Kevin Gausman - Toronto Blue Jays (New Splitter Grip)
Oh, Kevin Gausman, how you drive me mad. I was a little down on Gausman last year because of the hard contact he has always allowed, but not nearly down on him as much as it turned out that I needed to be. I then spent the early part of spring training buying into a resurgence for Gausman because there were rumors he was adding a sinker or cutter to help protect his four-seam fastball. I took some late shares in early drafts, but then neither of those pitches showed up, and he had a 4.59 ERA and pedestrian 23% strikeout rate in his first nine games.
I figured this was going to be 2024 all over again, and I cut Gausman in a shallow league. Then, lo and behold, Gausman happened to “find” his old splitter after his poor start against the Rays and has now allowed one run on eight hits in his last 15 innings while striking out 15 and walking nobody. Cool.
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As you can see from the chart above, Gausman’s splitter in his start on Monday against the Rangers had 4.5 inches more vertical drop than before with less arm-side break. In essence, it moved more straight down, which is exactly how he had it moving in years past. “For whatever reason, my fingers want to have a mind of their own,” Gausman told The Athletic. “Kind of do whatever they want. So, you know, it’s just kind of reminding them to stay put.”
I certainly wish he had told them that a few weeks ago, but this version of Kevin Gausman with his long-lost splitter grip feels like it can be close to the 2023 version that posted a 3.16 ERA and 31% strikeout rate. Now, that version still had a 1.18 WHIP and gave up a lot of hard contact, so it’s not a perfect pitcher, but it’s an infinitely better version than we saw last year. Just keep in mind that splitter movement and location can come and go on a whim, and we’ve seen over the last year and a half that Gausman simply doesn’t have enough to be fantasy relevant if the splitter leaves him. Just cross your fingers for a happy reunion, but don’t be afraid to cut bait if the grip wanders away again.