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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    Turning the catching surplus into a long term LHH outfielder was the most logical way to go this winter. Didn't think Atkins would actually trade Moreno. The only skepticism I have about Varsho is his iffy statcast offensive numbers, but even if he's a 105-110 wRC+ bat, with his defense and baserunning that's a very good player. A legit CF is slowly becoming one of the hardest positions to fill in baseball. The Jays have one for 4 years now. Wouldn't shock me at all if Moreno becomes a very good catcher, though. Bat to ball skills + athleticism. If he develops any sort of power then watch out. Either way it was a risk the Jays could afford to take. Wins added in 2023-25 are very important with the current roster construction, and if Moreno takes a few years to develop, then it would have hindered that window.
  2. glory
    The front office seems pretty confident that they are adding a LH bat. Interesting to see which direction they go as the options are dwindling with Conforto gone. Profar, Peralta, and Kepler are out there in free agency and trade, while Reynolds is out there for a potential mega trade, which I don’t think the Jays should be doing right now. They are likely going to be a tax team this season and that’s without extensions to Vlad/Bo. They can’t really afford to trade high end prospects anymore. They need those prospects to perform cheaply in the Majors, especially in the rotation where they already have 3 $20m AAV players, another on a long term deal (Berrios), and then Kikuchi’s deal. Profar is not a middle of the order hitter but otherwise he seems to fit what the Jays are looking for, and his numbers with/without the shift as a LHB are dramatic from what I’ve read. Peralta seems like a vetrin stopgap type. Trade options other than Reynolds and Kepler seem scarce as well unless there’s a name out there that no one has discussed before, which is possible.
  3. glory
  4. glory
    If Hendriks is traded then his 2024 option becomes guaranteed so he’d effectively be a 2/29 investment if he were traded here. Probably worth it in this market but ideally the Jays would be able to get a LH outfielder out of the deal as well, and I just don’t see a fit there unless the deal can be expanded to include someone like Colas (Jays would have to add more).
  5. glory
    Peralta does make a lot of sense, especially since he's more likely to accept a platoon/non-everyday role than Conforto is, so the Jays would have a bit more flexibility with DH in that scenario (for Kirk, Springer, etc). Most of the good free agents signed before Christmas. I don't remember a MLB free agency that went this quickly.
  6. glory
    Brantley apparently close to a deal with the Astros. Edit: Conforto and Profar still left on the market but options are dwindling.
  7. glory
    End of an era.
  8. glory
    Joey Gallo signing a one year deal with the Twins according to Passan.
  9. glory
    There's a good chance the left side of the Yankees infield by mid season is Volpe and Peraza. They will have a full year of Bader in CF. They will add a LF (likely one of Conforto/Brantley/Benintendi/Peralta), which should be an upgrade over Joey Gallo and Aaron Hicks. It's also possible that they run with JD and IKF at 3B and SS again, so who knows, but I think their offense is probably going to trend upwards from last season.
  10. glory
    Cole, Rodon, Cortes, Severino, and Montas is a damn good rotation. If the Yankees add a LF, then they are going to be tough.
  11. glory
    If they want to avoid the CBT penalties, then yes it would make sense that KK is the starting CF and they try to find a cheaper (pre arb) OF via trade instead of going after Brantley or Conforto. Not sure that's realistic especially if Jansen is the one going the other way. Hard to see the D-Backs trading Thomas or McCarthy for Jansen, and the only other team that is looking for a catcher and might be interested in Jansen that has pre arb LHH OF's are the Tigers, but not sure Baddoo or Carpenter move the needle for the front office (maybe I'm wrong). Apparently Conforto wants a multi year deal with an opt out (sounds like what Rodon got last year). I don't think Atkins does that. Brantley is going to need to DH a lot, and if Kirk is on the team (never mind Springer and Vlad needing DH days), he becomes less of a fit. If the Jays still have a little bit of wiggle room maybe Peralta is a possibility, but he'll still get a pretty sizable guarantee I would think.
  12. glory
    Chaim Bloom is the Charlie Montoyo of GM's. Worked for the Rays and got a job he's not good at because of it.
  13. glory
    One thing to keep in mind with Vlad/Bo is that by the time they become free agents, the league will be a year away from the next round of CBA negotiations. The economic landscape in 2025 is going to be dramatically different. Now, the one constant with MLB free agency is that even when owners aren't spending, it never hurts the upper tier guys so Vlad/Bo should still get huge contracts, but giving it to them now doesn't help the Jays all that much as they likely won't be getting any sort of team friendly perks from it. I've always thought Bo was gone after 2025, and that if the Jays prioritized signing anyone it would be Vlad. I still feel that way. Either both leave or Vlad stays. I don't see it ending any other way.
  14. glory
    That's what the Dodgers appear to be doing this year, and what the Yankees did prior to 2022. Go over the threshold for a couple of years, then cut costs in one off season to get under so that the penalties reset, and then go over again. I agree that if the Jays are going over it this year then they should really go over it. Get Brantley/Conforto, get another high leverage RP, etc. Cutting costs in 2024 or 2025 is doable, but they'd need to add some pre-arb level talent at key positions to avoid having to overpay to fix holes. Not sure where that's going to come from other than Moreno. Hopefully we see Barger become a 3B option for 2024, and a catcher gets traded for a young OF/CF. Luckily 4/5 starters in the rotation are locked up for the next 3 years so at least there's some cost certainty there.
  15. glory
    Stripling signs with the Giants for 2/25, with a player opt out. That's a very reasonable deal in this market.
  16. glory
    Yeah if the plan is to trade Jansen then options are limited now. Astros, Cubs, and maybe the Tigers. A D-Backs trade is going to involve Kirk or Moreno, and not sure the Jays want to do that, so hanging on to all 3 catchers might be a possibility now.
  17. glory
    The Guardians have signed Zunino for 1/6. Cross them off the catcher list.
  18. glory
    From Davidi's latest article:
  19. glory
    Would have been nice if the A's had a good young left handed hitting CF with a few years of control left. Could have gotten him for Otto Lopez, Hayden Juenger, and Mitch White rather than signing Kiermaier.
  20. glory
    Based on earlier rumors, the Astros, Guardians, and Cubs are probably the most likely suitors. D-Backs probably won't make a deal for Jansen, and not sure if the Padres are a match trade-wise even though they have a clear need.
  21. glory
    Vazquez is the last obstacle in the way of the Jays catcher trade, so hopefully he signs tonight and gets it over with. Edit: Vazquez going to the Twins.
  22. glory
    So they covered CF and SP. They could use another SP to push Kikuchi to the pen, but a bat is probably a bigger need now (Conforto, Brantley, trade, etc).
  23. glory
    Bassitt rejected the QO so the Jays will lose a pick and some international money, but getting a quality SP on a 3 year deal in this market is a nice piece of business.
  24. glory
  25. glory
    This would make more sense as opposed to the Braves getting Murphy and holding on to 3 catchers.
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