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LunchBox

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Everything posted by LunchBox

  1. LunchBox
    On a related note:
  2. LunchBox
    Given that he's a 6'7 290lb black man, it's not a stretch to think CC might stand for cucumber cock? Being worth tens of millions of dollars and having Derek Jeter as your wingman probably doesn't hurt either. But yeah you're right, it must be "a lefty thing"
  3. LunchBox
    Many of the posters here s*** better lists than MLB.com.
  4. LunchBox
    So using Escobar's 2012-2013 seasons as a template, in the best case scenario: Goins can be a not-quite league average hitter for one year fuelled by an inflated BABIP then devolve into the worst hitter in baseball the following season....f***ing eh!
  5. LunchBox
    PED controversy is a f***ing joke. An arbitrary line is drawn, some substances are deemed acceptable and others illicit. The pharmacological differences between the two groups may not justify such a distinction. The most common complaint seems to be "it's unfair to past generations of players and their respective accomplishments to allow the use of these substances". Should current players be prevented from utilizing modern medicine, equipment, diet and fitness training, keeping variables constant for the sake of comparison? Obviously not, it's just nonsensical to compare players of vastly different eras, PEDs are largely irrelevant. Nobody would say that modern academics are disgracing the accomplishments of their predecessors because they're hopped up on Redbull and Adderall, why apply that logic to sports which are relatively inconsequential? Progress will continue to be made, to do anything other than embrace it will be bad for athletics as a whole.
  6. LunchBox
    It's surprising that people have such strong opinions on this issue. Yes there was no precedent for a suspension of this length, yes it was about solidifying Bud's image, yes improving NYY's financial situation was a factor but does any of that really matter? ARod is obviously mentally ill and raising these points only feeds his attention-seeking behaviour. His suspension is obviously unjust but ultimately it's good for the game. Baseball needs to collectively agree to stop enabling this maniac and more generally stop making PEDs a hot-topic. Let ARod fade into obscurity.
  7. LunchBox
    Turns out there is some precedent, but it's not exactly encouraging. Still with absolutely no risk it's hard to go wrong. Fifty innings as a GB specialist out of the pen isn't totally unreasonable and would be a pretty big win.
  8. LunchBox
    Good call, it's just habit to think of ground balls as a poor outcome, he also hits quite a few IFFB which should hinder his BABIP. The larger point I was trying to make is that his success/failure is not determined by BABIP like a lot of hitters; rather that his success/failure generating power causes huge fluctuations in his BABIP.
  9. LunchBox
    Yeah but new "secret pitch" > elbow trouble, everyone knows that.
  10. LunchBox
    Isn't it kind of expected for a fly ball hitter with high K%, ISO, and league average LD% to have an inflated BABIP? His success if less fuelled by fluctuations in BABIP and more so by generating power. His 2010 and 2013 are really similar, that's probably not a total coincidence.
  11. LunchBox
    This is the first thing I thought of too. Rasmus+Janssen+Goins for Bailey+Phillips? Contract issues aside, CIN has to realize they're a better team keeping Phillips though, which is cause for concern.
  12. LunchBox
    lol you might want to double check that. However, you're right about the HRs and to a much lesser extent the durability.
  13. LunchBox
    Based on what the HR spike and inflated ERA? He lost a lot of velocity between 2010-2011 but his K/BB, GB%, FIP/xFIP were all stable and he posted a 3.3 WAR.
  14. LunchBox
    Take another look at his 2011 season, it was far from terrible.
  15. LunchBox
    That the correlation isn't strong enough to use WHIP as a substitute for FIP and by extension WAR to evaluate a pitching staff. I guess you thought I was referring to mathematical significance, I don't know?
  16. LunchBox
    No I wasn't, you misunderstood but no harm done as your explanation was considerably better.
  17. LunchBox
    To the best of my understanding, hits are fielding dependent and WAR is calculated using fielding independent measures, there's probably a correlation between WHIP and WAR but it's not likely significant. I'm pretty sure he meant to say there's a strong correlation between WHIP and ERA? Not that it really matters, there's little value in evaluating rotations on this basis.
  18. LunchBox
    That's understandable, I'm working out a depth chart for the smorgasbord they're calling a rotation and he's like the 10th starter.
  19. LunchBox
    After some consideration, I can certainly appreciate the point the two of you are making. In a lot of ways Arroyo would just exacerbate an existing issue, with 7ish guys without established value competing for essentially 2.5 rotation spots. What a s***** situation for an organization to put themselves in. Jimenez 4/64 is essentially the only attractive option to improve the rotation of an allegedly contending team. Anything else and they might as well try and extract some value from the glut of potentially league average pitchers (Stroman and possibly Hutch excluded) they've assembled.
  20. LunchBox
    I see him as being a cut above the likes of Rogers, Happ and probably Redmond, none of which really merit a rotation spot.
  21. LunchBox
    The difference between him and Buehrle isn't that significant and he'll cost a fraction of what MB makes.
  22. LunchBox
    This is exactly right IMO. If Jimenez is deemed too expensive, than I maintain Arroyo is the best alternative as he reduces reliance on Morrow, Stroman/Hutch to throw more than 150 innings. I don't believe this team even got 900 IP from their starters last season, suggesting that they need to acquire quality more so than innings is not correct. A minor caveat however, teams building their rotation on reliability should probably be addressing glaring holes in their offense, particularly at 2B...
  23. LunchBox
    They could draft exclusively first baseman in the first ten rounds for all I care, so long as superior talent isn't being passed over.
  24. LunchBox
    Fair enough, I'll admit my choice of wording was poor. However, I stand behind the notion that drafting and developing almost exclusively starting pitching is not "poor strategy". The team displayed in your avatar has built their success upon recognizing the demand for SPing, consequently developing it themselves and piecing together many of their position players and bullpen arms.
  25. LunchBox
    Carlos Gomez, Chris Davis, Adam Jones, Encarnacion, Rasmus, Escobar. Sure some of them were traded in exchange for other good players, others didn't come with that many controllable years ect. "Major league ready" probably would have been a better choice of words. Maybe it's a perceptual bias, but it certainly appears that teams are more willing to give up on young position players than pitchers.
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