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Brownie19

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Everything posted by Brownie19

  1. Brownie19
    The preference would be for him to stop pounding the ball straight into the ground in the first place again sub 90 trash. What's his weight at these days v. 2021? Anyone know?
  2. Brownie19
    Go cheer for the Yanks.
  3. Brownie19
    I feel bad for all the Jays fans who travelled to Seattle to watch this s***. Thank god I can just turn it off and go to bed. f*** this team. SELLLLLLLLL NOW
  4. Brownie19
    Classic Vlad.
  5. Brownie19
    Curious why you feel that way. He'd be entering his age 31 season. He hits the ball really hard, barrels lots of balls, doesn't chase much. As long as his K% is 'back' to the low to mid 20's - I'm not sure what the red flags are. Of course this will all depend on how much it costs to sign him and the duration. The FO has some huge decisions to make very shortly - Teo, Gurriel, Chapman, Vlad, Bo, Jansen......it will be interesting to see who stays and who goes.
  6. Brownie19
    Good call. I do recall we were pretty concerned that LA would turn Kendall Williams into a stud. Hasn't materialized yet and probably never will.
  7. Brownie19

    NBA Thread

    Brownie19 replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    You think that plays any part in his decision? There are s***** fans everywhere. I just read Durant has gone quiet. Isn't talking to anyone that isn't in his inner circle. He's a different dude man.
  8. Brownie19
    I noticed that as well (and pointed it out here without a response). It does look like his Savante #'s have increased a lot over the past 2 weeks, but still WELL below his career norms. I don't have the answer though. I'm still a firm believer that he's going to hit for us though. He's a lot closer to 2018/19 Chapman than 2020/21 Chapman. wRC+ of 132 since June 1st (119 PA's). SLG% and ISO are back up to where you'd expect. I'm hoping for a big 2nd half from Chappy. Frankly, we need it.
  9. Brownie19
    I think NYY, HOU, ATL, LAD, NYM are all heads and tails above the Jays. I think the Jays are somewhere in the middle of STL, SD, MIL, BOS, TB and MIN. Unfortunately with Berrios and Kikuchi s***ing the bed, injuries to Ryu and Pearson and regression by Vlad, Bo, Teo, Romano, etc. - I just don't think it's our year. You'll have to mortgage the future AND get lucky to truly be a contender IMO.
  10. Brownie19
    In the thick of what? Making the playoffs as a WC team? or in the thick of it to be WS champions? With 6 teams per league making the playoffs - being in the thick of it to make the playoffs doesn't mean what it once did. If you're a .500 team now you're 'in the thick of it' to make the playoffs. Unfortunately, selling for arms is one of the hardest things in baseball to do. Arms are super costly and very volatile. This is a really s***** position to be in.
  11. Brownie19
    I'm just saying the preferred route is to simply sign him as a FA to the deal and keep the 5th overall pick. Having to give up the 5th overall pick AND give a SPer a massive contract just blows goats really.
  12. Brownie19
    I don't think that's what Shatkins will do either. I recognize it's a challenging move and the players/fans would hate it. Unfortunately a ton of our prospects have been brutal this year and their value must have dipped as a result. Emptying the farm system even further hoping to find the 2021 version of Eddie Rosario / Joc Pederson / Solar just seems like fools gold though.
  13. Brownie19
    I agree. I think it's a very difficult situation. Personally I think they have too many holes to warranty 'big moves' to go for it this year. I suspect we'll see a bunch of small moves - hoping to catch lightning in a bottle like the Braves did last year; however, I think there probability of that happening is pretty slim. I think the right move is to actually be sellers and take advantage of the sellers market. I think there's a good chance that even if they sell, they still make the playoffs (and lose just like they probably will if they make either small or big moves). Option A - make big moves, gut the farm system to add a SP and a couple relivers - WS probability - 25% Option B - make small moves, hope to catch lightning in a bottle - WS probability - 10% Option C - selectively be sellers (Jansen, Teo, Gurriel, Stripling, Biggio, Chapman, Phelps, Cimber, Garcia) - PS probability - 75% - WS probability - 5%
  14. Brownie19
    Jays - "yes, this is the Toronto Blue Jays, is this Matt Peacock?" Peacock - "yes sir it is" Jays - "oh good, I can hear you're still breathing, may we ask, is your arm still attached to your body?" Peacock - "ummmmm, yes it is" Jays - "how often do you hit back to back hitters square in the numbers?" Peacock - "um.....not often? or never?" Jays - "oh good, we've been looking at your Fangraphs page and while you seem to be f***ing terrible, we simply need warm bodies that still have arms that don't walk and/or hit a couple of batters every inning - so we'd like to sign you" Peacock - "awesome"
  15. Brownie19
    what's a heard issue?
  16. Brownie19
    To be fair...Mayer was a lot like Martin. He was projected to go 1st overall and then fell to 4th, right into the Red Sox lap. The Red Sox didn't go 'off the board' to get him like the Jays would have done if they took Veen over Martin. That said - turning the 5th overall pick into a $130M pitcher (who's been awful so far) certainly looks like terrible value. I guess it becomes a necessity when we have issues attracting FA's (or if you consider top players often don't make it to free agency).
  17. Brownie19
    I don't know how you use that as a metric when guys like Luis Roberts, Castellanos and Devers all have higher O-Swing %'s than Bo...while Bryce Harper is 1.4% below him. When I look at the highest and lowest O-Swing %'s I see lots of great hitter and lots of s***** hitters in both....although it's fair to say there are 'fewer' s***** hitters when you sort by the lowest O-Swing %.
  18. Brownie19
    Unfortunately it's really looking that way. We all though Martin was a gift from heaven when he fell to #5 - but it certainly doesn't look that way now.
  19. Brownie19
    PCA? c'mon man. Francisco Álvarez belongs on that list. Jordan Lawlar may also, but he's further away.
  20. Brownie19
    I don't see a tangible change in Trea's approach. In fact his O-Swing in 2020-2022 is higher than it was back in 2017-2018 when his wRC+ was just 105. For what it's worth, Bo's O-Swing has dropped the past 3 years (46%, 43%, 41%), while his Z-Swing has increased (74%, 81%, 82%)....so one could argue his approach is actually improving.
  21. Brownie19
    Questioning them after 1 game when they are 4th in MLB in wRC+ is really silly guys. What if their strategy was bang on last night, but the hitters simply didn't perform? There are all kinds of variables that are outside of their control (injuries, umpires, BABIP, etc.). The vast majority of the time that professionals are 'questioned' it's from a position of ignorance and there are lot of logical reasons for the results. Now of course there are always some situations where there are long term result issues that warranty change, but that certainly isn't after 1 game. source - I'm a (non-baseball) professional. 95% of the time I get questioned it's by ignorant people who has no clue what they are talking about. My favourite type is the Trump wannabees. It you talk loud and lots it must mean you're right.
  22. Brownie19
    Personally, I think Bo will continue to improve and develop as a hitter as he approaches his prime. He's an extremely hard worker who has all the physical tools to do it. Career paths are not always linier. I look at hitters like Bogaerts and Trea Turner - they didn't develop into great hitters until they were 25 and 27 respectfully and now they are probably the 2 best SS's in baseball. There aren't many SS's in baseball who were posting 5.1 WAR seasons at age 23.
  23. Brownie19
    That's because you're generally ignorant on this subject (as are most fans). It's easy to look at the results and think these people are all idiots, but they aren't. There are pitching and defensive strategist's on the other side trying too. These are highly trained professionals. You understand the tip of the iceberg. This is pretty common phenomenon unfortunately. People love to complain about stuff they don't understand very well and yell for change.
  24. Brownie19

    NBA Thread

    Brownie19 replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    I think that's fair and I could buy into that. But - Siakam was a hell of a complimentary player in 2019. He was more efficient and played a huge role on the team. OG is the one who feels he's being under utilized in Toronto and wants out. If they bring in KD...that's only going to get worse. There's also the reality that teams may value OG over Siakam anyway. I also disagree they HAVE to give up Barnes. Why wouldn't Siakam + picks be enough? Maybe you have to include Precious too? I don't see teams giving up more than that. I guess we'll see.
  25. Brownie19
    I don't disagree, but for christ sakes it would be nice to have some legit future starters amongst the group no? I think you're putting a very optimistic view on a pretty s***** group.
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