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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    When the Jays signed Martin last winter, they lost their 1st round pick, but gained a comp pick when Melky signed with the White Sox. It will be the same situation here if Estrada declines the QO and the Jays sign a qualified FA.
  2. glory
    Wouldn't be surprised if most of the good 2nd tier SP starters (Kuma, Shark, Kennedy, etc) get qualified by their teams. If the Jays want to seriously improve the 2016 rotation without trading prospects, they may have to bite the bullet and lose a pick for one of those guys.
  3. glory
    Yeah don't let his defensive rating in 2015 fool you. The Mariners play every infielder they have in the outfield for some reason so that messed up his defensive numbers. He's fine at short. If his bat improves, then he's a very solid starting SS.
  4. glory
    It will take two seasons of stretching out for Osuna to be anywhere near ready to handle a starter's workload, and I don't think they'd demote him to accomplish that after the season he had in 2015. I don't want to trade Osuna, but if they've made him a reliever long-term, then I'd be open to it. That's why you don't promote 20 year old's from A-ball to the Majors and give them 70 innings of workload when they should be in the minors developing. Thanks Alex.
  5. glory
    I think Shapiro will go after Iwakuma. He's 34 so he won't get a long deal and he projects to be very good in 2016. I don't see Shapiro going after really long deals like Price or Heyward will command.
  6. glory
    Career 118 wRC+ and projected at 122 for next season. He can hit and still has some upside with the bat. I agree that if you go for a long contract with him to include a player opt out after 4 years. Chances are he'll opt out unless he really crashes and burns, and at that point you'd get four seasons of his prime before he bolts for another 7-8 year deal.
  7. glory
    If you can sign Heyward, then just go short-term as hell with the rotation. I know people are going to hate the lack of a "true ace", but the defense, offense, and bullpen should be excellent in that scenario to the point where you can probably survive with filling the rotation with short-term options as long as they are league average or better.
  8. glory
    Pompey-Pillar-Heyward left to right would be a great outfield defense. Then if/when Alford becomes a realistic option to push one of them out, you can decide between Pompey and Pillar from there (preferably Pompey). Damn you guys, you got me thinking we have a shot at Heyward and I know it's not going to happen. Surprise me, Shapiro.
  9. glory
    Heyward in RF with Bautista at 1B would be excellent, but I doubt the Jays would go to 10 years on any player. Would be a great move, though. Go short-term with pitchers and sign a cornerstone talent long-term.
  10. glory
    Iwakuma at that price would be amazing. Even a bit more money than that would be fine since it might take some incentive to get him out of Seattle. Keep the contracts short, especially for starters.
  11. glory
    Osuna as a starter in the minors > Osuna producing a 1 WAR out of the pen in the Majors when a free agent could have done that.
  12. glory
    Kratz would be a solid backup. If you want a starting calibre catcher as the backup then give Navarro money to Iannetta, but that might be excessive given the team's pitching needs.
  13. glory
    In 2013, he acquired two players from the Marlins that were owed a combined $144m over five years ($48m for Buehrle and $96m for Reyes). That covered age 30-35 for Reyes and age 34-36 for Buehrle. He traded two of his best prospects to get Dickey from age 38-41. He turned Reyes into $100m of Tulo that covers ages 31-35. He gave Russell Martin $82m from age 32-36. Noticing a pattern here? AA built a short-term window. When the first try didn't work, he doubled down. There is no evidence to suggest he'd scale back and trade vets to get younger. If anything, we've only seen the opposite over the past couple of years, unless you count when he first took over and traded Wells/Marcum, but that was when he was mandated to cut payroll. Not exactly the same scenario here.
  14. glory
    You don't think he would have extended those two, or at least tried to?
  15. glory
    Because type B free agency no longer exists and there is a cap to how much you can spend in the draft and internationally. The drafts you saw in 2010 and 2011 are impossible to do now. Not happening. If AA threw more prospects to fix his earlier mistakes, then why wouldn't he have traded even more in the future to extend this window if he was given the opportunity? Dude was walking a tightrope with the way he was building the team. Shapiro took over at the right time. AA was one year away from Amaro'ing this organization.
  16. glory
    Dickey could implode at any moment. That's the risk with knuckleballers. Unfortunately the Jays have no choice but to keep him, unless they can get 4 other starters to make Dickey expendable.
  17. glory
    Jays had to bring Dickey back. It's basically him and Stroman in the rotation at this point unless you want to guarantee Hutch a spot as well. Can't afford to lose those innings if the price is reasonable, and it is.
  18. glory
    Signing Alvarez and letting him rehab would be a good move. Low risk. The Jays need as many SP options in the minors as possible so he'd be fine with me. Maybe being from the Jays org will help.
  19. glory
    I remember reading a rumor that it was Gose and JPA for Dickey. Or maybe that was Twitter speculation. When I found out it was TDA and Syndergaard, I had to do a double take to make sure I wasn't hallucinating. The Marlins trade showed a complete lack of knowledge of player value, and the Dickey trade just compounded it. Acquiring a 37-year old coming off a season that he was never going to duplicate and basing the quality of prospects given up on that unsustainable season rather than any future projection was bad when it happened, bad the next day, bad the day after that, etc. No hindsight needed. The better question was which trade was worse, that or the Marlins deal. It's a toss up.
  20. glory
    He shouldn't but I suspect he will. At least until he can be scapegoated mid-season. Hale worked under Francona didn't he? Might be a back-up option.
  21. glory
    Why not keep the top 10 payroll while having a management team that believes in $/WAR? That looks like where the Jays are headed and it's far better than having a bottom third payroll.
  22. glory
    Gibbons messed up with Hendriks all season and didn't realize how good Cecil was until Sanchez kept blowing 8th inning chances late in the year. After watching Gibby all season, I don't take stuff like that for granted.
  23. glory
    Yost knows how to manage the team he has, which is something. If he had Liam Hendriks in his pen, he wouldn't use him as a freakin mop up guy. He uses his best relievers when it matters, and stupid lineup construction aside, he puts his best players out there everyday and values defense. He would be awful on a more saber friendly team but for that team it works. Baseball is strange. Don't care for the Royals but they won it all. Props to them. Singles for days.
  24. glory
    Pillar has five years of control, is going to be dirt cheap the next two seasons, and is projected to be a 2.5 WAR player next season. Given that he isn't a great hitter and doesn't come with tremendous upside, his trade value likely won't represent his value to the Jays. So you keep him and let him provide excess value in CF until he becomes expendable or too expensive. I mean if there's a team out there willing to give up a s*** ton for him, then sure, but that's probably not very likely.
  25. glory
    It's the natural reaction from fans who didn't suffer through the losing, but suddenly know what's good for the team after following them for 2 months. They have no clue about the state of the farm system, or the contract situation, or the lack of SP options, etc, etc, etc. They only see the man who ended the playoff drought leaving. As long as Shapiro and Rogers don't let public outcry impact what they do, then I really don't care. Let Shapiro and his staff fix the organizational issues without forcing him to appease to fans that will be there only when the team is doing well. Those fans will forget about AA next October if the Jays are back in the playoffs.
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