AMS528

I think the outlook on Berrios basically is, this is for whatever reason a terrible off year for him, and there's a low chance he turns it around. But his track record before that is lot of innings of good pitching, so there shouldn't be panic that he can't return to that level at least next year if not this year. Luckily neither SWR or Martin are very good either so not much pain on that end of the deal. 800 innings of solid and steady performance and still on the right side of 30. Yeah he genuinely does suck this year and it's not bad luck, but he should return value on this contract overall given it's not a huge amount per year.

More walks than strikeouts as well. 62 PA is a pretty small but not completely insignificant sample size, when it comes to showing a bit power. Also move over Orelvis Martinez. Cade Doughty with 5 HR's in 41 AB's. That is some fun early power.

Why do you hate capital letters so much? What did they ever do to you?

Completely unrelated to anything about baseball, but I made the bad decision to click on the post in your signature and that was a god damn adventure of a thread.

I think he also said that he realized guys were taking it easy on him physically out of respect and literally letting him know they were about to hit him by yelling his name before it happened. At that point yeah, I can see why he decided it was done.

I think the only justification they could have for Berrios starting, outside of a strong turnaround over the next one and a half months, is that he has a good track record and its important to show confidence in a guy you just signed to a massive long term deal less than a year ago.

So it's not unreasonable to think that if we were to manage to make the playoffs, based on what we've seen to this point, Stripling would pitch over Berrios right? Besides the odd game here and there, Berrios has been consistently bad this year. He has a track record sure, but sometimes, once you've got a decent sample that's less relevant. He's not underperforming based on his peripherals and he's getting hit very hard. I just don't have much faith in him for the rest of this season. Stripling also isn't overperforming significantly either.

Haha what in the f***. Teo is having the same 4 WAR type season he has had for the last 2.5 seasons. He's as consistent as they get. Honestly out of all the things to complain about Teos performance this year is not one.

I do understand that those numbers are up, but I think in terms of relative safety as a major city it's basically still near the top even with those increases. And I think homicides are down from last year at least, while assaults and robberies are definitely up. https://safecities.economist.com/ The Economist still has it second amongst major cities. If those numbers keep heading in the wrong direction than sure but it's not really near that point even factoring in the increases. I think people underestimate what other major cities are like, in terms of homicides and crime. Also as an aside, I can't find any numbers for this but I feel like auto thefts are up globally, cause car thieves have figured out how to completely get around these push to start vehicles. Like my friend was in Montreal the last month and saw a new model car get robbed in about ten seconds flat right in front in front of him. They get in, hook up to the ECU and hit the push to start and were off to the races. Sometimes certain tech advances are more of a disadvantage than advantage.

Besides the absurd cost of housing, by most measures Toronto is a really good city to live in. It consistently ranks up there with the best cities in the world and safest major cities globally. I really can't understand how anyone can see it as a s*** hole.

There are tons of back end pitchers who have flashes were they don't look hittable as long as you're looking at their best games. Kikuchi isn't unique that way. If you look at say Trent Thornton's game logs in his rookie year, you have plenty of flashes of looking unhittable, but really doesn't mean much. He's even further away than a lot of those back end guys who show flashes, since he has no idea where his fastball is heading a good amount of the time. He has to just get to being a consistent and ok fifth starter, before we're talking about unlocking anything.

$12M on a one year deal for a back end starting pitcher would not be a big contract. They gave him a three year deal though, and you don't give a three year deal unless you really believe there's at least a chance he's going to be something more than a back end pitcher. Cause there are lots of guys to sign if you just want someone to suck for a single season with some upside and that doesn't hurt as much. Three years was a bit much for a guy who's never shown the performance to match.

I don't know if there's ever going to be a more egregious contract than the Albies one ever signed again in sports. It would be incredibly hard to top.

I think it's definitely possible that at least for this season he may not revert to his historical performance. I don't think he's going to pitch like this for his contract, he's better than this and he has five seasons of performances that would indicate that. But it's possible he can't turn it around this year for whatever reason has led him here, since his underlying numbers aren't really indicating a guy who should have have a better ERA. His xERA is horrific at 5.48, his FIP is only a bit better than that. Only his xFIP shows some hope, but that's not really taking into account the fact that he's getting hit really hard overall. The opposing hard hit percentage is way higher than any other season in his career, he's getting barreled at a higher rate. It makes sense that he's giving up this many home runs. Something is different this year for him, and unless there's a change, there's a decent chance that he'll continue being inconsistent and getting hit hard for the remainder of the year.

Pearson was young enough, and his injuries were occasionally non pitching related enough to hope on him. But Merryweather? He's pitched 60.2 innings total in the last 5 YEARS. I don't think you can ever reasonably hope for anything out of a pitcher with that kind of history. You can't really have any plans that rely on a pitcher like that.

Yeah if anything Teo has been an absolute model of consistency for three years. Similar walk and strikeout rates, consistent power, mediocre defensively but not so much to be crippling. Putting up roughly 4-4.5 WAR for every 162 games. He's been a very reliable guy to plug in year in and year out.

I think it's mostly for when an individual or company wants to do some subtle marketing, but doesn't want to draw attention. It's easier to do that with an older established account so when you click the account it doesn't look like it's literally just posting about video game x or product y. This was true before and I'm not sure it is now, but an older account with a lot of karma is also able to post more frequently. Which is why an account like his can probably post so many highlights in a single night.

Nah I took a look he's still there. I don't think you delete an account with millions of points of post karma. You can at least sell that for a few hundred dollars on some sites.

That's random that he blew up to get the ban. You can always find him on reddit. Literally if you click on any link in the baseball, nba or jays subreddits decent odds it's his post.

Yeah these are very different seasons between them. Bo has been very mediocre and a slightly below average hitter for most of the season. We're just disappointed Vlad isn't destroying baseballs like he did last year. fWAR has him at 2.7 WAR and bWAR has him at 3.3. He's probably going to produce between 4-5 WAR this year. That's great. Not a year you'd ever normally complain about, if he hadn't put up MVP numbers last year.

That's amazingly tragic. The difference between the Jays at the Trop and the next lowest team is bigger than the difference from 2nd to 10th. And looking at the numbers, it's possible it's also bigger than the difference from 2nd-20th. That's impressive. Edit: Having now clicked on the link. The difference is the same as the 2nd-29th. Just inconceivably unlucky.

The thing with this list is, that it's just going to be really hard for Tiedemann to be better than Moreno. By all accounts from every prospect list and report there is the floor on Moreno is just really solidly high even if he never figures out significant power cause his bat to ball ability is solid. And getting that from an athletic catcher? He's likely to be solid defensively so those two things just give him a really good (but not guaranteed because no one is) shot at being a baseline 3 WAR catcher. And if he gets some power and hits well, you might see seasons like Russel Martin had. Tiedemann has projections as a mid rotation starter and maybe a bit more, which is great, but that's not likely to produce seasons with value like Moreno could. And not with the same kind of likelihood. He's a pitcher and floor is always a whole lot lower potentially.

I think it would be fair to point out that Tiedmann has moved up much higher than that on other lists. On the MLB list Tiedmann is 61st and Orelvis is 34th. So it doesn't really look line bias to me at all.

Does anyone know how good Addison Barger is defensively? Can he stick at short? I see Fangraphs mentioned him having a plus-plus arm. The kind of power he's flashed over two seasons is pretty impressive. He's putting up similar power numbers to Orelvis (he is two years older) at SS.

Was at the old board for a while posted infrequently. Came here at the start but I forgot whatever my original account was, and mostly just lurked for years and years until recently after making a new account. Remember all of those dogg variations. Also remember someone (maybe EastCoastJaysfan), making a thread titled "The playoffs should be easy to make", after we started a season 27-14. Pretty sure that was 2009 and we finished 75-87, and made Brian Tallet throw a million innings. I always remember that anytime a team gets off to a hot start.