I posted this at some point during the offseason, but there were a decent number of things that were just not replicable from last years team. You had four guys (Vlad, Semien, Bo, Teo) put up 4+ WAR seasons. Two of them played like actual MVP candidates.
I had a feeling Vlad wouldn't repeat. Guys don't necessarily put up peak numbers year after year even if they still perform well. The Semien to Chapman performance is a huge downgrade (I also thought Semien was having a much worse season this year, but after a horrific April, he's actually pretty easily outperforming Chapman).
It's hard to replicate those kinds of performances, so it sucks when you have a season like last year and miss out on the playoffs.
Now we get OK performances from a bunch of guys, but a decent amount of disappointment relative to expectation. Jays best hope for the rest of the year is really Berrios, Bichette and Teo performing like they did last year. If that happens, there's a some winning streaks in there, otherwise it'll be more of this.