That was primarily evident last offseason, otherwise, free agency has actually been one of his strong suits (I also wonder if there are GM's who consistently read the market correctly or not). No matter how much hate there is, there is still "a chance" he's reading this offseason perfectly right now...we won't know until it's over.
Getting Hoffman for 3/$33M already looks genius. If the market collapses like it did last year (Chapman, Snell, Belly) he might be able to swoop in and make us a wild card team (not that I think that's the best decision for the franchise).
But yes, I'd suggest there's a very small chance that happens and I do not want him as our GM. He's probably still in the fetal position, crying like a baby because he didn't know he could wait and trade for Straw AFTER Sakaki confirmed where he was signing.
Or maybe he knew he could wait to trade for Straw and there's some angle we just can't see or understand right now (if I had to guess, it was to block the Dodgers in some way). Maybe he knows that landing Sakaki was really the only way to change the short term fate of the franchise and doing absolutely everything possible to land him was in fact the right and only move and without him, it doesn't matter if we have Straw or not because we're f*cked either way. Who knows.