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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    I don't know anything about Jay Jackson or his stuff/velocity, but looking at the numbers, I'm surprised he hasn't gotten more of a look on a MLB team in his career. He went to Japan from 2016-18, but since he's come back in 2019, his minor league numbers have been consistently great. At age 35 I'm not expecting anything from him, but definitely a guy to root for given how long he's been on the grind.
  2. glory
    Kyle Garlick was DFA’d by the Twins. His only redeeming quality so far seems to be hitting LHP so there might be a fit there.
  3. glory
    Only alternative was to keep him and give him the QO. Either he stays for another year (and the Jays would have gotten bounce back JD from 2019) or he leaves and the Jays get a pick. That was the avenue to go to, but obviously the front office wanted to clear money and tank, so it was never a real possibility.
  4. glory
    If the Rays get Merryweather, I'm going to cringe nervously.
  5. glory
    Yeah I wouldn't put Thompson ahead of Kikuchi/White. Since he has options it's clear this was a depth move, and the Jays did need AAA SP depth to avoid Hutchison/Lawrence throwing MLB innings next season. If Thompson can get his 2021 form back, then great, but stash him in AAA until a need arises.
  6. glory
    Ryu counts. If insurance covers some of the contract due to his injury then that doesn't have any impact on the CBT as far as I know. With the Belt signing, the Jays now have close to $65m coming off the books after this season (Chapman, Merrifield, KK, Belt, Ryu, Bass, what is left of Grichuk's deal), possibly more if they do not pick up Garcia's option (which they likely will pick up unless he's hurt/sucks in 2023). It's possible they can make improvements and be under the CBT next season, but too early to speculate on that.
  7. glory
    Even if the arbitration salaries are lower than projections, it's still tough to see them getting under the first threshold. Trading Biggio will save them a little bit but not much. The team actually needs Merrifield at this point so I doubt he's moved. If they can find a taker for Kikuchi then that would be the best way, as his CBT hit is counted as $12m due to contract AAV and he's thoroughly replaceable as a SP, but even in the current market that seems very unlikely. I think this is the year they go over. They will probably try to sneak under in 2024 or 2025 though to avoid repeater penalties.
  8. glory
    Wow. Wasn’t expecting the Jays to sign Belt or shoot past the luxury tax to sign him. If they still have money then another SP would be nice. So the lineup against RHP will now have 3 LHB, possibly 4 if Biggio is still on the team and playing at 2B. Roster balance certainly isn’t an issue anymore.
  9. glory
    Between 2B and OF, I think Merrifield easily clears 500 PA next season (unless his performance falls off a cliff), so yes he would also be a factor into the available 4th OF at bats. Even without factoring payroll/CBT, it's hard to see the Jays making a significant OF add. Once you add the payroll/CBT equation into it, then it becomes more sensible to give someone like Lopez a shot and save some bullets for the trade deadline.
  10. glory
    Yeah no doubt that a 4th OF on this team would easily get 400-500 PA's, but I would think it's still going to be a hard sell for free agents since the team has 3 established OF's already. A player who has other options and still sees himself as an everyday-ish player may prefer the more clear path to playing time. Although maybe being on a winning team with a chance to seriously contend could tip the scales in Toronto's favor if the alternative were a bad team. I guess it depends on the individual player. Pollock is 35 and Cutch is 36. They aren't getting any more big contracts in their careers, so maybe they accept lesser roles on winning teams.
  11. glory
    Yeah this isn't a bad deal given the market. It takes him through age 36 and the Red Sox should get a good amount of prime production years out of it. It's the deals that go to age 40 and beyond that are harder to justify. Plus, they couldn't afford to lose Devers after an all time bad trade with Betts and now losing Xander for nothing. Devers is the guy they had to pay/keep.
  12. glory
    Another thing to keep in mind with the Jays adding an OF, aside from payroll/CBT, is the fact that they'd likely want to keep DH relatively free so that Kirk/Jansen, Springer, and Vlad can take their turns there. That's probably going to make them less likely to go after a player who will want 400-500 plate appearances (Pollock, Cutch, etc), and it's probably going to make the Jays an undesirable location for the best OF's still available on the market since playing time will be somewhat uncertain. Wouldn't surprise me at all if the bench was Espinal, Biggio, Lopez, and 5th OF (JBJ/Zimmer equivalent), assuming Merrifield starts at 2B and Kirk/Jansen are at CA/DH. Although someone like Robbie Grossman who shouldn't have visions of being anything beyond a platoon bench player at this point might be possible depending on cost.
  13. glory
    I wonder if they might even look internally at someone like Otto Lopez who hit LHP really well in the minors. This front office likes to use options when available so maybe they'll start him in AAA because of that, but if they are right up against the CBT threshold, then going over it for a 4th OF seems kind of pointless. Might as well wait until the trade deadline to go over it by adding someone with more impact, depending on who is available. The Jays are going to have to start trusting their own player development anyway. The CBT stuff isn't going to go away as Vlad/Bo get more expensive, and the team having to replace Chapman (or re-sign him) next year. Guys like Lopez, Barger, Horowitz, etc, should be getting some opportunity if injuries arise.
  14. glory

    NBA Thread

    glory replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    My guess is the bold part above is what will happen. Siakam is looking like a legit star now. I don't think they move him given how hard it is to get players like him. The issue the Raptors will have is that Barnes and Pascal are similar players, so it's going to be harder for Barnes to reach whatever his ceiling is with Pascal on the team too. But I think they at least try to make it work. Trading Fred and Trent is a no brainer at this point.
  15. glory
    Between Pearson, Zulu, and the Julian's, I think there's a chance for at least 1 high leverage RP to emerge from that group in 2023. I don't know why I am bullish on Pearson since he's given me no reason to be, but him in a 1 inning role just seems like something that is going to work out if he stays healthy (which is the caveat with him). I think if Merryweather pans out it will probably be somewhere else. Fernandez is a nice MiLB signing whether he works out or not. If you can get that type of high reward talent on a MiLB deal then good work. You can't teach 100 mph. If you can fix whatever his issues are, then you might have something. If not, then no big loss.
  16. glory
    Charlie wiping a tear from his eye as he reads that.
  17. glory
  18. glory
    Schneider managing Mayza is kind of terrifying after last season, so I wouldn't mind an upgrade there, whether Britton or someone else. If Britton can be had on a heavy incentive laden deal then it might be worth pursuing if his velocity/health checks out. Plus he's historically done pretty well against RHB, so that would definitely come in handy. (yes I'm still salty over the Carlos Santana thing).
  19. glory
    Against LHP, probably. Merrifield's splits have been pretty even in his career. Pollock, McCutchen, and Grossman's splits for example are far more significant towards hitting LHP. Of those three I'd prefer whichever one comes cheaper between Pollock/McCutchen since they are more likely to not be helpless against RHP, but whether either of them would want to be a part-time/platoon bat is the question. Grossman likely has no choice.
  20. glory
    Otto Lopez might be another option. He's already on the 40 man roster, can play multiple positions, and has hit LHP in the minors (.381/.452/.543 in 125 PA in 2022 and .344/.429/.458 in 112 PA in 2021). Though it looks like he has 1 option remaining so he'll probably start in the minors. Pollack, McCutchen, Grossman, Pham (unlikely due to personality), and Mancini are all out there in case the Jays want a vetrin RHB who can platoon with Kiermaier. I vaguely remember a report about the Jays trying to trade for Grossman at the trade deadline in 2021. Wouldn't surprise me if he's the one they end up getting, but a lot will depend on how much they want to allocate to that position. I can't imagine Grossman would get much coming off the season he had, but who knows in this market.
  21. glory
    That was my thought as well. An OF of Hernandez-Varsho-Springer left to right would have looked good on paper. Of course that is discounting some of the other factors, mainly cost. Hernandez/Kiermaier is a projected $5m difference, and if the Jays had to find a reliever with Swanson's profile in free agency that would have cost some significant payroll space as well.
  22. glory
    Yeah Varsho has more control than Vlad and Bo. He definitely helps short term but he’s a long term option. I like how Atkins has balanced both short and long term building this off season. Smart and practical off season so far.
  23. glory
    Varsho should play everyday. KK should be platooned. That’s the way I expect it to go as well.
  24. glory
    Robbie Grossman seems like a realistic target.
  25. glory
    I think it had more to do with "run prevention" which is the buzz term Atkins has been throwing out all off season. Gurriel is awful defensively and Hernandez isn't much better. Defense in the OF should be significantly better next season as well as the base running. Offense likely took a hit depending on whether Varsho is closer to a league average bat or if he has more upside, but I think they were willing to take that gamble.
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