THANOS
-
Posts
6,852 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Toronto Blue Jays Videos
2025 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospects Ranking
Toronto Blue Jays Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Pick Tracker
News
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by THANOS
-
Thanks for that. I think I'd consider Pompey for Chapman.
-
The cheap control of Revere plus whatever prospect we include could match the expected price tag. Cinci has Chapman for only 1 more year and arb3 could take him into the $10-12m range for that year. That would make him less valuable.
-
I said Dickey/Revere/"+", which could be someone like Greene or SRF, GD did an analysis and already determined that Ross is only a $20m asset so he's not nearly as expensive as you think.
-
You sure about that? Chapman has an expensive AAV and only 1 year of control. Revere and a low-level prospect like Urena probably gets it done with no issue. There's no way it would take all of that LOL, that's crazy.
-
I think Kaz and Hill play pretty good against NY's lefty dominant lineup, and should be decent enough against Boston. Maybe sign Iwakuma instead of Kaz and see if you can baffle teams with another Estrada type season? I don't think we need a Price/Zimmer/Grienke to win with this lineup and defense. But if you're worried maybe a package of Bautista/Pillar/+ could net us Carrasco? Then use the $12m saved from Bautista plus current room to sign Price/Zimmer/Grienke.
-
Back load Heyward's deal, trade Bautista for high level prospects, don't sign "top end" starters (sign Kaz and Hill instead), trade Revere+ for Chapman (only 1-yr of control), and sign cheap BP arms like Lowe and Bastardo. Starting Rotation: 1) Stroman 2) Kazmir 3) Dickey 4) Hill 5) Osuna/Sanchez/Hutch (losers goes to AAA to start or long-man role) Bullpen: CL) Chapman SU) Cecil 3) Hendriks 4) Bastardo 5) Lowe 6) Maybe Hutch? 7) etc. Lineup: 1) Travis 2) Heyward 3) JD 4) Edwin 5) Tulo 6) Cola 7) Martin 8) Pillar 9) Pompey
-
Thanks man. I wonder if we could see another lopsided Donaldson type trade again this off-season, and if we could, I wonder which teams would be most likely to provide that? I'm thinking Colorado/Arizona/San Diego could be had. If Ross is just a $20m asset, what would that even cost us, Revere and Sanchez?
-
Do we have a list of pitchers likely to not be given a QO? If we sign 2 pitchers, we should poach from said list to avoid losing our pick and obtain an additional by giving Estrada a QO. EDIT: I know Price, Queto and Kazmir won't cost a pick, and of that group, Kaz is the most intriguing.
-
Iwakuma/Lee and Hill look appealing. I have a question, since there's no type B free-agent anymore, does any FA we sign take our 1st round pick in 2016, whether it's Price or Rich Hill?
-
Maybe, but I think his approach is even better than that. I think your estimation is a tad bit conservative. .345-.365 seems real possible if that approach continues. Pompey or Heyward, if we sign him.
-
What do you classify as a $70 asset, like a 5-6 WAR pitcher? Could that get us Carrasco or Ross? This x 100. Pillar probably peaked with this season, his hitting will never allow him to put up more offensive WAR imo. Pompey had a .400 OBP from AA to his 2nd run through AAA last season with his new approach. I could see a .360 OBP from him in 2016 and a .285 AVG, with 25-35 steals and 5-10 HR.
-
Not bad, given his age right now, but still don't think I'd do it.
-
I actually do remember reading that, and, if true, means Tulo projects to be far more valuable.
-
I would do it if Tulo + salary relief gets us Carlos Carrasco. Then if we sign Desmond, we improve overall.
-
Very true, but I only mentioned the $/WAR variance because it's most likely to occur. Tulo could do that anytime, especially with this offense, in this park, and away from the awful living/breathing conditions of Colorado.
-
I'm not saying we should trade him, but if we did we could always sign Ian Desmond, maybe for a short 1-2 year deal where he can try and rebuild his value before going for the type of contract he truly seemed primed for. What better way than to do that playing for the best offense in baseball?
-
Nice, and here lies exactly why Tulo could net something good on the trade market. http://www.breakingblue.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/comparison1.png This also seems very conservative with the $/WAR estimation in future years, so the surplus value could be even higher.
-
Come on, that's a bit much.. -
Is Atkins the top personal choice for most here?
-
Yeah trading Tulo now gives us a net short term loss in surplus WAR value, which isn't ideal given the goal of 2016. I think trying to sell high on guys like Cola, Goins, Pillar, Revere, Sanchez, etc. and netting someone like Ross from dumb AJ is the better move.
-
I'm on board, his peripherals have actually improved with age, especially his K/9, which is incredible. Shapiro's would have sway with him as well, one would think?
-
That's true. I'm hopeful that Shapiro can turn some of our MLB strength into 1 of Carrasco, Ross or Martinez. It going to be a fun off-season.
-
I'm well aware of that, but he's also much older, has an injury history caused by his pitching, and had awful peripherals up until 2014 (meaning he only has a short history of dominance). Stroman's peripherals were amazing through his entire minors career and changed in the majors (K/9), likely, do to bad advice. Stro's more likely to continue to dominate if we regress to his career norms, whereas Carrasco may not for the reasons I listed. That and age differences.
-
Either my comprehension skills fell off a cliff, or this post is batshit insane.
-
Carrasco's been elite for 1 1/2 years and is 29 years old, hardly proven yet.
