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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    That was my first thought. The org went out of their way to intentionally hand him 400+ plate appearances last season, including using in Game 2 of the WC series with a huge lead rather than someone who actually knew how to play defense. All that just to non tender him after the season and watch him sign a minor league deal somewhere else. Ultimately I am just thankful that it is the Red Sox giving him the minor league deal and not the Jays. For much of 2022 I thought the Jays might actually tender him a contract given how often they were playing him, but I guess they really just wanted a LH bat in the lineup (even if he stunk).
  2. glory
    Yeah that's the way it's looking to me as well. Merrifield is going to start a bunch at 2B but he's also the 4th OF. A Biggio/Espinal platoon at 2B is still there if Merrifield has to play the OF due to need, injury, etc. I don't think it makes much sense to spend $5-8m on a platoon outfielder at this point. If the going rate for that type of player was a lot cheaper, then sure, but at this point I don't think the Jays are in a bad spot as is. Save some financial bullets for the deadline. Also as mentioned, Otto Lopez is an option for that last spot, and the one thing he did really well offensively in the minors is hit LHP. He doesn't have any power so upside is probably minimal, but it's also a reason why you can put him on the bench and not worry about playing time.
  3. glory
    The Jays do need to start developing that next wave of talent, preferably around 2025 when Vlad/Bo's time might be coming to an end, but a lot can happen (good and bad) for a farm system in a year. Overall, 2022 was a down year for the system as a whole aside from a couple of bright spots (Tiedemann, Barger) so things might not look as good now. The Jays also traded a whole bunch of prospects for big league help in the past year and a half, including 3 first round picks (Groshans, Martin, Hoglund), a top 10 prospect in the game (Moreno), and a former top 100 prospect (SWR). There are still enough intriguing prospects in the system to expect better outcomes in 2023.
  4. glory
    Yeah, now that there is no catcher surplus, an extension for Jansen makes a lot of sense.
  5. glory
    Yeah with Bo I don't think it's about Toronto or the organization as much as wanting to get paid what he feels he's worth. He clearly disagrees with the CBA and how baseball salaries are structured for younger players, so the only way he can maximize his worth is to test free agency. I don't even blame Bo. He should try to get everything he can get. It's up to the Jays to decide whether they want to just accept the next 3 years and then look for a replacement SS after that, or trade him before free agency. If they want to be a "sustainable contender" rather than having to do a mini retool after 2025, then they probably should consider trading Bo at some point because losing both him and Vlad at the same time would be pretty difficult to recover from short term. Although I still think the Jays and Vlad will work something out at some point. For some reason I feel that has a good chance of happening.
  6. glory
    Swanson agrees to $1.25m, and Bichette (somewhat predictably) is going to an arbitration hearing.
  7. glory
    Jansen gets $3.5m (projected at $3.7m).
  8. glory
    Outfield defense, along with Schneider ignoring logic/stats, also cost the Jays Game 2 of the Wild Card game. Could definitely understand why Atkins did what he did after a full season of Hernandez, Gurriel, and Tapia in the OF.
  9. glory
    Would have been a fit for the Jays, but this seems like a more fitting place for him to sign.
  10. glory
    I don't know anything about Jay Jackson or his stuff/velocity, but looking at the numbers, I'm surprised he hasn't gotten more of a look on a MLB team in his career. He went to Japan from 2016-18, but since he's come back in 2019, his minor league numbers have been consistently great. At age 35 I'm not expecting anything from him, but definitely a guy to root for given how long he's been on the grind.
  11. glory
    Kyle Garlick was DFA’d by the Twins. His only redeeming quality so far seems to be hitting LHP so there might be a fit there.
  12. glory
    Only alternative was to keep him and give him the QO. Either he stays for another year (and the Jays would have gotten bounce back JD from 2019) or he leaves and the Jays get a pick. That was the avenue to go to, but obviously the front office wanted to clear money and tank, so it was never a real possibility.
  13. glory
    If the Rays get Merryweather, I'm going to cringe nervously.
  14. glory
    Yeah I wouldn't put Thompson ahead of Kikuchi/White. Since he has options it's clear this was a depth move, and the Jays did need AAA SP depth to avoid Hutchison/Lawrence throwing MLB innings next season. If Thompson can get his 2021 form back, then great, but stash him in AAA until a need arises.
  15. glory
    Ryu counts. If insurance covers some of the contract due to his injury then that doesn't have any impact on the CBT as far as I know. With the Belt signing, the Jays now have close to $65m coming off the books after this season (Chapman, Merrifield, KK, Belt, Ryu, Bass, what is left of Grichuk's deal), possibly more if they do not pick up Garcia's option (which they likely will pick up unless he's hurt/sucks in 2023). It's possible they can make improvements and be under the CBT next season, but too early to speculate on that.
  16. glory
    Even if the arbitration salaries are lower than projections, it's still tough to see them getting under the first threshold. Trading Biggio will save them a little bit but not much. The team actually needs Merrifield at this point so I doubt he's moved. If they can find a taker for Kikuchi then that would be the best way, as his CBT hit is counted as $12m due to contract AAV and he's thoroughly replaceable as a SP, but even in the current market that seems very unlikely. I think this is the year they go over. They will probably try to sneak under in 2024 or 2025 though to avoid repeater penalties.
  17. glory
    Wow. Wasn’t expecting the Jays to sign Belt or shoot past the luxury tax to sign him. If they still have money then another SP would be nice. So the lineup against RHP will now have 3 LHB, possibly 4 if Biggio is still on the team and playing at 2B. Roster balance certainly isn’t an issue anymore.
  18. glory
    Between 2B and OF, I think Merrifield easily clears 500 PA next season (unless his performance falls off a cliff), so yes he would also be a factor into the available 4th OF at bats. Even without factoring payroll/CBT, it's hard to see the Jays making a significant OF add. Once you add the payroll/CBT equation into it, then it becomes more sensible to give someone like Lopez a shot and save some bullets for the trade deadline.
  19. glory
    Yeah no doubt that a 4th OF on this team would easily get 400-500 PA's, but I would think it's still going to be a hard sell for free agents since the team has 3 established OF's already. A player who has other options and still sees himself as an everyday-ish player may prefer the more clear path to playing time. Although maybe being on a winning team with a chance to seriously contend could tip the scales in Toronto's favor if the alternative were a bad team. I guess it depends on the individual player. Pollock is 35 and Cutch is 36. They aren't getting any more big contracts in their careers, so maybe they accept lesser roles on winning teams.
  20. glory
    Yeah this isn't a bad deal given the market. It takes him through age 36 and the Red Sox should get a good amount of prime production years out of it. It's the deals that go to age 40 and beyond that are harder to justify. Plus, they couldn't afford to lose Devers after an all time bad trade with Betts and now losing Xander for nothing. Devers is the guy they had to pay/keep.
  21. glory
    Another thing to keep in mind with the Jays adding an OF, aside from payroll/CBT, is the fact that they'd likely want to keep DH relatively free so that Kirk/Jansen, Springer, and Vlad can take their turns there. That's probably going to make them less likely to go after a player who will want 400-500 plate appearances (Pollock, Cutch, etc), and it's probably going to make the Jays an undesirable location for the best OF's still available on the market since playing time will be somewhat uncertain. Wouldn't surprise me at all if the bench was Espinal, Biggio, Lopez, and 5th OF (JBJ/Zimmer equivalent), assuming Merrifield starts at 2B and Kirk/Jansen are at CA/DH. Although someone like Robbie Grossman who shouldn't have visions of being anything beyond a platoon bench player at this point might be possible depending on cost.
  22. glory
    I wonder if they might even look internally at someone like Otto Lopez who hit LHP really well in the minors. This front office likes to use options when available so maybe they'll start him in AAA because of that, but if they are right up against the CBT threshold, then going over it for a 4th OF seems kind of pointless. Might as well wait until the trade deadline to go over it by adding someone with more impact, depending on who is available. The Jays are going to have to start trusting their own player development anyway. The CBT stuff isn't going to go away as Vlad/Bo get more expensive, and the team having to replace Chapman (or re-sign him) next year. Guys like Lopez, Barger, Horowitz, etc, should be getting some opportunity if injuries arise.
  23. glory

    NBA Thread

    glory replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    My guess is the bold part above is what will happen. Siakam is looking like a legit star now. I don't think they move him given how hard it is to get players like him. The issue the Raptors will have is that Barnes and Pascal are similar players, so it's going to be harder for Barnes to reach whatever his ceiling is with Pascal on the team too. But I think they at least try to make it work. Trading Fred and Trent is a no brainer at this point.
  24. glory
    Between Pearson, Zulu, and the Julian's, I think there's a chance for at least 1 high leverage RP to emerge from that group in 2023. I don't know why I am bullish on Pearson since he's given me no reason to be, but him in a 1 inning role just seems like something that is going to work out if he stays healthy (which is the caveat with him). I think if Merryweather pans out it will probably be somewhere else. Fernandez is a nice MiLB signing whether he works out or not. If you can get that type of high reward talent on a MiLB deal then good work. You can't teach 100 mph. If you can fix whatever his issues are, then you might have something. If not, then no big loss.
  25. glory
    Charlie wiping a tear from his eye as he reads that.
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