AMS528

Not to dive into it, but Bud Light wasn't working on any data, or even doing marketing. Someone there provided like a single can to this person, who posted it on their own social media. Bud Light wasn't going around pushing it to other places. It was found by conservative media and then blown up. I don't care what you think about the issue. What happened was that conservative media found something they could run with, and ran it as hard as they could. The amount of social media attention on this person skyrocketed only once conservative media pushed it.

This is a less miserable look at a former Blue Jay, but wild to see former interesting prospect Carlos Perez find his way back to the majors succesfully at the age of 32. Last in the majors in 2018, had a terrible year. Two super impressive minor league seasons, and now he's kept it up so far with a 293/365/440 line. Don't see that too often.

Have not been paying super close attention so far this year, but having done a run through on each Jays affiliate, this has got to be the most depressing start to a minor league season in recent history? Tiedemann aside there's maybe a couple of guys having ok seasons. Horowitz and Palmegiani and outside of that it's complete misery out there. Barger, Barriera, Jimenez, Lopez, Toman, Doughty, Kasevich, Zulueta, Robberse, Martinez (Gabriel and Orelvis), Santos, Dasan Brown, Macko. Practically every single name you could have considered in the top 20 Jays prospects are having anemic seasons. A couple of guys like Barriera are on small sample sizes, but it's crazy how there's practically no one you can point to that's impressing. What is going on with the development? Another year of having one guy on the top 100 lists bodes poorly for the future. Especially when we're going to need to fill OF positions, and probably 3B.

Ohtani unhittable as always. I feel like there's a pretty reasonable argument at this point that says Ohtani is the most skilled baseball player of all time.

You know the ump has done something ridiculous when the opposing catcher is both surprised, and then goes to save the batter from doing anything rash.

I don't really know how else to word this, but if you're in a room with a ten month old baby, and you decide because you're angry to toss chewed tobacco at the mother who is in the vicinity of the baby, close enough that it could hit the baby, that continues to be f***ed up anyways even if you weren't targeting the baby. A person who does that near a baby is a psycho.

Helton, Wagner and Jones all look like they've got a great shot to get in over the next couple of years. Helton and Wagner for sure I think. Sheffield is going to need a big jump in his last year. Beltran should make it with that start. Interesting that A-Rod barely gained at all. Out of the rest, I feel like Buehrle could be someone who just keeps sticking around gaining a bit at a time cause everyone liked him.

As someone who became a parent in the last year and a half, the idea of throwing chewed tobacco on your infant who relies on you for everything, is disgusting. Sucks that such s***** people become parents. f*** that guy.

"White knighting" right. I asked a pretty simple question.

I'm sorry get their money and "thug out". What does thug out mean?

So the Mets offer required Correa to take an annual physical each year to guarantee the next year of the deal? That would be a ridiculous thing to sign. If that was a real offer, can't imagine the union would have been happy with it.

Damn he sucked last year after being decent the year before. His numbers are bad everywhere except I guess his fastball spin rate?

That WAR per 550 is only 2022.

It's definitely kind of trolling when it's this obsessed. I get not liking Biggio, whatever. But he has produced somewhere between 5-6 WAR over his 330 games with the Jays. He was terrible in 2021, and decent last year. Like Tapia sucks, Randal Grichuk sucked. Cavan Biggio makes no money and produces decently enough for it. I think objectively he doesn't really suck.

I mean if he became prime Kelvim Escobar that would be amazing. He put up four seasons between 3-5 WAR as a starter. 27.9 fWAR (24 bWAR) in his career. If you get that from your 3rd ranked prospect in what is honestly a relatively weak prospect pool, that's incredible. I know you probably mean the Jays portion of his career, which was mostly less impressive except for his last season where he figured it out as a starter. Even that would be a really decent result from your 3rd ranked prospect though. The Jays 3rd ranked prospects include guys like Alford, Sean Reid-Foley, Pompey, Hoffman etc. Like a good portion of the time your #3 prospect is going to be basically nothing.

Wait what the hell. Am I on the wrong page or is Salvador Perez's bWAR 32 and his fWAR 15? That is a crazy large difference. You're basically describing two entirely different careers at that point.

There's more numbers out there now than xFIP and FIP and I think they indicate reasons that Manoah's performance isn't likely to drop that much. His xERA was really good and his statcast numbers seem to bear out that batters have a tough time getting good hard contact of off him. He's 300 innings in here, this isn't a rookie season sample size anymore. And he loosk very durable which is value in itself. Expecting a low 3 era does not seem unreasonable and doing that consistently is pretty elite. The fact that he ramps up as innings go on can't really be quantified in numbers but I feel like that's also an indication of a guy who is not having to strain himself. And I have no proof of this, but I feel like pitchers who can throw faster once they're deeper in games are less likely to get hit hard the third time through the order.

Sandy Alacantra has thrown 220 innings this year. 27 more innings than the next closest pitcher. Based on the Marlins schedule he might be able to get a couple more starts and clear 230 innings which would be the first pitcher to clear that number since David Price threw 230 in 2016. Not even many guys likely to clear even 200 this year. Manoah has a good shot.

See this is the thing about complete idiots. They're usually idiots on several different levels. You can't contain that kind of stupidity, it's like breathing for this guy. Just second nature.

Jordan Groshans, still not hitting for a lot of power, but a lot more than he did while he was here anyways. 306/395/439. Has managed to get 9 xBH in less than half the ABs. Annoying that his numbers have been so much better there. He'd have still been a fairly touted prospect with those numbers and his low K, decent walk rates. Not that Anthony Bass has been bad, but Groshans could have pulled more value in a deal.

Literally always solid no matter what. In his four worst starts this season where he only gave up four runs each time he still went at least five innings in each of those starts. Even in his worst games he'll pitch decently deep into the game and keep it winnable.

I mean saying that again ignores xERA. And like I pointed out his statcast numbers do show that guys are getting good contact off of him.

It's not as if he doesn't acknowledge Gausman in there. "Gausman leads in FIP (2.17) and WAR (5.2), but his 3.12 ERA and 3.44 xERA, to these eyes, make him less likely to get serious traction against this competition." That's not unreasonable. We know Gausman has had great peripherals, but has gotten both a bit unlucky and hit hard when guys do make contact. His statcast numbers have him as elite at getting guys to chase and at not walking guys. But those same numbers also indicate when they do hit him they're barreling him up and hitting it fairly hard. Between his FIP and his xERA, it's not really unreasonable to split the difference there. There's more numbers than just WAR now. Gausman has been pretty elite, but by xERA he's been worse than the four pitchers the writer listed. If the writers placing more weight on that particular number than it seems fine. Every year that goes by we get a little more data allowing us to get even more granular when evaluating players performances. FIP was what it was about a few years, and now there's even more stuff. Which is why there's both a completely reasonable case to say Gausman has been the best pitcher and to say no he's been great but not one of the top four guys.

I did not realize former Jays minor league guy Harold Ramirez was having a great year for the Rays. Classic Rays, somehow getting an excellent season completely out of the blue from a random cast away that the Cubs gave up for absolutely nothing.

Greinke is consistently unintentionally hilarious. And knows his baseball. https://twitter.com/ByMcCullough/status/1562268852503085056?s=20&t=mJowCLv0F85MN81quhyekg What website has stats for how guys do each time through a lineup?