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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Looking at where his homeruns are clustered is hilarious. He make Jose Bautista look like an all-fields hitter.
  2. Isaac Paredes about to put up a 50 HR season with the Crawford boxes.
  3. This is the most Brewers trade ever. Trade one year of an elite reliever who they can and will replace internally (Megill) for cheap, for a 3 WAR SP and an unheralded infielder who projects well, while getting money back in the process. Williams is also coming off an injury riddled season. Naturally, the Yankees love having an elite bullpen and are trading from a position of strength.
  4. Not necessarily. Crochet is quite cheap, if they wanted to add another big arm to have a formidable 1-2 with Burnes they would. Just depends on if they're willing to match the price point he'll get.
  5. I don't think it's that bad of a return for the White Sox aside from the fact that the centerpiece is a f***ing catcher lol. In a vacuum, they received a top 50 prospect in Teel, and ~backend top 100 spect in Montgomery who was picked 12th overall at the most recent draft, a no-power bat to ball guy in Meidroth who is MLB ready and projects decently, and a AA power arm with bad control. Probably something like a 55 FV, 50 FV, 40+ FV and a 40 FV. If Teel was any other non 1B position this would look like reasonable value for Chicago for two years of Crochet.
  6. LOL @ the Rockies not making a selection in the Rule 5 draft with the second pick. Every other team in the top 7 made selections. Even the Braves, Padres, Brewers and Phillies made selections in the bottom 10. Business as usual for the Rox.
  7. The middle infield is as good as any in the game, but Burger is exceptionally mid and Nate Lowe is basically Spencer Horwitz's ceiling. Burger does hit the ball very hard, so maybe the Rangers are hoping to unlock something with some tweaks, but he's also a brutal defender so he's more of a DH really.
  8. Kim has a career wRC+ of 101…guess what Gimenez’s is? Kim is about to get a higher AAV than Gimenez while being 3 years older and coming off injury.
  9. I feel like Yimi only got better as his tenure with the Jays went on so I don't mind extending the partnership another couple of seasons. Projects better than Romano at a similar price point, and I thought he really hit his stride as a dominant bullpen arm earlier this season prior to the elbow barking. Let's hope the elbow holds up, I'm sure they did their due diligence on his medicals. If he's healthy that's a great price point for a good, reliable reliever.
  10. It appears the report was fake. Loaisiga himself said he hasn't signed with any team.
  11. When you have a chance to sign a 30-year old replacement level reliever who's pitched 21 IP the last two seasons combined you do it and ask questions later.
  12. Yeah I think the biggest thing here is just how these deals are reported. Ohtani signs for 10/700 and Snell for 5/182 makes it seem as if the Dodgers are flexing their financial muscle to vastly overpay for players. They aren't really, Ohtani actually went for 10/460 and 5/153 or whatever, which they still need to pay over the duration of their contracts into escrow. It's not like they're "only" paying Ohtani $2MM and Snell $18M per season, they still have to pay out the escrow amount. The rest of it is still being actively paid out by them, so this is where their financial muscle is actually being flexed. They're still spending an insane amount each year on payroll, be it for present year payments, or future payments to the same players. Not every team can pull this part off, you still need to be able to afford having Freeman, Betts, Ohtani, Snell, Glasnow, Yamamoto etc. on FA level deals at the same time, while still affording to give out "pillow" 1/23.5 deals to Teoscar Hernandez level players. I think this is the part people are/should be actually upset about, but it's being convoluted around the misunderstanding from them as being mad at all these deferrals and complex contract structures. The Dodgers are on a late 90s/early 2000s Yankee esque run of domination that includes them attracting and signing just about every big FA. That's disheartening as a fan of a non big market team, and I'm not even really including the Blue Jays in this as we've seen that a top 10 payroll can very much get the job done against these kinds of teams. Adding Soto to this mix would be an absolute slap in the face to MLB fans in terms of parity. Super teams are great for ratings but it sucks for everyone else who are fans of the sport or literally any other team.
  13. It definitely sucks that Felix won't get in due to just missing a few extra years of average performance in his 30s. He was a true ace and defining pitcher of his era, basically the kind of guy that tends to be a shoo-in Hall of Famer. With that said, I think we're underrating CC here, they're much closer in careers up until Felix's downfall than one might think. CC started out as a 20 year old with 180 IP in the peak of the steroid era and was good right away. Felix had a slightly earlier start at 19 with 80 IP of elite performance. Both settled as good-not-great pitchers for a few years until breaking out as bonafide aces, for CC that was at age 25, for Felix 23. They then had identical 6 year peaks of elite (5+ WAR) performance. Felix subsequently fell off a cliff immediately, whereas CC had one more very good season at age 31 before dealing with injury and reinventing himself to round out his career as a crafty vet with average results as his velo declined further and further - not to mention his struggles with alcoholism which he overcame. Both had a Cy Young and 6 All-Star games, Sabathia arguably could've had one additional major trophy as his best season came when he was traded between leagues midway through the year. All in all, Sabathia's entire career encompassed Felix's, 2001-2019 vs 2005-2019. Sabathia will be a deserving first ballot HOF IMO, especially in this era where pitchers just don't accumulate as many innings as they used to.
  14. You realize Fried is likely to get double what Kikuchi got right? Projections have Fried netting a 5-6 year deal at a total of $140-160M. This while projecting for roughly the same next season - Kikuchi 2.9 WAR, Fried 3.2. Kikuchi actually slightly edges out Fried the last two seasons and has no major injury history to speak of, with the biggest caveat being that obviously he's 3 years older.
  15. If you look at some of the predictions, MLBTR had him getting 3/60 so bang on there, fangraphs' Ben Clemens had him at 3/51, while the fangraphs median crowd had him at 3/54, so hard to say if people there were misreading the SP market and Kikuchi's performance the last 2 seasons - including an excellent stretch with Houston entering FA - or this was an Angels overpay to secure a player that might prefer going to a contender for slightly less. Seems fair and agreed that 3 years is what Kikuchi should have gotten, you could argue the AAV is a tad on the high side but nothing egregious.
  16. The fact that it was so targeted towards the fans makes me think he's hinting at some type of media role? If it was in a coach or FO capacity I feel like he would've kept that more under wraps. On the other hand, I'm cracking up at the thought of KK as a coach teaching the non Varsho outfielders. "What do you mean you couldn't perfectly read the ball off the bat in a millisecond and immediately burst into your 100th percentile sprint speed to run down the ball like a robot?"
  17. Brian Serven honestly made Heineman look like David Ross.
  18. Jansen has played over 100 games in his career once in his rookie season, this year's 94 was his highest since. It also came with a significant drop in offensive performance including a big power drop, and he's been seeing a steady drop in defensive performance for some time now as well - he's elite at blocking and bad at everything else. He will also be 30 on Opening Day, but in catcher years that's not that bad, he just will very likely be out of his prime. I love Danny, would like to have him back for cheap, but I think his market won't look the best. Even when his performance has been good his availability is a major concern in what's already the most physically demanding position. He honestly should consider a one year bounceback contract with an opt-out/player option for year #2 that guarantees him at least a 50% share of the load, which is the most he's likely to play anyway regardless.
  19. First Angels move this offseason that's made sense. O'Hoppe and d'Arnaud is a solid tandem behind the plate, and 2/12 is relatively peanuts for a solid veteran catcher.
  20. That's an interesting thought. His xERA has been < 4.00 in 3 out of the last 4 seasons. Maybe a team like Seattle (won't do it as they have the pitching depth already), the Dodgers, the f***ing Orioles and their abomination, or the newly pitcher friendly ballpark owners the Toronto Blue Jays, can bring the nice Canadian kid home. But with a QO attached, how much are any of these teams actually willing to offer him? 3/45?
  21. Yeah he probably would've matched or surpassed Wacha's deal, but very unlikely he would've gotten a higher AAV than the QO. At 34, this was likely his last chance at a decent sized multi-year deal, so with the QO attached he pretty much has to take it or it could backfire. Of course, if he proves he's a legit starter and repeats his 2024, he'll still be in line for a decent payday. Pivetta is an interesting one, he's been an exactly average starter his whole career with very enticing K numbers, but he just gives up so many bombs that he simply can't be trusted, and doesn't chew through innings. I could see a team looking at him and saying "I can work with this", but I feel like he'd be smart to take the QO as well.
  22. Yup, this is the Brewers' MO. They did it with Hader, and they won't be afraid to do it again with Williams. Trevor Megill has been quietly dominant for two seasons now, and they'll probably turn DL Hall into a dominant reliever since he can't stay healthy as a starter and is cheap.
  23. Damn, the continued injuries must have taken a big toll on him. Definitely teams out there that would take a chance on him, but the constant rehabbing must have been exhausting and destroyed his mental capacity to keep taking it on. Also was a high draft pick and top prospect, so it probably affected his self confidence as a player to see poor performance as a result of injuries.
  24. Heh, perfect time for you to be proven wrong. Incredible game 3.
  25. lmao One thing that could influence this decision, is that Vientos is a f***ing horrendous defender at 3B, like he looks hilariously out of place over there. So many missed plays that an average defender would make, good thing he can hit. He's a 1B/DH for me next season, likely replaces Pete Alonso for them. Can't even hide him in LF since he's already 23rd percentile in sprint speed at age 24 lol. Not like Baty is any better obviously.
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