

 

Would there not be some physical processes for which we know the probability of one state or the other occurring?

 

If you were going to actually dumb it down to a simple fraction you'd use 1/30 or 1/8 (or whatever the number teams are rumoured to be interested is). 50/50 doesn't make any sense.

o2cui2i Vancouver Canadians

o2cui2i

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Posted
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The only reason 50/50 would be impossible is that it is impossible to completely accurately measure the odds for anything.

 

Which may be true. I actually don't know. I imagine it ends up being a quantum/particle physics issue.

 

Would there not be some physical processes for which we know the probability of one state or the other occurring?

 

50/50 is only part of the discussion if there are only two possible outcomes and there must be an outcome. since there are several teams involved the maybe it will and wont doesn't become 50%.

NorthOf49 FCL Blue Jays

NorthOf49

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The only reason 50/50 would be impossible is that it is impossible to completely accurately measure the odds for anything.

 

Which may be true. I actually don't know. I imagine it ends up being a quantum/particle physics issue.

 

Would there not be some physical processes for which we know the probability of one state or the other occurring?

I don't think anything can be calculated with perfect precision. Can you give an example of such a physical process?

NorthOf49 FCL Blue Jays

NorthOf49

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If you were going to actually dumb it down to a simple fraction you'd use 1/30 or 1/8 (or whatever the number teams are rumoured to be interested is). 50/50 doesn't make any sense.

Not if there are 15 Masohiro Tanakas. Who knows, maybe Rakuten has a cloning machine. It is known that they were looking for a loophole that allows them to get more than $20M for him. This could be a possibility.

GD MVP

GD

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Not if there are 15 Masohiro Tanakas. Who knows, maybe Rakuten has a cloning machine. It is known that they were looking for a loophole that allows them to get more than $20M for him. This could be a possibility.

 

quoted because what the h*ck

DuckDuckGose First Round Pick

DuckDuckGose

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I don't think anything can be calculated with perfect precision. Can you give an example of such a physical process?

 

You can't accurately measure a physical process without disrupting the system. You have to analyze how you;ve changed the system and adjust accordingly. The second you do that you are adding error bars and degrees of uncertainty.

DuckDuckGose First Round Pick

DuckDuckGose

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Not if there are 15 Masohiro Tanakas. Who knows, maybe Rakuten has a cloning machine. It is known that they were looking for a loophole that allows them to get more than $20M for him. This could be a possibility.

 

The Clone Wars.

Olerud363 FCL Blue Jays

Olerud363

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If you were going to actually dumb it down to a simple fraction you'd use 1/30 or 1/8 (or whatever the number teams are rumoured to be interested is). 50/50 doesn't make any sense.

 

There is that aspect but he addressed that and also said " In fact, it's impossible for anything to truly have 50/50 odds." Which I actually agree with.

saskjayfan Dunedin Blue Jays

saskjayfan

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Holy f***, the guy was being facetious????

 

yeah...this is getting dumb...I wish Tanaka would just sign wherever he is going to sign, so we could move on to Garza, jimenez and Santana...

connorp New Hampshire Fisher Cats

connorp

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If i remember right.. Even the coin flip is not 50/50.. I think theres some weight diff or something that gives heads a slight edge
NorthOf49 FCL Blue Jays

NorthOf49

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If i remember right.. Even the coin flip is not 50/50.. I think theres some weight diff or something that gives heads a slight edge

Yep. And even if the weight was exactly even, the air you flipped it in would have irregularities, the table you flipped it onto wouldn't be perfectly smooth, the flip would be imperfect, etc.

Abomination Buffalo Bisons

Abomination

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Yep. And even if the weight was exactly even, the air you flipped it in would have irregularities, the table you flipped it onto wouldn't be perfectly smooth, the flip would be imperfect, etc.

 

Not to mention the (extremely unlikely) possibility of it landing on edge.

John_Havok MVP

John_Havok

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I don't think anything can be calculated with perfect precision. Can you give an example of such a physical process?

 

I can give the odds of me not giving a flying f*** about where this thread is going.

GD MVP

GD

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I can give the odds of me not giving a flying f*** about where this thread is going.

 

favorite post ever

kgm1 First Round Pick

kgm1

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I can give the odds of me not giving a flying f*** about where this thread is going.

 

That about covers it John . That also is a reflection of how dead any jays news is but when you have no money what the f*** can you do .All AA can do is wait and hope some Bull pens get decimated by injury in spring training .

Abomination Buffalo Bisons

Abomination

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That about covers it John . That also is a reflection of how dead any jays news is but when you have no money what the f*** can you do .All AA can do is wait and hope some Bull pens get decimated by injury in spring training .

 

I'm not so sure about not being able to spend a little more. Seems like Rogers is hell bent on dominating the sports landscape with all their teams.

 

http://www.sportsnet.ca/soccer/mls/teams/toronto-fc/toronto-fc-jermain-defoe-michael-bradley-toronto-raptors-lebron-james-toronto-maple-leafs/

John_Havok MVP

John_Havok

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That about covers it John . That also is a reflection of how dead any jays news is but when you have no money what the f*** can you do .All AA can do is wait and hope some Bull pens get decimated by injury in spring training .

 

I don't think it's about money right now, the Jays and every other team in mlb need the Tanaka domino to fall, at which point the rest of them will sign probably within a week. I'm sure AA has many fall back trades set up to lose once other teams finish up with the free agent market.

KingKat All-Star

KingKat

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http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ukmfVCzh-tU/TmpB2PJnNrI/AAAAAAAAALY/TF3qd8Ne7Og/s1600/urinating_doll_pedobear.gif

 

Yes, the damn inactivity has driven me crazy!

 

What the flying f*** was that?

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