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AMS528

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Everything posted by AMS528

  1. AMS528
    Vlad doesn't really deserve his current numbers. Just glancing over it but his hitting profile this year is way closer to 2021 than 2022. Like he's barreling it, he's hitting it in the air, his hard hit percentage is higher. The results aren't there, but that's bad luck. He's doing the things he should be.
  2. AMS528
    There was some pretty great depth. I really wish Henderson Alvarez' career had worked out. He had that one amazing season where he threw 3 CGSO. It would have been so cool to have a guy dominating while striking out 5/9IP. He could have been Beuhrle's heir.
  3. AMS528
    Does Oakland want to trade us JP Sears? They're terrible at picking prospects so it's always worth it.
  4. AMS528
    Grim is the right description. And I understand minor league depth for pitching isn't necessarily easy to find. You're not just going to have a good starter sitting around there unless you're the Dodgers the last few years. But I think people talking about that are missing the fact that the large glaring issue is that there wasn't even anyone to throw in for a spot start while Manoah was pitching like the worst pitcher in baseball which has now culminated in this incredibly humiliating last start. If we had a trash can to throw out there, then at least this would have been avoided. He absolutely cannot start again. And really that means that functionally even one other shortish term injury to another starter like Kikuchi or Berrios would probably doom us in this division. And given Kikuchi sucked already last year, that means the margins on this season were completely razor thin. Bowden Francis is our hope now that Mitch White is as expected not an actual option.
  5. AMS528
    I don't think he's injured. I think there was a long rain delay during his last start. Or at least that's what I had read on twitter during his last start.
  6. AMS528
    And Frasso has a 0.91 ERA with great K numbers and is apparently sitting 96. He has a violent delivery, but he looks great.
  7. AMS528
    Well Orelvis Martinez is now slashing 195/299/530. Good for a 113 wRC+. The numbers are way more impressive in the just the past month. Great walk numbers, honestly surprising strikeout numbers. The walks have shot up and the strikeouts have shot down a lot in just the past couple of week. And still just a .143 BABIP. It really looks like if his BABIP was just horrible instead of the worst BABIP ever in baseball, he'd be having the kind of year where he'd be shooting back up the prospect rankings?
  8. AMS528
    Not to dive into it, but Bud Light wasn't working on any data, or even doing marketing. Someone there provided like a single can to this person, who posted it on their own social media. Bud Light wasn't going around pushing it to other places. It was found by conservative media and then blown up. I don't care what you think about the issue. What happened was that conservative media found something they could run with, and ran it as hard as they could. The amount of social media attention on this person skyrocketed only once conservative media pushed it.
  9. AMS528
    This is a less miserable look at a former Blue Jay, but wild to see former interesting prospect Carlos Perez find his way back to the majors succesfully at the age of 32. Last in the majors in 2018, had a terrible year. Two super impressive minor league seasons, and now he's kept it up so far with a 293/365/440 line. Don't see that too often.
  10. AMS528
    Have not been paying super close attention so far this year, but having done a run through on each Jays affiliate, this has got to be the most depressing start to a minor league season in recent history? Tiedemann aside there's maybe a couple of guys having ok seasons. Horowitz and Palmegiani and outside of that it's complete misery out there. Barger, Barriera, Jimenez, Lopez, Toman, Doughty, Kasevich, Zulueta, Robberse, Martinez (Gabriel and Orelvis), Santos, Dasan Brown, Macko. Practically every single name you could have considered in the top 20 Jays prospects are having anemic seasons. A couple of guys like Barriera are on small sample sizes, but it's crazy how there's practically no one you can point to that's impressing. What is going on with the development? Another year of having one guy on the top 100 lists bodes poorly for the future. Especially when we're going to need to fill OF positions, and probably 3B.
  11. AMS528
    Ohtani unhittable as always. I feel like there's a pretty reasonable argument at this point that says Ohtani is the most skilled baseball player of all time.
  12. AMS528
    You know the ump has done something ridiculous when the opposing catcher is both surprised, and then goes to save the batter from doing anything rash.
  13. AMS528
    I don't really know how else to word this, but if you're in a room with a ten month old baby, and you decide because you're angry to toss chewed tobacco at the mother who is in the vicinity of the baby, close enough that it could hit the baby, that continues to be f***ed up anyways even if you weren't targeting the baby. A person who does that near a baby is a psycho.
  14. AMS528
    Helton, Wagner and Jones all look like they've got a great shot to get in over the next couple of years. Helton and Wagner for sure I think. Sheffield is going to need a big jump in his last year. Beltran should make it with that start. Interesting that A-Rod barely gained at all. Out of the rest, I feel like Buehrle could be someone who just keeps sticking around gaining a bit at a time cause everyone liked him.
  15. AMS528
    As someone who became a parent in the last year and a half, the idea of throwing chewed tobacco on your infant who relies on you for everything, is disgusting. Sucks that such s***** people become parents. f*** that guy.
  16. AMS528
    "White knighting" right. I asked a pretty simple question.
  17. AMS528
    I'm sorry get their money and "thug out". What does thug out mean?
  18. AMS528
    So the Mets offer required Correa to take an annual physical each year to guarantee the next year of the deal? That would be a ridiculous thing to sign. If that was a real offer, can't imagine the union would have been happy with it.
  19. AMS528
    Damn he sucked last year after being decent the year before. His numbers are bad everywhere except I guess his fastball spin rate?
  20. AMS528
    That WAR per 550 is only 2022.
  21. AMS528
    It's definitely kind of trolling when it's this obsessed. I get not liking Biggio, whatever. But he has produced somewhere between 5-6 WAR over his 330 games with the Jays. He was terrible in 2021, and decent last year. Like Tapia sucks, Randal Grichuk sucked. Cavan Biggio makes no money and produces decently enough for it. I think objectively he doesn't really suck.
  22. AMS528
    I mean if he became prime Kelvim Escobar that would be amazing. He put up four seasons between 3-5 WAR as a starter. 27.9 fWAR (24 bWAR) in his career. If you get that from your 3rd ranked prospect in what is honestly a relatively weak prospect pool, that's incredible. I know you probably mean the Jays portion of his career, which was mostly less impressive except for his last season where he figured it out as a starter. Even that would be a really decent result from your 3rd ranked prospect though. The Jays 3rd ranked prospects include guys like Alford, Sean Reid-Foley, Pompey, Hoffman etc. Like a good portion of the time your #3 prospect is going to be basically nothing.
  23. AMS528
    Wait what the hell. Am I on the wrong page or is Salvador Perez's bWAR 32 and his fWAR 15? That is a crazy large difference. You're basically describing two entirely different careers at that point.
  24. AMS528
    There's more numbers out there now than xFIP and FIP and I think they indicate reasons that Manoah's performance isn't likely to drop that much. His xERA was really good and his statcast numbers seem to bear out that batters have a tough time getting good hard contact of off him. He's 300 innings in here, this isn't a rookie season sample size anymore. And he loosk very durable which is value in itself. Expecting a low 3 era does not seem unreasonable and doing that consistently is pretty elite. The fact that he ramps up as innings go on can't really be quantified in numbers but I feel like that's also an indication of a guy who is not having to strain himself. And I have no proof of this, but I feel like pitchers who can throw faster once they're deeper in games are less likely to get hit hard the third time through the order.
  25. AMS528
    Sandy Alacantra has thrown 220 innings this year. 27 more innings than the next closest pitcher. Based on the Marlins schedule he might be able to get a couple more starts and clear 230 innings which would be the first pitcher to clear that number since David Price threw 230 in 2016. Not even many guys likely to clear even 200 this year. Manoah has a good shot.
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