AMS528

Even in Seattle he was pretty decent. Steady, wracked up some value throughout the contract. That stadium just didn't work for him for whatever reason. He hit hit significantly better away overall during that time. If he had played on another team he might have actually managed to have the most WAR of any 3B in history.

If it's similar to Sale, we can always hope to get five really great years out of and then deal him right before his arm explodes.

Saw this on reddit and it was interesting. https://torontosun.com/sports/baseball/toronto-blue-jays/mismanaging-managers-has-been-jays-way Gibby is the best, and I believe him when he's saying this. Which makes it even worse that Atkins threw Schneider under the bus in his press conference.

Moreno is athletic and scores well defensively on the non-framing numbers. Framing is something that can improve with age. If that's the aspect of his game that's going to take him to being a 4-5 WAR player, then he's got a real solid shot. His base running was also terrible this year. His speed is fine so that shouldn't be as bad. With Moreno all it takes is just slightly more power, slightly better framing, and slightly better base running to take him to being worth that consistently. Improving just two out of three makes him super valuable.

My biggest issue with pulling Berrios is regardless of how it worked or didn't, when you consider allocation of resources it makes no sense. What is the point of committing over 100 million dollars to a starter if you're going to only give them 3 innings in a must win playoff game. If that's the case then get guys who won't cost that much to pitch that little and allocate that money to the offense or bullpen.

His hitting can be acceptable if it's just slightly improved, he only ever plays CF and we get a LF who hits well. Then he can rack up 3-4 WAR even as a bad hitter. Doesn't make that trade feel any better for the future though.

He's always been a prick. One of his former GM's said he was “a horse every fifth day and a horse’s ass the other four.” David Wells also mentioned he was widely disliked. Also for some possible additional clarity, Wakefield apparently did not tell Schilling. It was another teammate who told him in confidence, which makes it even worse, cause it wasn't as if Wakefield had even wanted to tell Schilling and he still revealed it when clearly no one else knew and he was well aware of that. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/curt-schilling-reveals-tim-wakefield-health-information-without-familys-permission-red-sox-issue-statement/ Red Sox also released an official statement confirming that it wasn't supposed to be revealed. He's a complete and utter piece of s***, has been for a long time. Just right to the core really.

Where's it possible to see the breakdown between pulled ground ball rate and pulled fly ball rate?

He's at 55-57 WAR and coming off the best two seasons of his career. I think barring an absolutely unforeseeable disaster he'll make it in relatively easily with three more decent and nowhere near this good years. One more really good year and two decent years is slam dunk HOF career. By the time he retires enough of the newer voters will be in place that there's not going to be as much BS.

I feel like framing is probably an area that a young catcher can improve with time. His athleticism is helping him in terms of the rest. He's been a terrible baserunner this year, but he grades out as an average sprinter so he probably won't be as bad as he's been this year. All of that makes me believe he really is going to be a 4-5 WAR catcher by whatever measure you choose going into the future, possibly for a long time. He's got a real shot based on some of these factors to be truly great if he develops any more power at all. Although to caution things here, Kirk last year would have had one of the best 23 year old catcher seasons ever. Moreno is not severely out of shape, so he's got that going for him in terms of his potential though.

bWAR really loves Gabriel Moreno, it also likes Varsho, but Moreno leads baseball dWAR in 105 games. 4.3 WAR overall. He's up to a 106 wRC+. I think whichever of bWAR or fWAR you want to choose for it, Moreno has had the better year, and if I was going to guess the more valuable player going forward.

Marcus Semien leads the AL in batter bWAR and is tied for second in the AL by fWAR. Nothing about him particularly stands out, but he just does every single thing well, good baserunner, great defender, above average bat at 2B that he just racks up value. He's almost at 42 bWAR, and honestly given how much bWAR he seems to rack up by just existing, he could end up at 50 WAR in two seasons from now. And I will absolutely start the Semien to HOF wagon at that point. At the time I think it made sense not to resign him for the amount he got, but's he's already managed to be worth a good chunk of that contract. One of the better performing major free agent signings of recent times.

His extension is through 2024. It was signed in 2020 so pre WS win. So his price is going to jump up significantly. Friedman is probably making like ten million a year and you figure AA is going to be asking for something like that.

Six straight division championships, all under AA. I think the first couple of years you could have said he hadn't built that team and had walked into the wins, but he has gotten the Braves right up there with the Astros and Dodgers now as the most consistently great teams in MLB.

Imagine losing Freddie Freeman and replacing him with another star who hits 50 HRs for basically scraps. 8 position players with 2 or higher WAR. 4 starters above that. Just a ridiculous team, and most of them signed to incredibly reasonable long term deals.

Yeah of course. Just noting the history, and if it is true that's very stupid on his part to be in this situation again. Last time around he was charged, there was not much doubt that he was in an altercation and shoved the woman to the ground. There were witnesses who stated they saw it. The reason it didn't go further was because the woman didn't want it to and claimed she just fell. He just had to do some counselling. There's going to be less skepticism for him because of the history.

Julio Urias arrested for domestic violence. https://twitter.com/JeffPassan/statu...47733987803274 That is now the second time in his career he's picking up a similar charge. You really should have learned your lesson after the first, and his history is going to be super relevant to the case and to what MLB and the Dodgers do.

He's got great strikeout numbers no doubt, but his overall numbers in AA weren't that great. It may be that he had a few difficult starts that had his ERA higher, but he's not like a no doubt guy. He will in all likelihood as a reliever or starter produce more than Mitch White who was a complete negative here, practically be default. On the plus side for him, he has actually managed to pitch 80 innings this year.

He's been the one guy along with Biggio (short Dejong stint aside) they've wasted empty AB's on this year. At least Biggio's bat has been ok since the terrible start. Espinal has gotten 205 PAs of being unplayable. Way too many on a team that isn't hitting well enough. The front office was better last year at not throwing away too many AB's on complete wastes.

Yeah makes more sense now that it's confirmed Schneider is at 3rd. It's the right choice with the players available.

Hmm... It feels like it might be a better idea to have Ernie Clement who usually plays SS and has at least regularly gotten games at 3B to play there?

If they get hot and the make the playoffs that will be nice, but really the fact that this team is basically scrapping it out for the absolute last playoff seed after the playoffs were expanded is a terrible result. The knock on the AA two year playoffs run, was that he absolutely cleared the prospect pool to make it in twice for a shot. Right now we have some decent prospects that have stepped up in AAA, but we're probably still prospect rankings wise somewhere in the 20ish range. That should mean given the talent we had built up two years ago and the payroll they have been permitted to have we're doing better than this, and it is incredibly disappointing that we're not. It doesn't feel like we should be doing poorly, and generally speaking the front offices moves have worked out. Gausman has been great, Springer was very good the two years before this, Kikuchi bounced back to have excellent value this year. The Merrifeld trade was good, the Berrios trade has fluctuated for good to bad, to probably good again. Belt has worked out great, Kiermier has been solid, they have been two of the better players on the current roster. Varsho depending on how you measure and value his defense has been between decent and quite good. Semien was obviously an incredible value signing, and so was the Ray trade. But it has somehow never come together in the same year. Each year it's been either the bullpen was a disaster that destroyed us (Brad Hand and the rest in 2021), starting pitching (2022 with Berrios, Kikuchi and Mitch White) or now the offense this year (Kirk, Chapman, Vlad etc.). There is always something that has fallen apart, and maybe some of that can be blamed on bad luck but management has responsibilities there. There's definitely fitness issues the team has failed to address, Kirk and Manoah have significantly damaged the season by being completely out of shape. Vlad I think is not the fitness issue, plenty of big guys hit, but a coaching issue. There's been choices the team has made, Varsho for LGJ and Moreno isn't the worst deal but Moreno is probably a catcher who's going to age well, hits decently already and could improve his framing enough to be really valuable for a number of years. Maybe it's possible there was a different deal they could have struck there with the surplus catchers. But that's hard to say. This year they've stuck with Espinal for to long and too many AB's but Dejong disaster aside they haven't thrown away that many ABs. Having a quicker trigger on decent prospects in AAA coming up instead of spending time on Espinal and Biggio is a fair criticism. It's interesting that really when you look at the moves the front office has made, they've generally gotten good value out of both their recent signings and their trades. And yet none of that lines up for a full season. They fix one part of the team (the bullpen this year for example) and another part falls apart. I'm not really sure how much blame they deserve for it but I don't think there's much of an argument that we've had three years so far of our compete window happen with mostly middling results.

It had been 104 the day before but he had another two hit game. No denying his numbers relative to his age though. They're great.

And it's 104 now with his improved slash line. What on earth is that offensive environment?

I just kind of lurked that board back then, but yeah it was him of the 70,000 post count. It was impressive just how much he would post.