Orgfiller
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Everything posted by Orgfiller
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As things currently stand it's 3B without question. If a 3B is signed or traded for then he's a utility guy all over the infield that gives guys days off from the field 1-2 days a week.
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If Vlad were Devers level defensively at 3B, that would actually be a massive boost to his defensive value lol. The difference between Devers' defensive value in his career compared to Vlad's has been about +1-2 WAR per season lol. If Devers could hit like Vlad or Vlad could field like Devers, that player would approach Miguel Cabrera levels of valuable.
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This point doesn't make any sense and is a bad faith argument. Kim projects for a 105 wRC+ and Clement for a 103 wRC+. If "you can hit Kim near the top of the lineup" because he has an okay OBP, then "you can hit Clement near the middle of the lineup" since he hits for more power and average and would thus drive more runs in with runners on base. Either way, you don't want either of those guys hitting that high because overall they're just alright hitters, and you'd hope you have at least 5 or 6 more reliable bats in front of them.
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And why should we believe he all of a sudden will become this guy? Alex Bregman could also all of a sudden become a 90 wRC+ bat upon signing him, could backfire. What if Daulton Varsho all of a sudden becomes a 125 wRC+ bat? We can't just be pulling hypotheticals out of our ass without legitimate reasons to back them up. Literally any free agent signing could be a disaster, that's the name of the game. Bo Bichette all of a sudden became a replacement level player in 2024, doesn't mean I'm commending the FO for expecting that chance and not extending him to a Corey Seager contract before that happened.
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You're gonna have a hard time convincing me that a player who is in the 2nd percentile of range at 1B might actually be a viable option at a more difficult position. Vlad, 100 lbs lighter in 2019, was a -20 OAA defender holy s*** that's bad. I hadn't even looked at the data from that far back. Now that he's even less mobile, I'm just not picturing him magically being even a -5 defender level of bad.
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For who? There's basically no downside to the team doing deferrals, they have to put the money into escrow anyway, so for them it means paying less now and pocketing/investing the savings into something else.
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This is a pretty significant amount deferred, I wonder what this entails for tax calculations. Pulling this out of my ass, if we use similar convertion rates for Ohtani's 10/700 figure to the "actual" 10/460 that it costs the Dodgers, the original 5/92 guarantee is actually more like a 5/60-75 deal in terms of what the team has to actually pay? That's substantial for the AAV hit in the CBT.
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I wonder how bad it can get for Vlad at 3B. He's already pretty much as bad as it gets at 1B, which is insane to think about, but he legitimately has a good arm. There's like a +10 run adjustment between 1B and 3B, the worst case scenario here is 2007 Ryan Braun at -32 DRS (lol) good for -27 runs of value defensively, i.e. 2.7 WAR lost to defense. Would Vlad be the worst 3B defender ever, or can he hide his brutal range with enough arm strength to "only" provide -15 to -20 runs of defensive value. It wouldn't help of course that his current projected partner at SS is Bo Bichette, it would be a complete nightmare on the left side of the infield.
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I can't see Kim happening at this rate. Set to miss the start of the season and he projects to be Ernie Clement with more walks and Ks, for FA prices. Just doesn't make sense. If we're shooting for a big improvement at 3B it's Bregman or (trade) or bust. Or like, Yoan Moncada on a 1 year deal lol.
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Not sure why you would filter for RF and not OF as a whole when Teoscar spent all of 2024 in LF. When you include all OF, Teoscar is at -16 OAA/-6 DRS. Granted ol' Tony Taters is at -12 OAA/-12 DRS so not exactly Kiermaier out there. OAA in particular has Teoscar as being unplayable over the last 1-2 seasons with Santander being below average but not catastrophic. Last 1-2 seasons being more relevant since Teoscar is two years older and at 32 might be entering his physical decline phase. -
Both Santander and Springer are playable in the outfield still. Santander the weaker of the group with below average range, but he's not a total butcher out there like a Teoscar. Springer just needs to clean up his throws, still providing average range with above average arm strength, but he's been brutal in terms of arm value. It won't really matter if Straw is on the team or not. Loperfido, Clase, Berroa are all fast athletic types who can go get it out there. Straw is of course the superior defender and quite elite at that, but the others would get the job done. A Varsho, Springer and one of Straw/Loperfido/Clase/Berroa in the 9th inning defensively would be good enough for added run prevention.
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Show the other part of the slash you blanket wetter.
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This is not a “f*** it ball out” type of contract lol. It’s a compromise between the two parties, 5 years at a lower than projected AAV.
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I wouldn't want to speculate, but I wonder if the deferred money calculations would actually have us under this threshold. That could mean this is our last signing of the offseason which would be underwhelming considering that we've added in an effort to compete but still have some holes to fill.
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I wonder by how much the deferred money brings down the AAV for tax calculations. Seems like decent business on our end even if the 5 years guarantee is steep.
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Some deferred money is included. Pop off Ross.
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The spray chart, particularly the homer one is very pull-heavy, I could see him outperforming xwOBA at least to fall in line with his 120 wRC+ projections. He hits the ball very hard and often in the air. The RC has more favourable power dimensions even post-remodel than Candem Yards did the last few seasons, for a pull hitter.
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Damn Davy, you are really on top of things.
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The Dodgers about to have the best IL rotation of all-time by midseason.
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The Minter deal? If so that's being discussed in the Other Baseball board.
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You are absolutely pulling this out of your ass lol. Bassitt has always been realistic about the outlook of the team, doesn't mean he wants out. He's been a consummate professional through and through.
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I mean $2M in international bonus money is a lot, Sasaki be damned. When you can only acquire up to 50% of your initial, this basically is that amount. That's one big lottery ticket or a collection of a few decent ones.
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Nice article Jesse, really shows just how south everything went last season. Worst RP corps in franchise history lol, figures given how our luck went in 2024. Gaining essentially 4-5 wins on regression to the mean alone is massive, and hopefully the group has enough potential to put in a solid season on top of that. Insane that we could add as many as 6-7 wins to the 2024 record in the bullpen without even putting up an outlier type season. Oakland at 4.5 fWAR as a reliever group was 9th in baseball in 2024.
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- tim mayza
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He'll definitely be in the mix, but it's Bradley Zimmer 2.0. The man just ran a 72 wRC+ in a full season at AAA with legit 20 grade power. I'd probably rather Lukes, Clase or Berroa at this point over him. He does have options at least I guess? He better not be taking up a 40-man roster spot.
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Jeez I didn't realize he was that expensive. Would be a rather puzzling use of resources given our limited budget.
