Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

glory

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,131

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

 Content Type 

Profiles

Toronto Blue Jays Videos

2026 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospect Rankings

Toronto Blue Jays Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Toronto Blue Jays Fan Guides & Resources

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Toronto Blue Jays News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    Analytically speaking, the team is 2-0 since boooobz started a game thread, so yes.
  2. glory
    He has had a really good career so far. Very consistent and embraces the big game. I still wish the Jays kept him long term.
  3. glory
    That lineup against Sandy is pretty gross, but it’s baseball.
  4. glory
    It won't happen, but I think trading Kiermaier makes sense regardless. He's almost certainly going to decline offensively the rest of the way, and Varsho's value to the team is severely diminished as a LF where his bat isn't quite good enough. Trade KK, trade for a stop gap LF who has a better offensive profile, and put Varsho in CF. That type of move works whether they are buyers or sellers. Of course there needs to be a LF available that makes sense. Maybe they could steal Tyler O'Neill for little (assuming he comes back) and take a chance with him. But to answer your question, it would have to be a significant amount of games back for the Jays to be sellers. Atkins has no reason to sell given that he doesn't/shouldn't have job security, and the team is going to prioritize asses in seats with all their stadium renovations. They'll be buyers unless the bottom falls out in the next month.
  5. glory
    The problem with this team is that this 2019-2025 window was predicated on Vlad and Bichette both being superstars. Bichette has basically been a 4-5 WAR player every season so he’s living up to the expectations but Vlad hasn’t even been a 4 WAR player if you combined his WAR in 2019, 2020, 2022, and 2023. How do you fix this? Find a superstar piece to pair with Bichette and expect Vlad to be a 2-3 WAR player until 2025 when he will undoubtedly have a prime Pujols type of year before hitting the open market. I wouldn’t have any issue with a trade deadline retool that involves trading impending FAs (Merrifield, KK, Chapman, Belt, etc) and even a riskier move like selling high on Romano. The issue with that is I don’t want Ross Atkins to be the one making those trades, and replacing Romano for a smart front office would be a lot easier than Atkins having to replace him. I really don’t see any realistic scenario other than Atkins doubling down on this roster and trading prospects for immediate help. Thankfully the farm system is ass cheeks right now so whoever he trades probably won’t hurt the team unless he moves Tiedemann, but still.
  6. glory
    This looks very much like a mid/high 80s win team. Good enough to contend for a WC, possibly sneak in, but not a roster that I’d want to double down on which Atkins almost certainly will at the deadline.
  7. glory
    Samad Taylor gets the game winning walk off hit for the Royals in his big league debut.
  8. glory
    This front office extended Randal f’n Grichuk two years before free agency when the team was openly tanking so I would hope they prioritize someone like Jansen during a competitive window. If they think they are set at catcher long term then they might be in for a rude awakening. Extend Jansen, keep splitting time with him and Kirk to keep both healthy/fresh, and go from there. Kirk hasn’t hit for any power in 12 months so I’m not sure a grossly out of shape singles hitter is a huge asset even at catcher. The Jays need Jansen.
  9. glory
    If Atkins is aware that it's not against the CBA to actually extend young players, I think Jansen should be a priority. Catching depth in the system isn't great anymore and Kirk hasn't hit for any power in 12 months (that's not factoring the fact that he's fat, slow, and a lot more likely to decline early).
  10. glory
    This competitive window was based on having two young superstar position players. However, if you remove 2021 (which had 4 months in a minor league complex), Vlad has a career 3.5 WAR in 1757 plate appearances. Granted he gets penalized for being a s***** 3B (2019) and a bad base running 1B, but for the majority of his career he's resembled nothing close to a superstar player. Right now he's tied for 7th on the team in WAR and is 5th in wRC+. That's going to decrease this roster's ceiling significantly. Manoah s***ing the bed hurt a lot, and we can talk about strength of schedule, but ultimately the Jays are going to need Vlad to be a star otherwise it's going to be an uphill battle.
  11. glory
    Pearson as a RP is a stud.
  12. glory
    Jimi hitting 99 is interesting.
  13. glory
    Agreed. Cimber has been good since coming to Toronto but I'm not sure he's a guy you want to hold on to for years given his age, lack of velo, and lack of swing/miss. I feel like maybe they could have sold high on him after his 2022 season (wouldn't get much back either way), but one thing about Atkins is he always tends to sell big league talent at either the lowest value or damn close to it, so I guess we have to wait for Cimber to pitch his way off of the team before cutting bait. Though to Atkins' credit, his love for Trevor Richards is being validated so far.
  14. glory
    There were quite a few promotions from 2018-22 (Jansen, Gurriel, Mayza, Vlad, Bichette, Biggio, Romano, Pearson, Kirk, Espinal, Manoah, Moreno), so yes you can't say that Atkins has been bad from the development side. However he hasn't been good with pitching development, and there are real concerns about whether the team can produce a next wave of prospects over the next 2+ years. His strength, at least from 2020-now, has been MLB moves. His FA signings and trades, for the most part, are usually pretty good. That's been able to compensate for some of his weaknesses. It's actually impressive that he's put the team in position to possibly get to 90 wins for the 3rd straight season, it shows how good his FA/trades have been because his pre-2020 work was pretty subpar. The long term question is whether he can develop more young players, close to Vlad/Bo caliber, in time to prolong this competitive window. I'm not banking on that, but who knows. I'm firmly back on the Orelvis bandwagon, and maybe he can be the start.
  15. glory
    Yeah with Bo here another 2 years my guess is Jimenez will be traded at the deadline (or winter). He's at least young enough at a high enough level to be interesting, but without any power it does seem like his upside is very limited even if he's good/great defensively.
  16. glory
    Orelvis seems to be the only top prospect that is worth getting excited about. If Leo Jimenez is a legit defensive SS then he might be another one, not much power, but seems to do everything else at a decent level. Beyond that I am drawing a blank. If Davis Schneider is coming out of no where to be a big league option at 2B, then that's great. The issue with the Jays being in the middle of a contention window, I'm not sure Atkins would even put any of the prospects in a position to play a lot at the big league level. It's probably more likely they are traded at the deadline for a player(s) with a year or two of control. This does feel a lot like the JP Ricciardi era. What looks like a competitive high 80s win team + a farm system where you have to squint in order to find something to get excited about. Not fun but hopefully we see some development in the next few months.
  17. glory
    Nice, use Francis tonight in a blow out so that Mitch White is fresh for the bullpen game.
  18. glory
    Did they explain why they optioned Francis? My guess is they'll try the same thing next time except with Mitch f'n White following Richards, which seems like a really bad idea in Texas, but whatever. Maybe Atkins thought that he finally might have caught lightning in a bottle with a SP prospect out of no where and decided to sabotage it before seeing if it would succeed.
  19. glory
    I'd be very (pleasantly) surprised if the Jays are still a good team in 2026, but it's going to depend on extensions to Vlad/Bo and what type of internal development can take place from now until 2026. The one saving grace for 2024-25 is that Atkins is pretty good with short term big league moves so I'm sure he'll adequately replace whoever he has to replace. The key to determining 2026-beyond is how he can incorporate young talent into the mix and what kind of young talent. It was easier to use young prospects in 2019-20 when there was no expectations. Will he put Orelvis at 3B in 2024 if he does well in AAA to end the season? That's a risk for a team with a short window. It would be nice if they could lose Chapman and Merrifield, and plug in Orelvis and Barger/Schneider without missing a beat, though that seems way too pie in the sky. If I had to bet, I'd say 2026 will resemble 2017-18 in terms of trying to squeeze more juice out of something that has no more juice to give, but 2.5 years is a long time in baseball. It took Orelvis only a month to be a prospect again so a lot can change.
  20. glory
    Eppler has been a disaster for them. It's a toss up between him and Buck as far as who goes first, but wouldn't surprise me if both are gone soon. Last season might have been their window with this group.
  21. glory
    The only way it can be spun rosier is if the Jays get some massive internal development and soon. If Orelvis is a top 50 prospect again, then that's a start. The way Atkins has built the team is the exact opposite of the sustainable talk that him and Shapiro were saying years ago. You don't build a sustainable winner by never extending any young talent, exclusively using expensive FA deals to fill holes, and swinging and missing on almost every draft since 2017. Atkins' one strength is building a solid MLB roster. He usually does well with trades and free agent signings (for the most part), but without the other parts of the equation, it's hard to see that strength being able to compensate for what he lacks. I think overall he's a solid GM but not one I'd miss if he were replaced. As long as it's Shapiro picking his replacement and not Ed Rogers.
  22. glory
    The concept of developing a SP prospect is so foreign to the current Jays FO that they probably don't even remember how to do it. Not saying Francis is going to turn into anything but giving him a start against a middling Central team at home didn't seem like a terrible idea. Not sure why they went the way they did, especially since as far as I recall he was stretched out in his last minor league start. I guess just be thankful the Jays rotation hasn't had the injuries that the Yankees rotation has had.
  23. glory
    Agreed. Charlie was an easy target but the front office clearly wanted someone to follow whatever analytics they have, so whether it’s Charlie or Schneider or someone else entirely, the way the roster is managed will be relatively the same. I’ve said before, James Click is already on the payroll. It’s not like they will need a long search. Will probably have to wait until the off season because it will be easier to make that move though.
  24. glory
    Francis should have given them length. I’m not sure what the hell was the point of only using him for 2+ innings when he was stretched out reasonably well prior to being called up. It’s not Schneider as much as it is the front office but frustrating nonetheless. This definitely has 2021 vibes to it in terms of winnable games ending up costing the team a playoff spot, and I honestly wouldn’t even be mad. At least last time we could blame Buntoyo but it’s the front office pulling the strings so you kinda just have to hope the talent overcomes that.
  25. glory
    John Schneider master class.
×
×
  • Create New...